ARZUSIN: Jurnal Manajemen dan Pendidikan Dasar
Vol 6 No 4 (2026): AGUSTUS

Pengaruh Rasio Keuangan terhadap Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Model Grover, Ohlson, dan Zavgren pada Perusahaan Farmasi yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Periode 2020-2024

Zahratu Tiara (Unknown)
Tartila Devy (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2026

Abstract

Financial distress is an important concern in financial studies because it can be used as an early indicator of a company’s potential bankruptcy. However, studies that specifically compare the effects of financial ratios on financial distress prediction using the Grover, Ohlson, and Zavgren models in pharmaceutical companies in Indonesia remain limited. This study aims to analyze the effects of Return on Assets (ROA), Current Ratio (CR), Debt to Asset Ratio (DAR), and Total Asset Turnover (TATO) on financial distress prediction in pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2020–2024 period. This study used a quantitative approach with a causal design. The research sample consisted of 10 pharmaceutical companies selected through purposive sampling. Data were obtained from companies’ annual financial statements through the documentation method and analyzed using multiple linear regression with the assistance of EViews 13. The results showed that ROA and TATO had significant effects on financial distress prediction in the Grover, Ohlson, and Zavgren models. CR had a significant effect in the Grover and Zavgren models but was not significant in the Ohlson model, whereas DAR had a significant effect only in the Grover model. Simultaneously, ROA, CR, DAR, and TATO had significant effects on financial distress prediction in all three models. In addition, the Grover and Zavgren models demonstrated higher predictive ability than the Ohlson model. These findings contribute to the development of Agency Theory and Signaling Theory in explaining the relationship between financial ratios and financial distress. The practical implications of this study can serve as a basis for consideration by investors, creditors, company management, and regulators in identifying financial distress risk at an earlier stage.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

arzusin

Publisher

Subject

Religion Education Social Sciences

Description

The journal aims to provide a forum for scholarly understanding of the field of education and plays an important role in promoting the process that accumulated knowledge, values, and skills. Scientific manuscript dealing with education, and science topics are particularly welcome to be submitted. ...