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Economic Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22526560     EISSN : 25022725     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Focus and Scope Economic Development Analysis Journal is a scientific journal who published by Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia. this journal published four times per year on February, May, August, and November and start publishing since 2012. The journal scope is related to the research in developing countries such as a development studies, poverty adequate, inequality, unemployment studies, behavioural economics, human development problems and others economics issues. Economics Development Analysis Journal also publish an articles related to the branch of development studies, such as, industry economics, international trade, bank and financial institutions, agriculture economics, financial studies, digital economics, small and medium enterprises, and tourism economics. It also published the study of development policy such as monetary economics, public economics, macro economics, micro economics, and economics policy. Therefore, this journal also received an articles related to spatial studies such as Urban, Regional, Development planning and Rural economics. Base on the scope, Economics Development Analysis Journal welcome a multidicipline articles who related to the economics and development studies.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 585 Documents
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Analisis Faktor – Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Remitansi di Kabupaten Cilacap Anggriawan Wisnu Putra
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22150

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh pendapatan, kebutuhan keluarga di daerah asal dan pengeluaran konsumsi TKI terhadap remitansi baik secara simultan maupun parsial. Populasi dalam penelitian ini meliputi seluruh tenaga kerja yang pernah dan akan berangkat menjadi TKI di kabupaten Cilacap sebanyak 50 orang. Adapun sampel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Purpossive Sampling dimana semua anggota populasi digunakan sebagai sampel. Variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah pendapatan (X1), kebutuhan keluarga (X2), konsumsi pribadi (X3) dan remitansi (Y). Metode pengumpulan data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini melalui wawancara terstruktur dengan menggunakan kuesioner. Analisis data yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi linier berganda dengan SPSS rilis 17. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan pendapatan dan kebutuhan keluarga berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap remitansi, sedangkan konsumsi pribadi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap remitansi. Simpulan dari penelitian ini yaitu secara parsial pendapatan dan kebutuhan keluarga berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap remitansi. Ketika pendapatan dan kebutuhan keluarga meningkat maka remitansi akan meningkat begitu pula sebaliknya. Sedangkan konsumsi pribadi memiliki pengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap remitansi, yang berarti ketika konsumsi pribadi mengalami kenaikan maka remitansi mengalami penurunan. Sedangkan secara simultan model regresi dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi remitansi. Variabel pendapatan berperan sebagai variabel paling dominan mempengaruhi remitansi. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of income, family needs in the area of origin and consumption expenditure of remittances migrant workers against either simultaneously or partially. The population in this study are the entire workforce ever and will go into migrant workers in Cilacap regency with the number of sample are 50 people. The sample used in this study is the purpossive sampling where all members of the population used as sample. Variables used in this research are Income (X1), the family needs (X2), private consumption (X3) and remittances (Y). Data collection methods used in this study through interviews using a structured questionnaire. The data analysis used is linear regression analysis with SPSS release 17. The results showed that Income and Family Needs had a positive and significant effect against to remittances , while private consumption had significantly negative influence Against to remittances. This study concludes that partially income and family needs had positive and significant impact on remittances. When income and family needs increases, remittances will increase and vice versa. While private consumption has a significant negative effect on remittances, which means when the personal consumption increases then remittances decreased. While simultaneously obtained the regression model can be used to predict remittances. Variable income serves as the most dominant variable affecting to remittances.
Analisis Potensi Pengembangan Pusat Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kabupaten Karanganyar 2009-2013 Arumpaka Arumpaka Priangga
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22151

