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Economic Journal of Emerging Markets
Published by Universitas Islam Indonesia
ISSN : 20863128     EISSN : 2502180x     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
The Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM) is a peer-reviewed journal which provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to emerging market economies. Published every April and October, this journal welcomes original research papers on all aspects of economic development issues. The journal is fully open access for scholarly readers.
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Articles 9 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020" : 9 Documents clear
The relationship between unemployment and immigration with linear and nonlinear causality tests: Evidence from the United States Alper Aslan; Buket Altinöz
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art2

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between the immigrant population and the unemployment rate in the United States for period from 1980 to 2013. For this purpose, firstly, coefficient of long and short run is estimated by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method and then, linear and nonlinear causality test are applied. Findings/Originality: According to ARDL test results; there is a positive effect of immigration to the United States on the unemployment rate to in the long run. In other words, while there is no statistically significant relationship between two variables in the short run, an increase in the immigrant population increases the unemployment rate by 0.14 percent in the long run. The bootstrapped Toda-Yamamoto linear causality test results imply that there is no causal relationship between immigration and unemployment. Also, there is no nonlinear relationship between immigration population and unemployment rate in the United States.
Analysis of consumer preferences for prepaid mobile internet packages in Iran: A Discrete Choice Experiment Arya Sohrabi; Mir Saman Pishvaee; Ashkan Hafezalkotob; Shahrooz Bamdad
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art4

Abstract

As a first discrete choice experiment in Iran emerging telecommunication market, this paper studies consumer preferences for prepaid mobile internet packages with a combined software and paper-based interview. A two-stage Bayesian D-optimal design procedure is deployed to design choice sets of mobile internet packages from four main attributes. The utility structure and customers’ willingness-to-pay for mobile internet packages are analyzed. Findings/originality: The results indicate that even with a considerable price reduction, consumers avoid prepaying for data plans with commitment periods longer than six months and high traffic volume. Traffic volume and brand attributes are recognized as the two most influential factors on consumers’ behavior. Simulating the market demonstrates the competition between mobile internet operators in Iran market. The statistics express a significant effect of consumers’ current mobile operator on their preferences for the brand attribute.
The effect of the financial crisis on macroeconomic variables in Iraq, Iran, and Turkey Younis Ali Ahmed; Biaban Nwri Rostam; Burhan Ali Mohammed
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art5

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of financial crises on macroeconomic variables that include gross domestic product (GDP), export, inflation, and exchange rates, in some developing countries, namely Iraq, Iran, and Turkey, from 1980 to 2017. In doing so, it performed unit root and cointegration tests and employed generalized least square and panel dynamic least squares estimating methods. Findings/Originality: The empirical results show that the financial crises affect GDP, export, inflation, and exchange rates of the countries at different levels. While the Asian financial crisis shows a significant negative effect on GDP in Iran and Iraq, the global financial crisis exhibits a negative influence on export in all countries. Nevertheless, both Asian and global crises positively affect inflation because financial crises reduce expenditure at the family and government levels. Thus, governments worldwide attempt to minimize the inflation rate.
Economics of agritourism development: An Iranian experience Mohammad Hossein Askarpour; Amir Mohammadinejad; Reza Moghaddasi
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art8

Abstract

Agritourism is known as a means of identification and realization of various on-farm and off-farm attractions existing in rural areas. This study aims at exploring the main determinants of agritourism development in Iran. Data were obtained via field survey and interview with 115 sample farmers from areas currently presenting agritourism services. By using a multinomial logit model, the impacts of theoretically expected variables were estimated. Findings/Originality:  Education is the main driver of agritourism development. The programs aiming at increasing the knowledge of farmers regarding different advantages of agritourism should be paid special attention by the government. The result also indicates direct effect of diversified crops and services on probability to get involved in agritourism business. Provision of more crops and services on the farm generates more attraction for tourists and can lead to development of agritourism. In addition, farm size revealed same association, while the age of farmers has an adverse effect on provision of agritourism.
Risk-adjusted and Bonferroni-adjusted seasonality in emerging Asian stock markets Faheem Aslam; Bilal Ahmed Memon; Khurram Shahzad Mughal
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art7

