Briliant: Jurnal Riset dan Konseptual
Vol 10 No 3 (2025): Volume 10 Nomor 3, Agustus 2025

EVALUASI KINERJA MODEL ARIMA DALAM PERAMALAN KONSUMSI ENERGI GEDUNG BERTINGKAT

Yusvida, Rizka (Unknown)
Windarko, Novie Ayub (Unknown)
Setiawardhana, Setiawardhana (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Aug 2025

Abstract

In an effort to manage and optimize the use of energy in these buildings, the ARIMA model (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) emerged as a very important analytical tool. The primary objective of this research is to investigate and explore how ARIMA parameter settings can be modified to improve the accuracy of energy consumption predictions on stairwell buildings. Based on an in-depth analysis of existing literature as well as empirical data, it was found that the ARIMA model, by leveraging time row kastasioneran and the use of univariate data, showed great potential in producing highly accurate short-term predictions. In this study, it was found that by performing the correct configuration of ARIMA parameters, the model was able to a level of accuracy with MAPE of 5,317% and RMSE of 8,7. These results show an excellent level of conformity, indicating that the ARIMA model can be effectively used to improve the accuracy of prediction of energy consumption in stairwell buildings. The findings of this study confirm that with proper adjustment of parameters, ARIMA can be a very useful tool in more efficient energy management in the building sector, which can ultimately contribute to reducing unnecessary energy consumption as well as improving overall energy efficiency.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

BRILIANT

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Education

Description

BRILIANT : Jurnal Riset dan Konseptual published by Universitas Nahdlatul Ulama Blitar. Published four times a year in print and online. Journals are published every three months, in February, May, August and November. The article topics contained in this journal are the results of research and ...