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All Journal Rangkiang Mathematics Journal UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Bunga Miftahul Barokah
Universitas Negeri Padang
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics Social Sciences Other

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Survival Analysis of Heart Failure Patients Using the Cox Proportional Hazard Model and Weibull Regression Rahmika Alya; Tessy Octavia Mukhti; Sri Wahyuni; Bunga Miftahul Barokah; Azizah Apriyerni
UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science
Publisher : Departemen Statistika Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ujsds/vol3-iss2/351

Abstract

Cardiovascular disesase is the leading cause of death globally, claiming around 17,9 million lives each year, accounting for 31% of all deaths worldwide. Hearth failure is a common event caused by cardiovascular disease. Hearth failure is one of the principal health issues with excessive mortality and morbidity costs. Heart failure is the main reason of mortality worldwide. This take a look ambitions to analyze the factors influencing the survival of heart failure patients using the Cox proportional hazard Cox (PH) model and the Weibull regression. The main purpose of this study is to provide information on the causes of heart failure deaths and what effects occur when having heart disease. It is hoped that the results of this study can provide the general public to be more careful in order to prevent heart failure disease. The data used are secondary data from Kaggle consisting of 299 patients with the variables anemia, diabetes, hypertension, gender and smoking status. The analysis showed that only hypertension significantly increased the risk of events in both models, whereas other variables were not statistically significant. The selection of the best model is based on the assumptions of proportional hazard, flexibility, and Akaike information criterion (AIC) values. The Cox-PH model was chosen as the model of choice because it is more flexible and does not require certain fundamental assumptions regarding risk distribution. This study provides important insight into the risk factors that influence the prognosis of heart failure patients.
Nonparametric Fourier Series Regression for Unemployment Analysis in Banten Province Bunga Miftahul Barokah; Fadhilah Fitri; Chairina Wirdiastuti
Rangkiang Mathematics Journal Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Rangkiang Mathematics Journal
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Universitas Negeri Padang (UNP)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/rmj.v5i1.90

Abstract

The Open Unemployment Rate (OUR) is a vital indicator of regional economic performance, particularly in Banten Province, which faces disparities in education and poverty. This study models the unemployment rate using two predictors: average years of schooling and poverty level, through a nonparametric Fourier series regression for the 2017–2024 period. This method provides greater flexibility in capturing the nonlinear and fluctuating patterns often observed in socio-economic data. The analysis used secondary data from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), beginning with descriptive statistics and data visualization. Models were evaluated using Generalized Cross-Validation (GCV) and the coefficient of determination (R²). The optimal model was found at K = 3, with a GCV of 2.4057 and an R² of 0.5155. The model effectively captured the non-linear relationships between unemployment, education, and poverty. Although the R² value is moderate, this indicates that including additional explanatory variables could enhance the model’s performance. These findings support the use of Fourier series regression as an alternative approach for labor market analysis, especially when linear methods fall short and provide insights for developing more targeted employment policies.
Co-Authors Azizah Apriyerni Chairina Wirdiastuti Fadhilah Fitri Rahmika Alya Sri Wahyuni Tessy Octavia Mukhti