SKANIKA: Sistem Komputer dan Teknik Informatika
Vol 9 No 1 (2026): Jurnal SKANIKA Januari 2026

RANCANG BANGUN SISTEM PERAMALAN PENJUALAN ES KRIM DENGAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (STUDI KASUS :CV ALDY ABADI JAYA, MUARA WAHAU)

Viramadita Arthamia Putri (Unknown)
Sentot Achmadi (Unknown)
Ali Mahmudi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jan 2026

Abstract

The ice cream sales agent CV Aldy Abadi Jaya in Muara Wahau faces challenges in forecasting daily fluctuating ice cream demand. Inaccurate stock estimation often leads to excess or shortage of inventory, requiring an effective strategy to balance supply and demand. This study aims to design and develop a web-based sales forecasting system using the Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) method. This method was chosen because it can provide accurate predictions for data with a trend pattern. The research utilizes historical sales data of ice cream from CV Aldy Abadi Jaya. The system was developed using the Laravel framework and MySQL database. It automatically performs sales forecasting calculations and displays the results through an interactive dashboard that helps users interpret prediction outcomes easily. The results show an accuracy level and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of 13,83%, indicating that the Double Exponential Smoothing method can generate reliable forecasts for future sales. The developed system is expected to help the company plan stock more effectively, reduce the risk of losses, and improve efficiency in the ice cream distribution process..

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SKANIKA

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Engineering

Description

SKANIKA: Sistem Komputer dan Teknik Informatika adalah media publikasi online hasil penelitian yang diterbitkan oleh Program Studi Sistem komputer dan Teknik Informatika, Fakultas Teknologi Informasi, Universitas Budi Luhur. Scope atau Topik Jurnal: Kriptografi, Steganografi, Sistem Pakar / ...