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan kecamatan yang berpotensi sebagai pusat pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Karanganyar. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder yaitu berupa data times series dengan periode waktu tahun 2009-2013 yang bersumber dari BPS Provinsi Jawa Tengah, BPS Kabupaten Karanganyar dan jurnal serta literatur yang berkaitan dengan penelitian. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu Tipologi Klassen, Analisis Location Quotient (LQ), Model Rasio Pertumbuhan (MRP), Analisis Overlay, Analisis Skalogram. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa yang menjadi pusat pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten Karanganyar dan kawasan kerjasamanya adalah Kawasan Barat dengan pusat pertumbuhan ekonomi Kecamatan Gondangrejo, Kawasan Tengah dengan pusat pertumbuhan Kecamatan Karanganyar, Kawasan Timur dengan pusat pertumbuhan Kecamatan Matesih, dan Kawasan Selatan dengan pusat pertumbuhan Kecamatan Jumantono. Kesimpulan dari penelitian ini bahwa terdapat empat kecamatan pusat pertumbuhan yang saling berinteraksi dengan kecamatan di sekitarnya. This study aims to determine the potential districts as centers of economic growth in Karanganyar. The data used in this research is secondary data in the form of data time series with the time period of 2009-2013 taken from BPS Central Java province, BPS Karanganyar as well as journals and any other literatures which are related to the research. The analytical methods being used are Typology Klassen, Location Quotient analysis (LQ), Growth Ratio Model (MRP), Overlay analysis, and Schallogram analysis. The results of this study indicate that the center of economic growth in Karanganyar and its regional cooperation are the Western Region with the center of economic growth is in the District Gondangrejo, Central Region with the growth center is in Karanganyar, Eastern Region with Subdistrict Matesih as its center of economic growth, and South Region with Subdistrict Jumantono as its center. The conclusion is four sub-district as the center of economy growth interacting each other with the surrounding sub-district.
Disparitas Pembangunan Wilayah Kabupaten/ Kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Linda Ika Wahyuntari; Amin Pujiati
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22153

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi klasifikasi daerah cepat maju dan cepat tumbuh, menganalisis pengaruh aglomerasi industri, dana perimbangan, IPM, dan klasifikasi daerah cepat maju dan cepat tumbuh terhadap disparitas pembangunan wilayah kabupaten/ kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis deskriptif Tipologi Klassen dan analisis regresi data panel dengan metode Generalized Least Square (GLS). Hasil identifikasi kabupaten/ kota yang konsisten berada di klasifikasi daerah cepat maju dan cepat tumbuh dalam kurun waktu tahun 2009-2013, yaitu Kabupaten Cilacap, Kota Magelang, Kota Surakarta, dan Kota Semarang. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa aglomerasi industri berpengaruh positif dan signifikan, sedangkan dana perimbangan, IPM, dan klasifikasi daerah cepat dan cepat tumbuh berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap disparitas pembangunan wilayah kabupaten/ kota di Provinsi Jawa Tengah. This study aims to identify the classification of the area fast forward and fast-growing, analyze the effect of industrial agglomeration, the balance funds, HDI, and area classification fast forward and fast-growing against the disparity of development districts/ cities in Central Java province. This research using descriptive analysis Typology Klassen and panel data regression analysis with the method of Generalized Least Square (GLS). The results of the identification of districts/ cities that are in the area classification consistently fast forward and fast-growing in the period 2009-2013, namely Kabupaten Cilacap, Kota Magelang, Kota Surakarta and Kota Semarang. The results of this study indicate that the industrial agglomeration effect on positive and significant, while the balance funds, HDI, and the classification of fast and fast-growing regions a significant negative effect on the development disparity districts/ cities in Central Java province.
Analisis Permintaan Perjalanan Pengguna Jasa Kereta Api Eksekutif Rute Semarang-Jakarta MG. Endang Sri Utari; Dyah Maya Nihayah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22154

