cover
Contact Name
Ansari Saleh Ahmar
Contact Email
jurnalvariansi@unm.ac.id
Phone
-
Journal Mail Official
jurnalvariansi@unm.ac.id
Editorial Address
Program Studi Statistika, Fakultas MIPA UNM, Jalan Daeng Tata Raya, Makassar, 90223
Location
Kota makassar,
Sulawesi selatan
INDONESIA
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application on Teaching and Research
ISSN : -     EISSN : 26847590     DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.35580/variansiunm26374
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research memuat tulisan hasil penelitian dan kajian pustaka (reviews) dalam bidang ilmu dasar ataupun terapan dan pembelajaran dari bidang Statistika dan Aplikasinya dalam pembelajaran dan riset berupa hasil penelitian dan kajian pustaka.
Articles 5 Documents
Search results for , issue "Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)" : 5 Documents clear
Peramalan Menggunakan Model Hybrid ARIMAX-NN untuk Total Transaksi Pembayaran Nontunai Nuning Kusumaningrum; Ika Purnamasari; Meiliyani Siringoringo
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm57

Abstract

Non-cash payment transactions in Indonesia continue to experience an increase marked by the high consumptive behavior of the people. This consumptive behavior is based on the many attractive offers, especially on year-end holidays which are the effect of calendar variations. ARIMAX is a time series method that is able to detect the effects of calendar variations. Meanwhile, to increase the level of forecasting accuracy, it can be combined with other methods such as Neural Networks (NN). This study aims to predict the total non-cash payment transactions in Indonesia in the period January to December 2022 using the ARIMAX-NN hybrid model. Based on the forecasting results, four highly accurate models were obtained, namely the hybrid model ARIMAX(0,1,2)-NN 1 neuron, ARIMAX(0,1,2)-NN 2 neurons, ARIMAX(1,1,0)-NN 1 neurons, and ARIMAX(1,1,0)-NN 2 neurons with MAPE values ​​for each model below 5%. Based on the four models formed, the results of forecasting in the period January to December 2022 as a whole the data tends to fluctuate and has an upward trend pattern, especially in December, which is the month when year-end holidays occur.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG BERPENGARUH TERHADAP STATUS PEMBAYARAN KREDIT BARANG ELEKTRONIK DAN FURNITURE MENGGUNAKAN REGRESI LOGISTIK Memi Nor Hayati; Surya Prangga; Rito Goejantoro; Darnah; Ika Purnamasari
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm66

Abstract

Electronic goods and furniture for some people are currently seen as basic needs that must be met. High prices make it difficult for people to meet their needs with cash purchases, so they choose credit purchases using the services of finance companies in purchasing goods. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the status of credit payments for electronic goods and furniture at PT. KB Finansia Multi Finance Bontang 2020 uses logistic regression. Based on the results of the analysis, it was found that the predictor variables that had a significant effect on the credit payment status response variable were length of stay (domicile) at the address borne by the debtor when applying for credit (X3) and the amount of credit payments charged by the debtor per month (X6). The value of the Apparent Error Rate (APER) of 29.323% indicates that the logistic regression model obtained is also good for solving cases of current and non-current classification of credit payment status.
Analisis Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Ukuran Perusahaan, dan Reputasi Auditor terhadap Audit Delay pada Perusahaan Otomotif yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2015-2020 Menggunakan Regresi Logistik Hardianti Hafid; Ansari Saleh Ahmar; Zulkifli Rais
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm71

Abstract

This research aims to determine whether profitability, company size, and auditor reputation significantly influence audit delay using binary logistic regression analysis. The research results indicate that profitability has a significant individual (partial) effect on audit delay, while company size and auditor reputation do not have a significant individual (partial) effect on audit delay
Pemodelan Regresi Data Panel pada IPM di Sulawesi Selatan Zakiyah Mar'ah; Ruliana Ruliana; Ansari Saleh Ahmar; Zulkifli Rais
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm72

Abstract

HDI is an important indicator to measure success in efforts to build the quality of human life (community/population). HDI can determine the rank or level of development of a region/country. For Indonesia, HDI is strategic data because apart from being a measure of government performance, HDI is also used as an allocator for determining the General Allocation Fund (DAU). The development of HDI in Indonesia has always increased from year to year. In South Sulawesi, the HDI has increased significantly in the last 10 years. Where in 2012 the HDI of South Sulawesi was at 67.26 to 72.82 in 2022. This is measured based on three essential aspects, namely longevity and healthy living, knowledge, and a decent standard of living. Along with HDI, other indicators also show an increase from year to year. To find out how much these variables affect the increase in HDI during the 2018-2022 period, the panel data regression method is used which is a combination of time series data and cross section data. The regression model that is suitable for South Sulawesi HDI data from 2018-2022 is a panel data regression model with one-way random effects, namely individual effects. The model is written as follows IPM=(-1.9360e+01) + (1.0734e+00) UHH + (1.4014e-03) PPK + e
Penerapan Metode Analisis Regresi Linier Pada Faktor-Faktor Penguasaan Kosa Kata Bahasa Inggris Mahasiswa Fauzan Hari Sudding Sally; Muhammad Fahmuddin S
VARIANSI: Journal of Statistics and Its application on Teaching and Research Vol. 5 No. 01 (2023)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Fakultas MIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/variansiunm85

Abstract

This research aims to determine whether social media and students’ motivation to learn significantly affect students’ English vocabulary mastery using regression analysis. The findings indicate that students’ motivation to know has a significant effect on students' English vocabulary mastery. The coefficient of determination obtained is 0.301, which means that the motivation to learn variable can explain the vocabulary mastery variable by 30.1%. In comparison, the remaining 69.9% is explained by other variables not included in this research. However, there is no significant relationship was found between the use of social media by the students and their English vocabulary mastery

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