International Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship, Social Science and Humanities (IJMESH)
Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): January - June Volume

Future Electricity Demand in Asia: Policy Scenarios Using BAU Analysis

Tachrir, Tachrir (Unknown)
Hasddin, Hasddin (Unknown)
Handa, Muhamad Idham (Unknown)
Haydir, Haydir (Unknown)
Sambari, Villa Evadelvia Ginal (Unknown)
Jasman, Jasman (Unknown)
Maladeni, Eva Safitri (Unknown)
Husen, Osu Oheputra (Unknown)
Ishak, Alfian (Unknown)
Asrul, Asrul (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Apr 2026

Abstract

Electricity demand in Asia has grown substantially over the past three decades, creating a persistent imbalance between supply and consumption. This study analyzes long-term trends in the electricity supply–demand gap from 1993 to 2022 and develops forecasting models to support energy management and policy planning through 2052. Using quantitative time series methods, two scenarios are generated: Business as Usual (BAU) and Additional Efforts. The analysis shows that electricity demand will continue to rise across both scenarios, driven by industrial expansion and rapid urbanization. Although policy interventions and technological improvements help moderate growth, they are not sufficient to fully offset future demand pressures. The study underscores the importance of accelerating renewable energy deployment, improving energy efficiency, and strengthening transmission infrastructure. A short-term increase in efficiency-oriented efforts is essential for stabilizing the regional energy system. The findings provide actionable insights for policymakers and energy managers, offering an evidence-based foundation for designing sustainable electricity strategies that address Asia’s growing energy needs.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijmesh

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

Description

The journal has an international perspective on Management, entrepreneurship, Social Science and Humanities and publishes conceptual papers and empirical studies which bring together issues of interest to academic researchers and educators, policy-makers and practitioners worldwide. The editorial ...