JURNAL ILMIAH EKONOMI, MANAJEMEN, BISNIS DAN AKUNTANSI
Vol. 3 No. 6 (2026): November

Pengaruh Cadangan Devisa, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, dan Inflasi terhadap Nilai Tukar Rupiah di Indonesia Tahun 1996-2025

Fauziah, Yuniar Lilah (Unknown)
Siti Nurfitriani (Unknown)
Mira Rosa (Unknown)
Siti Anindia Permatasari (Unknown)
Fita Purwaningsih (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
02 Nov 2026

Abstract

The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar responds quickly to both domestic and external economic conditions. This study analyzes the effect of foreign exchange reserves, economic growth, and inflation on the rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia in the short and long run, using annual data for 1996–2025 and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach in EViews 12. The bounds test (F-statistic 16.81603) indicates a long-run relationship, and the error correction term (-0.972810) is negative and significant. In the short run, economic growth has a significant negative effect on the exchange rate, while inflation becomes significant only at the third lag. In the long run, economic growth is significant at 1 percent (negative) and inflation is significant at 10 percent (positive), whereas foreign exchange reserves are not statistically significant. The model passes the normality, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity tests and is stable according to CUSUM and CUSUMSQ.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jemba

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JURNAL ILMIAH EKONOMI, MANAJEMEN, BISNIS DAN AKUNTANSI Berfokus pada penerbitan artikel berkualitas tinggi yang didedikasikan untuk semua aspek Ekonomi, Manajemen, Bisnis dan Akuntansi. Jurnal ini memberikan ruang bagi para peneliti untuk berdiskusi, mengejar dan meningkatkan pengetahuan di bidang ...