Abstract

Penelitian ini berjutuan menganalisis pengaruh pendapatan konsumen, harga tiket kereta api, persepsi harga tiket pesawat, kualitas layanan, jenis kereta api, dan adanya tiket promo pesawat terhadap permintaan kereta api eksekutif Argo Muria dan Argo Sindoro Rute Semarang-Jakarta. Populasi penelitian ini adalah rata-rata penumpang Argo Muria dan Argo Sindoro per har, sedangkan jumlah sampel 160 orang diambil menggunakan rumus slovin dan teknik simple random sampling. Metode pengumpulan data menggunakan angket, wawancara dan dokumentasi. Metode analisis menggunakan analisis regresi Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pendapatan konsumen, harga tiket kereta api Argo Muria dan Argo Sindoro serta adanya tiket promo pesawat berpengaruh terhadap jumlah permintaan kereta api eksekutif Argo Muria dan Argo Sindoro. Using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) this paper aims to analyze the effect of: railway passenger’s income, railway fares, perception of air travel fares, railway service performance, types of trains and air promo travel tickets to the demand of executive class railway route Semarang-Jakarta. The population of this research are passenger of Argo Muria and Argo Sindoro an average each day, amount of sample are 160 people was taken by slovin formula and simple random sampling. The method of accumulating data used questionnaire, interview and documentation. The result shows that the railway passenger’s income have positive income to executive railway demand. An increase executive railway fares will result in decrease executive railway demand. The air promo travel tickets have positive effect to difference of executive class railway demand caused passenger’s decision to move in air plane or unturned by railway.
Analisis Perbandingan Kinerja Dosen Dua Tahun Sebelum dan Sesudah Remunerasi Putti Fadhilah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22155

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini untuk menjelaskan dan mengkaji penerapan sistem remunerasi serta membandingkan kinerja tenaga pengajar dua tahun sebelum dan sesudah remunerasi di Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Semarang. Teknik pengambilan sampel menggunakan teknik Proportional Stratified Random Sampling dengan sampel sebanyak 48 orang responden yang merupakan dosen Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Semarang. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah analisis deskriptif kuantitatif dengan alat analisis uji distribusi frekuensi dan uji beda berpasangan (Paired Sample T-test). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan penerapan sistem remunerasi di Universitas Negeri Semarang berbasis pada merit pay dan komponen yang digunakan meliputi Pay For Position, Pay For Performance, dan Pay For People. Hasil lain menunjukkan terdapat perbedaan kinerja dosen, yaitu peningkatan kinerja dosen pada saat dua tahun sebelum dan sesudah remunerasi. Perbedaan kinerja ini didasarkan pada rata-rata masing-masing indikator kinerja. The purpose of this study to describe and assess the implementation of the remuneration system and compares the performance of the faculty two years before and after the remuneration at the Faculty of Economics, Semarang State University. Mechanical sampling using proportional stratified random sampling with a sample of 48 respondents who are lecturer of Faculty of Economics, Semarang State University. The method used is quantitative descriptive analysis by means of test analysis and Paired sample T-test. The results research shows the application of the remuneration system in Semarang State University based on merit pay and componenents used include pay for position, pay for performance, and pay for people. Other results showed there are differences in faculty performance, which is based on the performance imorivement on average each performance indicator.
Pengaruh Jumlah Pelanggan PLN, Hotel, Industri terhadap Penerimaan Pajak Penerangan Jalan Kota Timung Tri Prasetyo; Prasetyo Ari Bowo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22156

Abstract

Pajak penerangan jalan berkontribusi besar bagi Kota Semarang. Setiap tahunnya penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan di Kota Semarang selalu melebihi target yang telah ditetapkan. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh jumlah pelanggan PLN, jumlah hotel, jumlah industri terhadap penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan. Objek penelitian ini adalah penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan di Kota Semarang periode 1985-2014. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain penelitian dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Analisis data menggunakan analisis Regresi Linier Berganda dengan metode Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Berdasarkan hasil penelitian dapat disimpulkan bahwa jumlah pelanggan berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan, jumlah hotel berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan, jumlah industri berpengaruh signifikan terhadap penerimaan pajak penerangan jalan. Street lighting contribute greatly to the tax for the city of Semarang. Each year a tax receipt street lighting in the city of Semarang have always exceeded the targets that have been set. The purpose of this research is to know the influence of the number of customers PLN, the number of hotels, the amount of the tax receipt against industry street lighting. The object of this study is the tax revenue street lighting in the city of Semarang in the period 1985-2014. This research uses a quantitative approach to design research. Data analysis using Multiple Linear regression analysis with the method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the results of the study it can be concluded that the number of influential customers significantly to tax revenues, the number of hotel street lighting effect significantly to tax revenues, the number of street lighting industry's influential tax revenues significantly to street lighting.
Determinant of Fuel Consumption in Indonesia Tri Atmojo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22158

