Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science
Vol. 5 No. 11 (2026): Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science (Issue in Progres)

Design of a Strategic Decision-Making Framework Based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to Address Geopolitical Risks in Oil and Gas Shipping Operations at PT XYZ

Ivan Rezka Winata (Universitas Pertamina)
Suhari Pranyoto (Universitas Pertamina)
Nanda R. Nurdianto (Universitas Pertamina)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Aug 2026

Abstract

Oil and gas shipping operations are increasingly exposed to geopolitical risks because they depend on strategic maritime chokepoints and operate across jurisdictions affected by conflicts, sanctions, security threats, and regulatory changes. This study aimed to develop a strategic decision-making framework based on Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) to translate geopolitical risks into measurable operational decisions for PT XYZ. The research employed a qualitative explanatory case study supported by descriptive quantitative analysis. Data were collected through semi-structured interviews, internal document analysis, and public secondary sources and were validated through source and method triangulation. Security Risk Assessment was conducted using threat, vulnerability, consequence, likelihood, and impact parameters, followed by scenario analysis, safety and legal compliance screening, direct weighting, and MCDA-based alternative ranking. The results showed that crew safety and ship and cargo safety were the highest-priority criteria. The Continue as Planned option failed to meet the safety threshold, whereas the Re-Routing and Delay/Hold Position options achieved the highest scores of 4.20 and 4.16, respectively. Sensitivity testing indicated that these rankings could shift depending on management priorities. The study concluded that integrating security risk assessment, scenario analysis, and MCDA supported more structured, transparent, and accountable strategic decision-making under geopolitical uncertainty while strengthening organizational preparedness, resilience, and continuity of energy supply.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ijoms

Publisher

Subject

Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Public Health Social Sciences

Description

Indonesian Journal of Multidisciplinary Science (IJOMS) is a scientific journal in the form of research and can be accessed openly. This journal has e-ISSN 2808-6724 and p-ISSN 2808-5957. This journal is published monthly by International Journal Labs. The development of the company made the ...