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Economic Development Analysis Journal
Published by Universitas Negeri Semarang
ISSN : 22526560     EISSN : 25022725     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Focus and Scope Economic Development Analysis Journal is a scientific journal who published by Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia. this journal published four times per year on February, May, August, and November and start publishing since 2012. The journal scope is related to the research in developing countries such as a development studies, poverty adequate, inequality, unemployment studies, behavioural economics, human development problems and others economics issues. Economics Development Analysis Journal also publish an articles related to the branch of development studies, such as, industry economics, international trade, bank and financial institutions, agriculture economics, financial studies, digital economics, small and medium enterprises, and tourism economics. It also published the study of development policy such as monetary economics, public economics, macro economics, micro economics, and economics policy. Therefore, this journal also received an articles related to spatial studies such as Urban, Regional, Development planning and Rural economics. Base on the scope, Economics Development Analysis Journal welcome a multidicipline articles who related to the economics and development studies.
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (Lain-Lain)
Articles 585 Documents
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The Analysis of Absolute Convergency of Human Development Inter Provinces in Indonesia Ana Syukriyah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22173

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to identify the sigma and absolute beta convergence of the Human Development Index (HDI) inter provinces in Indonesia, and identify the speed of absolute beta convergence. This study used a quantitative analysis with tool used is regression panel data with fixed effect model Generalize Least Square method (GLS). The results shows that there happen sigma convergence of HDI and absolute beta convergence of HDI inter provinces in Indonesia. The speed of absolute convergence is equal to 0.807 percent annually.
Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia dan Angkatan Kerja terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Andini Mulyasari
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22174

Abstract

Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis besaran pengaruh indeks pembangunan manusia dan angkatan kerja yang bekerja terhadap PDRB Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah Tahun 2010-2014. Penelitian ini menggunakan analisis regresi data panel melalui pendekatan Fixed Effect Model (FEM) dengan metode Generalized Least Square (GLS). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa secara bersama-sama variabel indeks pembangunan manusia dan angkatan kerja yang bekerja berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah. Sedangkan hasil secara parsial menunjukan bahwa indeks pembangunan manusia berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah dan angkatan kerja yang bekerja juga berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Tengah. The purpose of this study was to analyze the influence of human development index and labor toward GRDP regency/city in Central Java 2010-2014. This study used panel data regression analysis through Fixed Effect Model (FEM) approach with the Generalized Least Square (GLS) method. The results of this study showed that the variable of human development index and labor has positive and significant influence to the GRDP regency/city in Central Java. While the partial results showed that the index of human development have positive and significant influence to the GRDP regency/city in Central Java and the labor have positive and significant influence to the GRDP regency/city in Central Java.
Analisis Kebijakan Pemerintah dalam Meningkatan Daya Saing Industri Pakaian Jadi Awinda lutfina Ratnasari; P. Eko Prasetyo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22175