Abstract

Fuel consumption in Indonesia is increasing due to rising incomes, the number of motor vehicles in Indonesia. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of fuel price policy, motor vehicles (motorcycles), per capita income on the consumption of fuel (Premium). The object of this study is the fuel consumption in the Republic of Indonesia period 1985-2014. The design of this research study with a quantitative approach. Analyzed using Multiple Linear Regression Ordinary Least Square method (OLS). Based on the results of this study concluded that the pricing policies have a significant effect on the consumption of premium, per capita income has positive influence on consumption of premium, the number of motorcycles positive effect on premium consumption, as well as fuel prices, per capita income, and the number of motorcycles simultaneously positive effect on consumption of premium.
Kesenjangan Fasilitas Publik antar Kabupaten/Kota Dan Kaitannya dengan Pusat Pertumbuhan Wontiana Wontiana; ST Sunarto
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 3 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i3.22159

Abstract

Salah satu indikator kesenjangan kemakmuran daerah dapat dilihat dari perbedaan jumlah dan jenis fasilitas publik yang terdapat dimasing-masing daerah. Ketidakmerataan penyebaran sumber daya dan pembangunan fasilitas sosial ekonomi menyebabkan pertumbuhan wilayah juga tidak merata, sehingga diperlukan adanya daerah-daerah yang dapat menjadi pusat pertumbuhan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis tingkat kesenjangan fasilitas publik di Provinsi Jawa Tengah dan kabupaten/kota yang berpotensi menjadi pusat pertumbuhan di masing-masing kawasan strategis Provinsi Jawa Tengah. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder fasilitas publik di 35 kabupaten/kota Provinsi Jawa Tengah yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu analisis deskriptif, analisis skalogram dan indeks sentralitas marshal. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan kesenjangan fasilitas publik di Provinsi Jawa Tengah rendah. Pusat pertumbuhan di masing-masing kawasan strategis Provinsi Jawa Tengah adalah Kedung Sepur: Kota Semarang dan Kota Salatiga, Barlingmascakep: Kabupaten Cilacap dan Kabupaten Banyumas, Purwomanggung: Kota Magelang dan Kabupaten Wonosobo, Subosukowonosraten: Kabupaten Sukoharjo dan Kabupaten Klaten, Banglor: Kabupaten blora, Wanarakuti: Kabupaten Jepara dan Kabupaten Pati, Tangkallangka: Kota Pekalongan dan Kabupaten Pemalang, Bregas: Kota Tegal. One of the indicator of regional disparities in prosperity could be seen from the difference in the number and types of public facilities contained in each regions. Inequality deployment of resources and socio-economic development of the facility led to the growth of the region was also uneven, so, it is requires some areas that can become the center of growth.The purpose of this study is to analyze the inequality of public facilities in Central Java and the districts / cities that potentially could become the center of growth in each strategic region of Central Java. the data used is secondary data of public facilities in 35 districts / cities in Central Java from The Central Statistic Board. A method of study using descriptive analysis through SPSS, Schallogram analysis, and centrality index analysis. The results showed that the public facilities disparities is low. Center of growth in each strategic region of Central Java is Kedung Sepur: Semarang City and Salatiga, Barlingmascakep: Cilacap and Banyumas, Purwomanggung: Magelang City and Wonosobo, Subosukowonosraten: Sukoharjo and Klaten, Banglor: Blora, Wanarakuti: Jepara and Pati, Tangkallangka: Pekalongan City and Pemalang, Bregas: Tegal City.
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Keputusan Migrasi Commuter di Kabupaten Demak Ahmad Shidiq
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22171

