p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.562
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal JOURNAL AGRIBUSINESS
Elpawati
UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Published : 3 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 3 Documents
Search

THE EFFECT OF EXCHANGE RATE, NATIONAL CONSUMPTION, DOMESTIC PRICES, PRODUCTION, CULTIVATED LAND AREA, AND IMPORT TARIFFS ON INDONESIA’S SOYBEAN IMPORT VOLUME Nadindra Suci Melati; Elpawati; Rizki Adi Puspita Sari
AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL
Publisher : Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aj.v20i1.49426

Abstract

Indonesia imports more than 1.5 million tons of soybeans annually from various countries, from the United States, Canada, Brazil, Argentina, and Malaysia. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the rupiah exchange rate against the United States dollar (exchange rate), domestic soybean consumption, domestic soybean prices, domestic production, soybean planting area, and import duty tariff policies on the volume of soybean imports in Indonesia in the period 2012-2022.The data were obtained from Central Statistics Agency, Ministry of Agriculture, Ministry of Trade, Bank Indonesia, and UN Comtrade through documentation and literature studies. Data were analyzed descriptively and quantitatively with multiple regression tests, and classical assumption tests were also carried out to ensure the regression model met the criteria for normality, multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, and autocorrelation. The regression results show that the rupiah exchange rate has a negative coefficient, but is not significant (p-value 0.0912 > 0.05). Domestic consumption also has no significant effect on soybean imports (p-value 0.5651 > 0.05), although it has a positive coefficient. Domestic soybean prices have a negative and significant effect on soybean imports (p-value 0.0322 < 0.05), meaning that an increase in domestic soybean prices will reduce imports. Domestic soybean production and soybean planted area also have a negative and significant effect on soybean import volume (p-value 0.0030 and 0.0171 < 0.05). Import duty tariff policies show a positive and significant effect on soybean imports (p-value 0.0041 < 0.05), where a decrease in import duty tariffs increases soybean imports. Overall, these factors explain approximately 51.6% of the variation in soybean import volume in Indonesia.
POTENTIALS AND STRATEGIES OF INDONESIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Elpawati; Zulmaneri; Fajar Widyaharsanto
AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL
Publisher : Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aj.v20i1.50102

Abstract

Indonesia has significant potential in tropical fruit production; however, its export performance in non-traditional markets, especially to the United Arab Emirates (UAE), remains suboptimal. This study analyzes the potential and development strategies for Indonesian fruit exports to the UAE by examining competitiveness, trade dynamics, and key economic determinants. The research utilizes secondary data from 2019 to 2024 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency / Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the United Nations (UN) Comtrade Database, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The study employs SWOT analysis, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and the Gravity Model. The results indicate that although national production is substantial, the RCA index remains below 1, reflecting a weak comparative advantage compared to other competitor countries. The Gravity Model confirms that UAE GDP positively influences export volume, whereas geographical distance acts as a significant barrier. This study recommends strengthening quality standardization, especially for compliance with sanitary and halal requirements, optimizing logistics to reduce costs, and implementing premium product differentiation strategies to enhance competitiveness in the UAE market.
THE IMPACT OF EGYPT’S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) ON THE VOLUME OF INDONESIA’S COFFEE EXPORTS (25-Year Data) Elpawati; Zulmaneri; Muhammad Rifky Zulfikar
AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL
Publisher : Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aj.v20i1.50103

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of Egypt’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP, USD) on the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Egypt (kg) (Harmonized System Code: 090111) over the period 2000–2024 using a simple regression method. The analysis is conducted based on the prediction that there is a relationship between two quantitative variables (GDP → export volume). The quality of the regression equation is assessed using the coefficient of determination, where , which measures the proportion of variability explained by the regression model. The results show that GDP has a positive and statistically significant effect on coffee exports (t = 9.49, p = 0,00000000202), with an  Value of 0.796, and the F-test result was statistically significant (p < 0.001). These findings indicate that Egypt’s GDP has a statistically significant simultaneous effect on the volume of coffee exports (ceteris paribus). The R-squared value of 0.797 indicates that 79.7% of the variation in coffee export volume can be explained by Egypt’s GDP, while the remaining 20.3% is influenced by other factors outside the model.