Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia
Vol. 4 No. 11 (2025): Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisplin Indonesia (JIM-ID) , 2025

U.S. Tariff Policy and the Joint Reaction of Indonesia’s Stock and Gold Markets

Wefielananda, Rahmi Afzhi (Unknown)
Andriani, Yessy (Unknown)
Azry, Said Maulana (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Nov 2025

Abstract

The United States exerts a substantial influence on the global economy. Its trade policies not only directly affect its trading partners but also generate broader multiplier effects across other national economies. This study examines the impact of the reciprocal tariff policy announced by the United States government in February 2025 on stock and gold prices in Indonesia. Using the Three-Stage Least Squares (3SLS) method, the results show that the tariff policy significantly influences both variables. Gold prices respond positively two weeks after the tariff announcement, while stock prices react negatively in the same week, rebound in the following week, and decline again in the second week. Furthermore, changes in gold prices significantly affect stock prices at the fourth lag, whereas changes in stock prices have no significant effect on gold prices. These empirical findings are consistent with the Efficient Market Hypothesis, Rational Expectations Theory, the Hedging and Safe Haven Asset Hypothesis, and the Asset Substitution Hypothesis. Overall, the study demonstrates that Indonesian investors respond rationally to global policy changes in line with financial market dynamics.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

esaprom

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Earth & Planetary Sciences Engineering Physics

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia (JIM-ID) is a peer-reviewed journal regularly published by the SEAN Institute every three months. namely, several research publications to publish multi-disciplinary articles with general topics on engineering, science, agriculture, plantations, forestry and ...