Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Jurnal Media Computer Science
Aldo Zantohodi
Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu
Computer Science & IT

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Comparative Analysis Of Fuzzy Time Series And Double Exponential Smoothing Methods In Predicting Medicine Demand At Community Health Centers Aldo Zantohodi; Lena Elfianty; Rizka Tri Alinse
Jurnal Media Computer Science Vol 5 No 3 (2026): Juli
Publisher : LPPJPHKI Universitas Dehasen Bengkulu

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37676/jmcs.v5i3.12140

Abstract

Drug inventory management in primary health centers requires accurate forecasting to reduce stock-outs, overstock, and logistics inefficiency. This study compares Cheng Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Holt Double Exponential Smoothing (DES) for forecasting drug demand at Pajar Bulan Public Health Center. Using LPLPO data, 84 valid drug items were analyzed with January-December 2025 as training data and January-April 2026 as testing data. DES produced a lower MAE, but FTS achieved a better MAPE and was superior on 65.5% of items with valid MAPE. The results indicate that FTS is more robust for fluctuating active drug demand, while DES is suitable for more stable trend patterns.
Co-Authors Lena Elfianty Rizka Tri Alinse