Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 1 No 2 (2017): Februari 2017

Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Kota Batu Menggunakan Metode Time Invariant Fuzzy Time Series

Aria Bayu Elfajar (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Budi Darma Setiawan (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Candra Dewi (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
11 Apr 2017

Abstract

Forecasting systems with fuzzy time series capturing the pattern of past data and then use it to project future data. The process also does not require a complex learning system as it exists on genetic algorithms and neural networks, so that make the system is easy to develop. In the prediction using fuzzy time series, the length of the interval has been determined at the beginning of the calculation process. While determining the interval length is very influential in the formation of fuzzy relationships also will have an impact on the prediction of the outcome differences. Therefore, the formation of the fuzzy relationship must be precise and it requires the determination of an appropriate interval length. One method that can be used to determine the effective length of the interval is an average based method. In this paper, the authors implement the fuzzy time series to forecast the monthly visitor data, as for the data used for testing is derived from Dinas Pariwisata Kota Batu and from the results of tests conducted that data forecasting using Average based earned value error AFER best of 0.0056% by using 60 training data

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...