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All Journal JOURNAL AGRIBUSINESS
Zulmaneri
UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry

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POTENTIALS AND STRATEGIES OF INDONESIAN FRUIT EXPORTS TO THE UNITED ARAB EMIRATES Elpawati; Zulmaneri; Fajar Widyaharsanto
AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL
Publisher : Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aj.v20i1.50102

Abstract

Indonesia has significant potential in tropical fruit production; however, its export performance in non-traditional markets, especially to the United Arab Emirates (UAE), remains suboptimal. This study analyzes the potential and development strategies for Indonesian fruit exports to the UAE by examining competitiveness, trade dynamics, and key economic determinants. The research utilizes secondary data from 2019 to 2024 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency / Statistics Indonesia (BPS), the United Nations (UN) Comtrade Database, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The study employs SWOT analysis, Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Export Product Dynamics (EPD), and the Gravity Model. The results indicate that although national production is substantial, the RCA index remains below 1, reflecting a weak comparative advantage compared to other competitor countries. The Gravity Model confirms that UAE GDP positively influences export volume, whereas geographical distance acts as a significant barrier. This study recommends strengthening quality standardization, especially for compliance with sanitary and halal requirements, optimizing logistics to reduce costs, and implementing premium product differentiation strategies to enhance competitiveness in the UAE market.
THE IMPACT OF EGYPT’S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) ON THE VOLUME OF INDONESIA’S COFFEE EXPORTS (25-Year Data) Elpawati; Zulmaneri; Muhammad Rifky Zulfikar
AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL Vol. 20 No. 1 (2026): AGRIBUSINESS JOURNAL
Publisher : Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/aj.v20i1.50103

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of Egypt’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP, USD) on the volume of Indonesian coffee exports to Egypt (kg) (Harmonized System Code: 090111) over the period 2000–2024 using a simple regression method. The analysis is conducted based on the prediction that there is a relationship between two quantitative variables (GDP → export volume). The quality of the regression equation is assessed using the coefficient of determination, where , which measures the proportion of variability explained by the regression model. The results show that GDP has a positive and statistically significant effect on coffee exports (t = 9.49, p = 0,00000000202), with an  Value of 0.796, and the F-test result was statistically significant (p < 0.001). These findings indicate that Egypt’s GDP has a statistically significant simultaneous effect on the volume of coffee exports (ceteris paribus). The R-squared value of 0.797 indicates that 79.7% of the variation in coffee export volume can be explained by Egypt’s GDP, while the remaining 20.3% is influenced by other factors outside the model.
Co-Authors Elpawati Fajar Widyaharsanto Muhammad Rifky Zulfikar