Background: Regional labor-market policy must balance job creation, wage protection, and workforce capability despite uncertain evidence. Aims: To appraise reported associations between regional economic performance, minimum wages, educational attainment, and employment in Lampung and clarify their decision relevance. Methods: A retrospective reappraisal used published regression results for 14 districts/municipalities over 2013–2015 (42 district-year observations). The original analysis employed multiple linear regression in SPSS 17; a qualitative decision-evidence matrix was subsequently developed without new estimation or policy optimization. Results: Economic performance (B = 0.172, p = .537) and minimum wages (B = −0.029, p = .958) were not statistically significant, while education was positively associated with labor absorption (B = 0.447, p < .001). Model fit was F(3, 38) = 13.277, p < .001, R² = .512. Conclusion: Education provides a historical diagnostic signal rather than evidence of program effectiveness. The matrix identifies missing information on measurement, causal effects, costs, and distributional trade-offs before policy choices can be assessed.
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