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All Journal Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Electronic Journal of Education, Social Economics and Technology Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis
Azry, Said Maulana
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Navigating Trade Turbulence: Identifying Indonesia's Optimal Trade Partners Amid the US-China Trade War Using Relative Output, Market Potential, and Trade Openness Azry, Said Maulana; Muharja, Fajri
Electronic Journal of Education, Social Economics and Technology Vol 6, No 1 (2025)
Publisher : SAINTIS Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33122/ejeset.v6i1.737

Abstract

This study investigates how Indonesia can identify optimal bilateral trade partners by analyzing the effects of relative output, market potential, and trade openness on its terms of trade (ToT). The analysis is timely amid escalating U.S.–China trade tensions (2024–2025), which have disrupted global supply chains and altered trade dynamics. Using panel data from 2009 to 2019, the study avoids periods of major shocks such as the 2007–2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic post-2020. A quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) method is employed to estimate the impact of bilateral economic fundamentals on Indonesia’s ToT, accounting for heterogeneity and endogeneity. Results show that Indonesia’s ToT improves when trading with countries that have higher relative output, expanding market potential, and greater trade openness. These findings highlight the importance of trade diversification and suggest that Indonesia should prioritize partnerships with dynamic, open economies to strengthen its resilience to global trade shocks. The study offers strategic insights for navigating a shifting international trade environment.
Optimizing Location for Downstream Industry on Remote Island Products N, Zulkifli; Azry, Said Maulana
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 4 (December 2025): Accepted
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i4.1284

Abstract

This research aims to select the most optimal and efficient location for frozen banana fritter production to support efforts in optimizing downstreaming of leading commodity industries of Kepulauan Mentawai Regency. The research evaluates potential sites in Padang City and Kepulauan Mentawai Regency, employing the Economic Analysis method with the Brown-Gibson model, combining quantitative and qualitative approaches. Factors influencing frozen banana fritter production and site selection are examined through market surveys and interviews with relevant experts and stakeholders. The findings highlight Padang City as the ideal production site. This research holds significance in enhancing the local economy, especially in Kepulauan Mentawai Regency, classified as a 3T area in West Sumatra province. The results provide valuable insights for stakeholders in choosing suitable production sites for frozen banana fritters, contributing to economic improvement in the region.
Optimizing Location for Downstream Industry on Remote Island Products N, Zulkifli; Azry, Said Maulana
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 4 (December 2025): Accepted
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i4.1284

Abstract

This research aims to select the most optimal and efficient location for frozen banana fritter production to support efforts in optimizing downstreaming of leading commodity industries of Kepulauan Mentawai Regency. The research evaluates potential sites in Padang City and Kepulauan Mentawai Regency, employing the Economic Analysis method with the Brown-Gibson model, combining quantitative and qualitative approaches. Factors influencing frozen banana fritter production and site selection are examined through market surveys and interviews with relevant experts and stakeholders. The findings highlight Padang City as the ideal production site. This research holds significance in enhancing the local economy, especially in Kepulauan Mentawai Regency, classified as a 3T area in West Sumatra province. The results provide valuable insights for stakeholders in choosing suitable production sites for frozen banana fritters, contributing to economic improvement in the region.
Co-Authors MUHARJA, FAJRI Zulkifli N