Scientific Contributions Oil and Gas
Vol 49 No 2 (2026)

A Techno-Economic Framework for Natural Gas Pipeline Tariff Determination Under State Budget Financing: Evidence from The Semarang-Batang Open-Access Transmission Pipeline, Indonesia

Aji Agraning Bawono (BPH Migas)
Sutrasno Kartohardjono (Universitas Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Jul 2026

Abstract

Natural gas pipeline tariff regulation in Indonesia has historically been designed for investor-financed infrastructure, where tariffs must recover capital costs at a commercially determined weighted average cost of capital (WACC). The Semarang-Batang Transmission Pipeline (Cisem Phase I)—the first open-access transmission pipeline in Indonesia constructed under State Budget (APBN) financing—demands a fundamentally different tariff framework. This study develops and evaluates two alternative tariff formulation models tailored to government-funded infrastructure: (i) the State Capital Participation (PMN) scheme, which recovers capital at the government's retail sukuk coupon rate (IRR = 3.97%), and (ii) the State Property (BMN) scheme, which waives capital recovery entirely and charges only a management fee (CAPEX = 0). Results show that the BMN scheme delivers the lowest tariff of USD 0.279/MSCF, representing 55.7% below the conventional WACC-based tariff (USD 0.630/MSCF) and 25.0% below the PMN scheme (USD 0.372/MSCF). Sensitivity analysis confirms the BMN scheme's structural advantage: it eliminates IRR-driven tariff volatility and maximizes affordability for industrial end-users. These findings provide a replicable techno-economic framework and a practical policy basis for BPH Migas in determining transportation tariffs for APBN-financed pipeline infrastructure across Indonesia.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

SCOG

Publisher

Subject

Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Energy

Description

The Scientific Contributions for Oil and Gas is the official journal of the Testing Center for Oil and Gas LEMIGAS for the dissemination of information on research activities, technology engineering development and laboratory testing in the oil and gas field. Manuscripts in English are accepted from ...