Abstract

Daya saing industri pakaian jadi Kabupaten Semarang belum baik dan cenderung melemah. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui daya saing industri pakaian jadi di Kabupaten Semarang, kebijakan pemerintah terhadap daya saing industri pakaian jadi, sensitivitas industri pakaian jadi di kabupaten Semarang terhadap perubahan upah, harga tarif dasar listrik, dan BBM, Kebijakan pemerintah dalam upaya meningkatkan daya saing industri pakaian jadi di kabupaten Semarang. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain penelitian dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Analisis data menggunakan analisis Revealed Comparative Analysis (RCA), Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) dan analisis sensitivitas. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan, berdasarkan nilai indeks RCA nilai daya saing komparatif industri pakaian jadi Kabupaten Semarang pada tahun 2008-2012 cenderung melemah, hasil analisis PAM tahun 2010-2012 daya saing keunggulan komparatif dan kompetitif memiliki nilai yang cenderung melemah. Kebijakan pemerintah yang berlaku menyebabkan industri mengeluarkan biaya lebih besar dari biaya imbangan untuk berproduksi. Sensitivitas pada kebijakan kenaikan upah minimum dapat menurunkan daya saing, sedangkan kenaikan TDL dan BBM tidak berdampak terhadap daya saing namun dapat mengurangi keuntungan. Dalam upaya meningkatan daya saing dan keuntungan, perubahan kebijakan pemerintah yang berlaku harus diimbangi dengan kenaikan nilai tambah. The competitiveness of the apparel industry Semarang regency has not been good , tends to weaken . The purpose of this research was to determine the competitiveness of the apparel industry in Semarang District, government policies on the competitiveness of the apparel industry ,the sensitivity of the apparel industry in Semarang regency to changes in wages, the price of the basic electricity tariff and fuel prices, government policy in improving the competitiveness of the apparel industry in the district of Semarang. The design of this research study with a quantitative approach. Analyzed using Revealed Comparative Analysis ( RCA ), the Policy Analysis Matrix ( PAM ) and sensitivity analysis. These results indicate, RCA index value based on the comparative competitiveness of the apparel industry Semarang District in 2008-2012 tended to weaken, PAM analysis results in 2010-2012 competitiveness comparative and competitive advantages have values that tend to weaken. Prevailing government policies caused the industry to spend more than the opportunity costs of production. Sensitivity to tdhe policy of minimum wage increases could reduce the competitiveness. While the rise in electricity and fuel prices had no impact on competitiveness but may reduce profits. In an effort to increase competitiveness and profitability , the changes in government policies that apply to be offset by the increase in value -added.
Pengaruh Kondisi Individu terhadap Keputusan Migrasi Sirkuler ke Kota Semarang Hastu Rahma Anggraini; Fafurida Fafurida
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22176

Abstract

Fenomena migrasi sangat mewarnai di beberapa negara berkembang, termasuk di berbagai daerah di Indonesia. Di Indonesia terutama banyak tenaga kerja yang berasal dari daerah pedesaan mengalir ke daerah perkotaan, Salah satunya dari Kabupaten Kendal. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap keputusan migrasi sirkuler yang antara lain meliputi jenis kelamin, usia, status perkawinan, tingkat pendidikan dan pendapatan. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah tenaga kerja kabupaten Kendal yang bekerja di Kota Semarang dan menjadi migrasi sirkuler yang jumlahnya 1.135 jiwa Tidak semua tenaga kerja dalam populasi menjadi objek dalam penelitian ini karena jumlahnya sulit untuk diketahui. Pengambilan sampel dilakukan dengan metode Snowball sampling dalam hal ini sampel adalah tenaga kerja di sektor formal yang bekerja di Kota Semarang dan menjadi migrasi sirkuler yang berjumlah 92 responden. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Jenis kelamin berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap migrasi sirkuler, usia berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap migrasi sirkuler, status perkawinan berpengaruh negatif dan tidak signifikan terhadap migrasi sirkuler, tingkat pendidikan berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap migrasi sirkuler, pendapatan berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap migrasi sirkuler. The phenomenon of migration is very coloring in some developing countries, including in the various regions in Indonesia . In Indonesia especially many workers coming from rural regions flowed into the urban area, One of Kendal District. This study aims to determine the factors that influence the decision of circular migration which includes gender, age , marital status , education and income levels . In this study the object studied is the workforce in the formal sector who work in the city of Semarang and becomes circular migration. The population in this study was a labor of Kendal district who work in the city of Semarang and becomes circular migration which numbers 1,135 souls Not all workers in the population become the object of this study because the amount is hard to know. Sampling was done by snowball sampling method in this case the sample is labor in the formal sector who work in the city of Semarang and becomes circular migration which amounted to 92 respondents. Based on the results of the study indicate that the Gender positive and significant to circular migration, age positive and not significant to circular migration, marital status negative and not significant to circular migration, education level positive and significant impact on circular migration, revenue negative effect and significant impact on circular migration.
Strategi Pemberdayaan Ekonomi Petani Garam Melalui Pendayagunaan Aset Tanah Pegaraman Ihsannudin Ihsannudin; Sukmo Pinujib; Subejo Subejo; Bertus Sumada Bangko
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22177

