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Departemen Manajemen, FEB Universitas Indonesia, Jl. Prof. DR. Sumitro Djojohadikusumo, Kukusan, Kecamatan Beji, Kota Depok, Jawa Barat 16424
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INDONESIA
Indonesian Capital Market Review
Published by Universitas Indonesia
ISSN : 19798997     EISSN : 23563818     DOI : https://doi.org/10.7454/icmr
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The intent of the Editors of The Indonesian Capital Market Review is to discuss, to explore, and to disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The topics cover capital markets, financial institutions and services, corporate finance, risk modeling and management, market microstructure in financial markets, Islamic finance, behavioral finance, and financial crisis. By submitting your work to the Indonesian Capital Market Review (ICMR), the author(s) automatically agree to transfer the copyright to ICMR, if the submitted paper is accepted for publication.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Keuangan
Articles 5 Documents
 1 
Search results for , issue "Vol. 12, No. 1" : 5 Documents clear
The Effect of Family Ownership and Control on Dividend Policy of Publicly Listed Firms in Indonesia and Malaysia Ayu, Laras; Viverita, Viverita
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 12, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine the influence of family ownership and family control ona firm’s dividend policy of publicly listed firms in Indonesia and Malaysia. This study applied thegeneralized least square panel data over 2003-2016 and considering the period of global financialcrisis 2008-2010. The results show that a firm with a higher percentage of family ownership paysmore dividend compared to non-family firms. The same effect applies to the percentage of familycontrol. In contrast, we found that higher debt levels will reduce the dividend payment. These findingsindicate that dividend distribution can be used as a policy to lessen agency problems of listed firms.
Volatility Forecasts Jakarta Composite Index (JCI) and Index Stock Volatility Sector with Estimated Time Series Bahtiar, Muhammad Rifki
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 12, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study aims to explore the comparative ability of forecasting models and the time series volatility of capital markets in Indonesia using JCI daily index data and sectoral indices from January 2010 to December 2014. The use of ARCH-family ARCH model (1.1) and GARCH (1.1) used to capture symmetrical effects, while TGARCH (1.1), EGARCH (1.1), APGARCH (1.1) on asymmetric effects. The results show that JCI return has an asymmetrical effect and the closest forecasting model is EGARCH (1.1). Returns for AGRI, MINING, BASICIND, INFRA, FIN, TRADE indices also have asymmetrical effects but are modeled with TGARCH (1.1). Meanwhile, the MISCIND, CONSUMER, PROPERTY indexes have a symmetrical effect and are modeled with GARCH (1.1). These models can explain forecasting closest to the real as well as provide guidance investors in the Indonesia capital market as one of the emerging markets
Capital Market and Financial Development on Growth: A Panel ARDL Analysis Appiah, Michael; Frowne, Derrick Yaw Idan; Tetteh, Derrick
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 12, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study evaluates the influence of capital market development and financial development ongrowth in the three West African countries. Data used for the research is from the World Bank and Pen World Table (PWT). This research uses the Panel ARDL test to examine the long-term relationship, as well as the error correction model to analyze the existence of a short-term relationship. The results show that in both the long term and short term, there is a negative influence of capital market development on economic growth. On the same line, in the long term, financial development is also negatively associated with growth and has no significant impact on economic growth. The ECM results indicate that there is a long-run causality effect between capital market development, financial development, and economic growth.
Determinants and Prediction Accuracy of Price Multiples for South East Asia: Conventional and Machine Learning Analysis Joshi, Himanshu; Chauha, Rajneesh
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 12, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The present study evaluates determinants of price multiples and their prediction accuracy usingordinary least square (OLS) regression and machine learning-based shrinkage methods for the South East Asian markets. Price multiples examined in the research are price to earnings (P/Es), price to book (P/B), and price to sales (P/S). Data has been collected from Thomson Reuters Eikon. The study recommends that the P/B ratio is the best price multiple for developing a price-based valuation model. Beside fundamental determinants of the multiple, various firm-level control variables, namely, firm size, cash holding, strategic holding, stock price volatility, firms’ engagement in Environment, Social, and Governance (ESG) activities, dividend yield, and net profit margin impact firm’s P/B multiple. Positive coefficients of consumer non-cyclical and healthcare dummies indicate a preference for defensive stocks by the investors. Application of machine learning-based shrinkage methods ensures the accuracy of prediction even with out-of-sample forecasting.
Co-integration and Co-movement Between Asian Stock Price Index and Jakarta Composite Index Stevanius, Stevanius; Sukamulja, Sukmawati
Indonesian Capital Market Review Vol. 12, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

The profit from international diversification to eliminate risks has caused investors to spread their capital to different international stock exchanges. The dynamic relations among stock exchanges indicate the presence of one or two-way relations among the stock exchanges. This happens because of the interdependence and integration that takes place among stock exchanges, such as interdependence among Asian markets. This research aims to analyze and discuss co-integration and co-movement between Asian stock price index and Indonesia. The research design used Vector Error Correction Model. The results of this research prove that in the short-term, there is a relationship between Kuala Lumpur Composite Index, Stock Exchange of Thailand Index, and Hang Seng Index against Jakarta Composite Index. In the results of co-integration test, there are co-integration and co-movement between the capital markets of Malaysia, Thailand, South Korea, Japan, Singapore, and Hong Kong with Indonesia capital market.

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