JOURNAL AGRIBUSINESS
Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL

THE IMPACT OF EGYPT’S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) ON THE VOLUME OF INDONESIA’S COFFEE EXPORTS (25-Year Data)

Elpawati (UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)
Zulmaneri (UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta)
Muhammad Rifky Zulfikar (Ministry of Agriculture, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Jun 2026

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of Egypt’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP, USD) on the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Egypt (kg) (Harmonized System Code: 090111) over the period 2000–2024 using a simple regression method. The analysis is conducted based on the prediction that there is a relationship between two quantitative variables (GDP → export volume). The quality of the regression equation is assessed using the coefficient of determination, where , which measures the proportion of variability explained by the regression model. The results show that GDP has a positive and statistically significant effect on coffee exports (t = 9.49, p = 0,00000000202), with an  Value of 0.796, and the F-test result was statistically significant (p < 0.001). These findings indicate that Egypt’s GDP has a statistically significant simultaneous effect on the volume of coffee exports (ceteris paribus). The R-squared value of 0.797 indicates that 79.7% of the variation in coffee export volume can be explained by Egypt’s GDP, while the remaining 20.3% is influenced by other factors outside the model.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

agribusiness

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

Description

Agribusiness Journal is a biannual and peer review journal published since June 1, 2007 by Study Program of Agribusiness, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta. Previously it has the name of Jurnal Agribisnis. Since 2017, it has been published with the name of ...