Abstract

Madura bernilai strategis dalam produksi garam nasional, namun kenyataannya kondisi petani garam masih hidup di bawah garis kemiskinan. Penelitian bertujuan merumuskan strategi pemberdayaan petani garam melalui pendayagunaan aset pertanahan dengan pendekatan subsistem budaya-kelembagaan dan subsistem ekonomi. Guna mencapai hal tersebut, perlu diketahui kondisi subsistem budaya-kelembagaan dan subsistem ekonomi petani garam. Selain itu, dikaji faktor-faktor penyebab ketidakberdayaan petani. Hasil analisis menunjukkan subsistem budaya menunjukkan bahwa usaha pegaraman adalah bagian budaya masyarakat yang mengakar dan tidak dapat dipisahkan dari masyarakat Madura. Sementara dari subsistem kelembagaan menunjukkan petani garam dikelompokkan menjadi petani pemilik tanah dan petani penggarap (mantong). Pendekatan subsistem ekonomi menunjukkan bahwa produksi garam sangat tergantung iklim dan cuaca dan masih menggunakan teknologi tradisional. Strategi pemberdayaan bagi petani pemilik tanah adalah dengan mengupayakan sertifikasi tanah untuk mendukung akses permodalan. Sementara untuk mantong diarahkan memperoleh redistribusi tanah oyek landreform yang kemudian disertifikasi. Tanah tanah yang telah disertifikasi tersebut nantinya dapat dilakukan konsolidasi tanah yang berperan pada peningkatan kuantitas dan kualitas produksi garam serta mereduksi biaya transportasi. Tanah yang telah tersertifikasi juga dapat digunakan untuk agunan guna mengakses modal. Madura has an important role in the national salt production. unfortunately, most of salt farmers in Madura are living under the poverty line. This paper discuss about the strategies to empower salt farmers through improving the access of lands, proposing culture-institutional and economic subsytem approch. This strategy can be formulated by investigate the condition of the cultural- institutional and economic subsystem of salt farmers. In addition, also discussed the factors that cause the incapacities of the farmers to improve their welfare. The result based on cultural subsystem show that salt production is part of the Madura culture that deeply entrenched. Then, based on institutional subsystem show salt farmers can be divided into two type: the farmers that own their lands and peasant farmers (mantong). Meanwhile, based on economic sub system describe the existing salt production system is traditionally managed, highly dependent on the weather and climate condition. An empowerment strategy for the landowners is to get land registration to access the capital. While empowering for mantong directed to acquire redistribution on land reform object. Salt land that has been certified can be consolidated which contribute to increasing the quantity and quality of salt production and reduce transportation costs. Then salt that has been certified can be be used for collateral in order to access capital.
Dampak Realokasi Anggaran Belanja Subsidi BBM untuk Pembangunan Infrastruktur terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia Muhammad Anas; Wahyu Widodo; FX Sugiyanto
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22179

Abstract

Kondisi dan daya saing infrastruktur Indonesia belum memadai akibat belanja infrastruktur yang terhambat karena membengkaknya anggaran subsidi BBM. Pada akhir tahun 2014, pemerintah mereformasi anggaran belanja dengan memangkas anggaran subsidi BBM dan meningkatkan anggaran pembangunan infrastruktur. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis dampak realokasi anggaran belanja subsidi BBM untuk pembangunan infrastruktur terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan data yang bersumber dari BPS dan Susenas, penelitian ini menerapkan aplikasi Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi (SNSE) sebagai alat analisis untuk melihat seberapa besar dampak kebijakan bagi pertumbuhan ekonomi dan pendapatan rumah tangga. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa realokasi anggaran subsidi BBM untuk pembangunan infrastruktur sosial (seperti pendidikan dan kesehatan) berpengaruh lebih besar terhadap perekonomian Indonesia dibandingkan infrastruktur fisik (seperti jalan dan jembatan). Meski pertubuhan ekonomi yang diperoleh melalui hasil simulasi belum mencapai target pembangunan, namun dalam jangka panjang pembangunan infrastruktur diharapkan mampu mengakselerasi pertumbuhan ekonomi. Indonesia’s infrastructure has been inadequate and not competitive due to the lack of infrastructure spending because of the consistently increasing budget for fuel subsidy. Therefore, at the end of 2014, Government of Indonesia (GoI) reformed their budgeting policy by diverting fuel subsidy’s budget to develop infrastructure. The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of diverting Indonesia’s budgeting policy from fuel subsidy to infrastructure on its economy. Using data from Statistics Indonesia and National Survey of Social and Economy, this study applied Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) as the analytical tool to quantify the magnitude of the impact from the policy on Indonesia’s economic growth and household income. Simulation results indicated that developing social infrastructure (such as education and health) had a bigger impact on Indonesia’s economy than developing physical infrastructure (such as roads and bridges). Although the economic growth resulted from the simulation policy could not meet Indonesia’s target, infrastructure spending is expected to accelerate growth in the long run.
Distribusi Fungsi Pelayanan Kecamatan dan Interaksi antar Kecamatan di Kabupaten Tegal Nur Budi Setiawan; Bambang Prishardoyo
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22180

