Analisis Regresi Binomial Negatif terhadap Faktor-Faktor yang Memengaruhi Kasus Tuberkulosis di Jawa Barat, Indonesia

Fikriya, Aufa
Shalfa Salsabilla
Raisah Zharifah Labibah
Sri Winarni
Defi Yusti Faidah
Anindya Apriliyanti Pravitasari
Triyani Hendrawati
Irlandia Ginanjar

EKSAKTA: Journal of Sciences and Data Analysis
VOLUME 7, ISSUE 1, April 2026

Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major public health problem globally, with West Java reporting the highest number of TB cases among all provinces in Indonesia in 2023. This study aims to identify key factors influencing TB incidence across districts and cities in West Java in 2024. The analysis focuses on healthy living behaviors, proper sanitation, HIV cases, and AIDS cases using a Negative Binomial Regression approach to address overdispersion in count data. The results show that proper sanitation has a significant negative association with TB incidence, while HIV and AIDS cases exhibit significant positive associations. The best-performing model includes these three variables, yielding a residual deviance of 27.615. These findings highlight the importance of integrated public health interventions that simultaneously improve sanitation and strengthen HIV/AIDS control programs to effectively reduce TB incidence in high-burden regions.