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All Journal Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi
Fadhil Daniyal Rabbany
Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Pengaruh Inflasi Terhadap Tingkat Pengangguran di Indonesia Tahun 2015–2024 Ananda Erwin Yuliartha; Fadhil Daniyal Rabbany; Dijan Rahajuni; Oki Anggraeni
Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): September : Jurnal Publikasi Ekonomi dan Akuntansi
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51903/jupea.v6i3.7379

Abstract

This study analyzes the effect of inflation on Indonesia's unemployment rate from 2015 to 2024. Using a descriptive-verificative quantitative approach and simple linear regression, secondary time-series data from BPS and BI were examined. The regression model produced Y = 4.969 + 0.142X. The t-test yielded a significance value of 0.299 (> 0.05), indicating that inflation has a positive but statistically insignificant effect on open unemployment. The coefficient of determination (R²) is 13.4%, showing that inflation weakly explains unemployment variations, while 86.6% depends on external factors. This finding contradicts the classical Phillips Curve due to structural anomalies, particularly the COVID-19 pandemic shock where unemployment spiked despite low inflation. Consequently, government employment policies should not rely solely on monetary stability but must integrate labor-intensive investments and human resource development. 
Co-Authors Ananda Erwin Yuliartha DIJAN RAHAJUNI Oki Anggraeni