Abstract

Pelayanan publik adalah segala kegiatan pelayanan yang diselenggarakan oleh penyelenggara pelayanan sebagai upaya pemenuhan kebutuhan penerima pelayanan, Pelayanan publik ini menjadi semakin penting karena senantiasa berhubungan dengan masyarakat yang memiliki keanekaragaman kepentingan dan tujuan. Oleh karena itu penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui distribusi fungsi pelayanan kecamatan serta interaksi antar kecamatan pada setiap Satuan Wilayah Pembangunan (SWP) di Kabupaten Tegal. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian dari kedua masalah yang diperoleh bahwa Distribusi fungsi pelayanan menunjukan bahwa Kecamatan yang memiliki jumlah penduduk sedikit belum tentu jumlah fasilitasnya juga sedikit, dengan kata lain terjadi ketidakmerataan fasilitas di Kabupaten Tegal. Tingkat interaksi menunjukan bahwa Kecamatan yang memiliki jumlah tingkat interaksi tertinggi adalah Kecamatan Margasari, dan Kecamatan yang memilki jumlah Interaksi Terendah adalah Kecamatan Talang, Keterkaitan antara Distribusi fungsi pelayanan dengan Interaksi antar wilayah menunjukan semakin rendah jumlah fasilitas suatu Kecamatan maka semakin tinggi tingkat interaksi dengan Kecamatan lainnya, hal ini terjadi karena untuk memenuhi kebutuhan suatu daerah, maka daerah tersebut harus mengakses fasilitas daerahlainnya Public service is any service activity organized by service providers as addressing the needs of service recipients, public services have become increasingly important because it is always in touch with people who have a diversity of interests and goals. Therefore, this study aims to determine the distribution of the service function and interaction among sub-districts in each Regional Unit Development (SWP) in Tegal regency. Based on the research results obtained from the second issue that the distribution of the service function indicates that the sub-district which has a population of a little bit is not necessarily the number of facilities are also a little bit, in other words going inequality facilities in Tegal regency. The level of interaction indicate that the Regency which have the highest number of population is Margasari Regency, and the Regency that have the lowest number of interaction is Talang Regency. The relevance between the service fuction distribution with the interaction between region indicate that the number of facilities a district is lower, then the level of interaction with other Regency is higher. It happened because to fulfill the requirement a region, so that region have to access the facility of other regions.
Relationship of The Economy and Investment Sector on The Implementation of Labor Central Sector of Central Java Rifa Atun Mahmudah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22182

Abstract

This study aimed to analyze the linkages between sectors, multiplier and the investment sector’s role in increasing the amount of output and the amount of labor that can be absorbed in the economy in the Province of Central Java. This study used a quantitative approach with secondary data. The analytical tool used was the analysis of input-output tables Province of Central Java in 2013 primarily relies on domestic transactions table on the basis of producer prices. The results showed the role of economy based on the analysis forward linkages and backward linkages can be divided into leading sectors, growing sector, potential sectors and underdeveloped sector. Sectors with the highest output multiplier is the manufacturing sector. Sector with the highest labor multiplier is the agricultural sector. The results also showed that the leading sectors also have a growing sectors impact on the highest output and labor absorption of final demand investment, that is trade, hotels and restaurants; Manufacturing Industry; and agriculture. Increased investment will increase the value of output and an increase in output will increase employment. At last, investments have a positive relationship with employment.
Mekanisme Transmisi Kebijakan Moneter dalam Mempengaruhi Inflasi dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia Rifky Yudi Setiawan; Karsinah Karsinah
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22183