Abstract

Existing literature on market seasonality focuses mainly on returns anomalies with little or no attention to risk adjustment. This study investigates risk-adjusted, and Bonferroni adjusted day-of-the-week anomalies in nine emerging Asian stock markets. The data consist of the daily prices of nine stock indices from January 1997 to September 2019. The MSCI emerging market index was employed as a proxy of time-varying risk. Findings/originality: The results confirm the presence of day-of-the-week anomalies in emerging Asian markets, and the addition of the market risk proxy has failed to fade these patterns. Finally, after consideration of time-varying risk premium and applying Bonferroni Correction type adjustment, several market anomalies remain. However, both adjustments partially eliminate the significance of these patterns. The presence of these anomalies suggests that little of this can be accounted for the MSCI-EM stock price index. The results also confirm that systematic risk level varies from Monday to Friday.
The impacts of liberalization and trade facilitation on economic performance, poverty and income inequality: An analytical study Sukoco Sukoco; Djoni Hartono; Arianto Patunru
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art6

Abstract

This study examines the impacts of import duty and trade transaction cost reductions on economic performance, poverty, and income distribution inequality, through the top-down computable general equilibrium approach. Findings/Originality: It reveals that reducing import duty in agricultural decreases urban poverty but increases the poverty incidence at the rural and national levels. Reducing import duty in agricultural industry lowers urban and national poverty without affecting rural poverty. Meanwhile, the reductions of both import duty and transaction costs bring down the poverty incidence at all levels – urban, rural, and national. The inequality in rural and national income distribution increased due to the cuttings of import duty in agricultural and agricultural industry. However, it declined due to the reduction of transaction costs, and the combined transaction cost with import duty in agricultural or agricultural industry.
Regional financial inclusion and poverty: Evidence from Indonesia Iwan Fathi Fauzan; Muhammad Firdaus; Sahara Sahara
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art3

Abstract

This paper builds a financial inclusion index of thirty-three provinces in Indonesia from formal financial institutions banks. It aim at analyzing how the financial inclusion index relates to regional poverty using a spatial panel econometric approach. Findings/Originality: The results show that the average financial inclusion index of each province in Indonesia is still in a low category, and there is a financial system development inequality between DKI Jakarta Province and other regions. We also find that poverty has a significant negative effect on the financial inclusion index. With the recent migration of residents as a spatial weighting matrix, we decompose the global effect of the poverty variable on the financial inclusion index into a local effect for each province.
Empirical investigation on the relationship between exports and economic growth in selected LDCs country groups (1988-2018) Khalil Ghazi Hassan
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art1

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the export-led growth hypothesis for two developing country groups i.e. the Middle East and North African (MENA), and South Asian (SA) countries. The study uses time-series data for the period of (1990-2018) based on the unit root, cointegration, error correction modelling, and Granger causality tests. Findings/originality: The results found a long-run cointegration, but no evidence for significant relations between the variables was confirmed. Furthermore, there is no Granger causality between economic growth and exports in the two directions for the MENA countries. But for the SA countries, we note a unidirectional causality from economic growth to exports, i.e. the growth in both country groups was not driven by an export-led growth strategy. This implies that exports aren’t the cause of output growth, and Accordingly, looking for alternative factors of growth in the countries concerned can be suggested.
Parametric reform analysis of the Moroccan public pension system Hind El-houjjaji; Abdellah Echaoui
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 12 Issue 1, 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol12.iss1.art9

Abstract

In 2016, the government of Morocco adopted a parametric reformintended to deal with the critical financial situation of the CMR civilianpension regime. We examine the robustness of this reform using theCohort-Component population projection model to the fund'spopulation during the period 2014-2064. Then we lead a projection ofthe scheme financial situation. Moreover, we project the status quosituation and an alternative scenario where we propose to increase theretirement age solely, and then compare the results with those of the2016 parametric reform. Findings/Originality: For the threescenarios, a parametric reform will have a limited effect on the financialsituation, in both the long and the short-term. In long run, it is notsufficient to solve the problem of massive increase of pension schemedeficits while in short run it is not sufficient to eliminate the existingstructural problems neither to avoid the future financial deficit.Furthermore, our alternative scenario seems to have some moreadvantages, comparing with the other scenarios.

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