Jurnal Pengembangan Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer
Vol 2 No 12 (2018): Desember 2018

Peramalan Harga Pasar Telur Ayam Ras di Kota Malang dengan Menggunakan Metode "PSO-NN"

Nadya Sylviani (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)
Arief Andy Soebroto (Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 Aug 2018

Abstract

The increase in population and growth in the farming field was one of the reason of rising in consumption of animal protein. One of the source of animal protein that has been the most preferable for its affordable price and easy to get, is purebred chicken egg. However, the issue in purebred chicken egg sales that has been faced by the market is its fluctuate price. Therefore, the researcher build a forecasting system using Particle Swarm Optimization-Neural Network (PSO-NN). This method proved to be better than the NN training using Backpropagation. PSO training will be carried out to the maximum iteration and the results of the training in the form of optimal weight values will be used as initialization weights for NN training. The type of NN used is Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN). The NN training is done by using 4 lag time, 2 hidden units, and 1 output which represents the result of price forecasting. Based on the result of this research, PSO proved to be able to speed up NN on finding the optimal solution. The lowest MAPE found using PSO-NN in this research is 1.01552%.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

j-ptiik

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering

Description

Jurnal Pengembangan Teknlogi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer (J-PTIIK) Universitas Brawijaya merupakan jurnal keilmuan dibidang komputer yang memuat tulisan ilmiah hasil dari penelitian mahasiswa-mahasiswa Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Brawijaya. Jurnal ini diharapkan dapat mengembangkan penelitian ...