Abstract

Fenomena migrasi sangat mewarnai di beberapa negara berkembang, termasuk di berbagai daerah di Indonesia. Di Indonesia terutama banyak tenaga kerja yang berasal dari daerah pedesaan mengalir ke daerah perkotaan, Salah satunya dari Kabupaten Demak. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi keputusan migrasi commuter di Kecamatan Karangtengah Kabupaten Demak antara lain adalah pendapatan pendidikan, pekerjaan daerah asal, jumlah tanggungan serta status perkawinan. Dalam penelitian ini menggunakan data primer melalui instrumen kuesioner terhadap sampel yaitu sebanyak 89 responden, dan menggunakan data sekunder yaitu data dari instansi-instansi terkait serta literatur buku. Penelitian ini dilakukan di Kecamatan Karangtengah Kabupaten Demak. Analisi yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah binary logistic regression. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pendapatan berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap keputusan migrasi commuter, pendidikan berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap keputusan migrasi commuter, pekerjaan di daerah asal berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap keputusan migrasi commuter, jumlah tanggungan daerah asal berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap keputusan migrasi commuter, status perkawinan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap keputusan migrasi commuter. The phenomenon of migration is very coloring in some developing countries , including in the various regions in Indonesia . In Indonesia especially many workers coming from rural regions flowed into the urban area, One of Demak District. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the decision of commuter migration in Sub Karangtengah Demak district include the earnings of education, employment areas of origin, number of dependents and marital status. In this research, using primary data through a questionnaire on the sample of 89 respondents, and using secondary data is data from relevant agencies and literature books. This research was conducted at Sub Karangtengah, Demak District. The analysis used in this study is a binary logistic regression. The results showed that the income a significant negative effect on the migration decision commuter, education has positive and not significant to the migration decision commuter, work in the area of origin has positive and not significant to the migration decision commuter, number of dependents homelands negative and not significant to decision commuter migration, marital status and significant positive effect on the decision commuter migration.
Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Karet Indonesia ke Malaysia Tahun 1983-2013 Aini Kusrini; Arini Novandalina
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22172

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi ekspor karet Indonesia ke Malaysia. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder. Dimana data yang diperoleh diwujudkan dalam bentuk angka dan analisis menggunakan metode statistika dan ekonometrika. Penelitian ini menggunakan data runtut waktu (time series). Variabel dalam penelitian ini adalah luas areal lahan, produksi, dan kurs rupiah terhadap ekspor karet Indonesia ke Negara Malaysia.Data di analisis dengan metode kuantitatif. Metode analisis yang digunakan Ordinary Least Square (OLS) dengan menggunakan alat bantu sofware Eviews. Berdasarkan hasil yang diperoleh bahwa luas areal lahan,Produksi,Kurs pada analisis regresi liniear berganda berpengaruh Signifikan terhadap ekspor karet Indonesia ke Malaysia. Luas lahan berpengaruh terhadap ekspor sebesar 2.050, produksi berpengaruh terhadap ekspor sebesar 0.000368, Kurs berpengaruh terhadap ekspor sebesar 0.090. Hasil penelitian dapat diberi saran yaitu Sebaiknya pemerintah dan petani karet bekerjasama meminimalisir pengalihan lahan karet, Pemberian subsidi bibit karet kepada petani karet dan Sebaiknya para eksportir mempelajari strategi dagang internasional sehingga selalu dalam posisi tawar yang baik dalam kondisi apapun. The purpose of this study to describe the factors influence of Indonesian rubber export to Malaysia. The data used in this secondary data. Where the data is obtained be formed in the form number and analysis using statistical and econometric methods. This study use time series data (time series) the variable in this study is the wide land of area, the production exchange rate againts Indonesia rubber export to the country of Malaysia. The data were analyzed with quantitative method. The method of analysis used ordinary least square (OLS) using eviews software tool. Based on the results obtained that the wide land of area, exchange on multiple linear regression analysis significant influence in the Indonesia rubber export to Malaysia the land of area effect in export by 2050. The production amounted to 0.000368 impact to export, exchange rate effect in the export by 0090. The results of research can be given suggestions are: The government and rubber farmer should cooperate to minimize the shift of rubber plantation area, The providing subsidies the seed of rubber to the rubber farmer and The exports should learning International trade strategy untill it is in a good bargaining position in any condition.

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