Abstract

Sejak dikeluarkannya UU Bank Indonesia yang baru tahun 1999, Bank Indonesia telah diberi amanah sebagai otoritas moneter ganda yang dapat menjalankan kebijakan moneter konvensional maupun syariah. Sejak saat itu perbankan dan keuangan syariah berkembang pesat.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat alur transmisi kebijakan moneter dari sisi konvensional dan syariah dalam mempengaruhi inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi, yang kemudian membandingkan keduanya. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan jalur konvensional memiliki alur sesuai dengan teori transmisi kebijakan moneter yang ada hingga mempengaruhi inflasi dan pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan jalur syariah belum mempunyai alur yang sesuai dengan teori kebijakan moneter yang ada. Berdasarkan hasil VECM variabel syariah dapat menurunkan laju inflasi dan meningkatkan pertumbuhan ekonomi, sedangkan variabel konvensional dapat menurunkan laju inflasi akan tetapi menahan laju pertumbuhan ekonomi. Kemudian berdasarkan hasil FEVD jalur konvensional lebih berpengaruh dalam mengendalikan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan inflasi dengan masing-masing kontribusi sebesar 50,5% dan 19,97%, sedangkan jalur syariah masing-masing sebesar 29,07%. dan 19,47%. Since New Banking Act in 1998, Indonesia has implemented a dual banking system, where conventional and Islamic banks can operate side by side throughout Indonesia. With the implementation of Bank of Indonesia’s Act in 1999, Bank of Indonesia has a dual mandate to conduct both conventional and Islamic monetary policies. Since then, the Islamic banking and finance has been growing rapidly. The aim of this study is to see how transmission channel of monetary policy from side of conventional and Sharia channel to Influence Inflation and Economic Growth compare them both. The results showed the conventional channel is worked according to the theory of transmission mechanism of monetary policy that affect the final target inflation and economic growth, whereas Sharia channel does not worked according to the monetary policy. Based on the results of VECM on Sharia channel variable can reduce the inflation and increase the economic growth at the same time, while the variable of conventional channel can reduce the inflation but also reduce the economic growth at the same time. Then based on the results of FEVD conventional channel is more effective in controlling the economic growth and the inflation with contribution of 50.5% and 19.97%. while the Islamic bank financing channel with contribution of 29.07% and 19.47%.
Pengaruh Harga Minyak Dunia, Nilai Tukar dan Inflasi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Yaenal Arifin
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 5 No 4 (2016): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v5i4.22184

Abstract

Harga minyak dunia dan nilai tukar merupakan variabel - variabel yang diserahkan dalam mekanisme pasar internasional. Guncangan pada keduanya dapat berdampak pada stabilitas perekonomian domestik. Kinerja perekonomian salah satunya dapat diukur dari laju pertumbuhan ouput riil negara tersebut. Harga minyak dan nilai tukar dapat secara langsung mempengaruhi tingkat ouput riil suatu negara maupun secara tidak langsung yaitu melalui jalur inflasi. Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh harga minyak dunia dan nilai tukar terhdap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia melalui mediasi inflasi. Metode analisis yang adalah analisis jalur (path analyze) dengan menggunakan data time series kuartal selama tahun 2005-2014. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan; secara parsial, harga minyak dunia berpengaruh positif (signifikan) dan nilai tukar berpengaruh positif (tidak signifikan) terhadap inflasi. Secara parsial harga minyak dunia berpengaruh positif (signifikan) , nilai tukar berpengaruh negatif (signifikan) dan inflasi berpengaruh positif (signifikan) terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Inflasi dalam penelitian ini hanya memediasi pengaruh harga minyak dunia terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. World Oil prices and exchange rate are variables which controled by international market mechanism. Shocks on both can have an impact on the stability of the domestic economy. The economic performance measured in real output growth. Oil price and exchange rate directly affect a country's of real output growth and indirectly is through inflation. This study aims to determine the impact of oil price shock and exchange rate volatility on Indonesia’s economic growth through inflation mediation. The method of analysis are using path analyze with quarterly time series data during the years 2005-2014. The result showed : partially, the oil price positively (significant) and positive exchange rate effect (not significant) on the inflation. Partially, world oil prices has a positive effect (significant), the exchange rate has a negative effect (significant) and the inflation has a positive effect (significant) to the economic growth. Inflation in this research just has a mediation the effect of world oil price to the economic growth.

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