Jurnal Algoritma
Vol 23 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Algoritma

Kombinasi Decision Tree dan Naïve Bayes dengan Explainable AI untuk Prediksi Dropout

Agung Wibowo (Universitas Ngudi Waluyo)
Kustiyono (Universitas Ngudi Waluyo)
Eko Nur Hermansyah (Universitas Ngudi Waluyo)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2026

Abstract

Predicting student dropout risk is crucial for supporting early intervention and accountable academic decision-making. This study proposes a multi-class classification (Dropout, Enrolled, Graduate) using voting (Naïve Bayes and Decision Tree) and Explainable AI to enhance transparency. The dataset consists of 4,424 records with 36 features. Evaluation was conducted using k-fold stratified cross-validation (k=10) and the F1-macro metric. The results show that model performance is relatively close and stable at k=10, so model selection must consider the trade-off between performance and interpretability. The main contribution of this research is a web-based early warning DSS prototype that integrates Voting (NB+DT) with an XAI module (SHAP–LIME) so that predictions can be explained, audited, and followed up with academic intervention recommendations.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

algoritma

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal Algoritma merupakan jurnal yang digunakan untuk mempublikasikan hasil penelitian dalam bidang Teknologi Informasi (TI), Sistem Informasi (SI), dan Rekayasa Perangkat Lunak (RPL), Multimedia (MM), dan Ilmu Komputer (Computer ...