SISFOTENIKA
Vol. 16 No. 1 (2026): SISFOTENIKA

A Comparative Study of Machine Learning Models For Crop Disease Prediction Under Data Scarcity: Studi Komparatif Model Machine Learning untuk Prediksi Penyakit Tanaman dalam Kondisi Keterbatasan Data

Susanti Margaretha Kuway (STMIK Pontianak)
M. Dzil Kadri (STMIK Pontianak)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jan 2026

Abstract

In many agricultural settings, particularly in developing regions, access to large, high-quality labeled datasets remains a persistent constraint. This study examines whether reliable crop-disease classification can be obtained when data are scarce, and whether the choice of learning algorithm—rather than the volume of data—is the dominant factor governing accuracy. Using a controlled simulation of 150 samples described by three environmental parameters (temperature, humidity, and soil pH) across eight leaf-disease classes, we train and evaluate five classifiers: K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Decision Tree, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Logistic Regression. Each class is generated from characteristic, overlapping environmental ranges so that a learnable but non-trivial signal exists. Models are assessed on a stratified 30% hold-out set using accuracy, macro precision, recall, and F1-score, with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) used to visualize decision boundaries. At a fixed and small sample size, accuracy varied widely across models (from 51.11% for the Decision Tree to 68.89% for Logistic Regression), all substantially above the 12.50% random baseline for eight balanced classes. Among the three tree-family and instance-based models that motivated the study, Random Forest was the strongest (64.44%). These results support the central premise that, in low-resource conditions, principled model selection contributes more to predictive performance than simply enlarging the dataset.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

sisfotenika

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering

Description

Jurnal Ilmiah SISFOTENIKAditerbitkan oleh LPPM STMIK Pontianak dan IndoCEISS. Frekuensi Terbit Tengah Tahunan (2 kali dalam setahun, yaitu bulan Januari dan Juli). Jurnal SISFOTENIKA terakreditasi SINTA 4 melalui Surat Keputusan Direktur Jenderal Pendidikan Tinggi, Riset, dan Teknologi Kementerian ...