Jurnal Ekonomi, Bisnis dan Pendidikan (JEBP)
Vol. 6 No. 8 (2026)

IMPORTS FROM CHINA AND THEIR IMPLICATIONS FOR SELECTED MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES IN IRAQ DURING THE PERIOD 2000–2023 AN ANALYTICAL ECONOMETRIC STUDY USING THE SVAR MODEL

Iqbal Hashem Mutashar (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Aug 2026

Abstract

This research is intended to examine how China's exports have affected some of Iraq's main macroeconomic indicators for the time period 2000-2023. In order to realize that goal, the SVAR structural vector autoregression model was used in this study because of its ability to analyze the dynamic interdependencies between economic variables. For this purpose, we were able to use yearly data for Iraq provided by the IMF, the World Bank, UN Comtrade database, COSIT and other sources. The variables used in this study were import volume from China (IMP) and inflation rate (inf); unemployment rate (UNP) and real gross domestic product (RGDP); exchange rate (exr) and money supply (m2). As is clear from this study's findings, Chinese import volumes are an important determinant of the Iraqi economy, especially as it relates to inflation rates and unemployment. Import shock has been shown to account for 25-31 percent of all variations in the inflation rate, and 22-25 percent of all variation in the unemployment rate over time.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

fe

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Other

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Pendidikan (JEBP) is a scientific journal in the business, economy, and education fields. This journal focuses on theoretical and empirical studies in the field of economy, business, and education. It welcomes research in the areas of economic development, economic ...