Jurnal Respirologi Indonesia
Vol 46 No 1 (2026)

Comparative Analysis of Copeptin, IL-6, and TNF-α as Predictive Biomarkers for Clinical Outcome in Moderate to Severe COVID-19 Patients

Harsini Harsini (Department of Pulmonology and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Dr. Moewardi General Hospital, Surakarta)
Jatu Aphridasari (Department of Pulmonology and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Dr. Moewardi General Hospital, Surakarta)
Sihsusetyaningtyas Tiominar Siregar (Department of Pulmonology and Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Dr. Moewardi General Hospital, Surakarta)



Article Info

Publish Date
18 Jun 2026

Abstract

Background: Cytokine release syndrome (CRS) plays a central role in disease progression, driven by pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α), as well as neuroendocrine stress markers such as copeptin. Perbandingan langsung biomarker copeptin, IL-6, dan TNF-α sangat penting untuk mengidentifikasi prediktor hasil COVID-19 yang paling andal, terutama pada kasus sedang hingga berat. This retrospective clinical study aimed to evaluate the correlation of copeptin, IL-6, and TNF-α levels with the clinical outcomes of patients with moderate to severe COVID-19. Methods: The study included patients who met the selection criteria and provided written informed consent. A sample size of 41 was determined via power analysis to achieve 80% power at a 0.05 significance level. Consecutive sampling was employed to select participants. The study utilized medical records of patients with moderate to severe COVID-19 who underwent copeptin, IL-6, and TNF-α testing. Correlation analyses and Bonferroni corrections were performed using SPSS® ver. 21. Results: Results revealed a moderate positive correlation between copeptin levels and patient outcomes (Bonferroni correlation=0.597; P<0.001). A weak positive correlation was observed between IL-6 levels and outcomes (Bonferroni correlation=0.239; P=0.055), while a negligible positive correlation was found for TNF-α levels (Bonferroni correlation=0.140; P=0.177), which was not statistically significant. Conclusion: Copeptin emerged as a more sensitive biomarker for predicting the outcomes of COVID-19 patients. Elevated copeptin levels were associated with a poorer prognosis. Furthermore, its stability in serum renders copeptin a more sensitive biomarker than IL-6 and TNF-α.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jri

Publisher

Subject

Health Professions Medicine & Pharmacology

Description

Jurnal Respirologi Indonesia (JRI) is an online and printed scientific publication of the Indonesian Society of Respirology (ISR). The journal is published thrice-monthly within a year (January, April, July and October). The journal is focused to present original article, article review, and case ...