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All Journal Jurnal Terapan Abdimas JURNAL TEKNIK INFORMATIKA DAN SISTEM INFORMASI International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR)
As'ad, Mohamad
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Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Other

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THE FORECASTING OF MONTHLY INFLATION IN MALANG CITY USING AN AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE Farida, Eni; As'ad, Mohamad
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 5, No 2 (2021): IJEBAR, VOL. 05 ISSUE 02, JUNE 2021
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v5i2.2328

Abstract

Abstract: Malang is known as a student city since there are a lot of schools and universities that can be found in Malang Indonesia. Malang is also an attractive tourist place with many tourist attractions in the city of Malang. Public transportation in the city of Malang is also very varied, ranging from conventional and based online. Access to the city of Malang is varied, namely trains, buses, and planes. Thus economic growth in the city of Malang is getting better, this can be seen from the economic activity in the increasingly crowded city of Malang. A good economy is usually followed by stable inflation. For this reason, it is necessary to examine how the monthly inflation rate in Malang city. This study aims to forecast inflation in the coming periods using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. Secondary monthly inflation data is obtained from BPS Malang. From this research, the ARIMA model (2,0,3) is obtained. The accuracy model is used in this research namely root means square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute square error (MASE). The accuracy value is RMSE equal 0.2645467, MAE equal 0.2013898, and MASE equal 0.6047399. Keywords: Monthly inflation forecasting, BPS Malang city, ARIMA model.
Forecasting Performance Base on Exponential Smoothing with SES and ETS Model for Gold Price Forecasting As'ad, Mohamad
JATISI (Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi) Vol 11 No 1 (2024): JATISI (Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi)
Publisher : Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian pada Masyarakat (LPPM) STMIK Global Informatika MDP

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35957/jatisi.v11i1.3804

Abstract

Abstract Gold has two functions, jewelry, and investment. Investments made by the community are expected to be lucky, therefore it is necessary to predict when gold is bought and sold. This research is a follow-up study on using a forecasting model that is easy, simple, and has high accuracy. This study compares the single exponential smoothing (SES) model in previous studies and the exponential smoothing-state space or better known as ETS (error, trend, and seasonal). This study uses the same data as previous studies. The comparison criteria used for the accuracy of the SES and ETS models are AIC and BIC, while the comparison of forecasting accuracy uses MAPE and RMSE. The results of this study conclude that the ETS model (M, N, N) is more accurate than the SES model and can be used for short-term forecasting and then the model should be updated so that the model gets the latest information about the data so that in predicting the daily gold price for the coming period. can be accurate. The ETS model used has an exponential coefficient (α) of 0.9999 with AIC and BIC values ​​of 2902,143 and 2912,882 with MAPE and RMSE forecasting accuracy values ​​of 0.6513446 and 15.01525, respectively. Forecasts for the next three periods with the ETS(M, N, N) model fluctuate around the price of 1600 ($ 1600 USA per troy ounce).
SETTING JARINGAN MIKROTIK DAN PEMBUATAN CHANNEL YOUTUBE UNTUK MASJID JAMI’ MANARUL HUDA SUMBERSARI KOTA MALANG As'ad, Mohamad; Firdaus, Nasrul; Syaifullah, Ali
Jurnal Terapan Abdimas Vol 6, No 1 (2021)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS PGRI MADIUN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25273/jta.v6i1.6045

Abstract

Abstract. Information technology is one of the tools in various fields, including in the field of Islamic da'wah. Islamic da'wah with information technology in the form of live streaming recitation to youtube (online da'wah) is viral now. This online da'wah was the wish of Takmir and the congregation of Masjid Jami' Manarul Huda. Setting up the internet network with Mikrotik and making channels on youtube at the Masjid Jami' Manarul Huda was community empowerment, namely the application of science and technology to the community at the Masjid Jami' Manarul Huda. This program was a form of community service from STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita (STIMATA) Malang. This community service aims to apply the knowledge that was on campus to the wider community, especially the Masjid Jami 'Manarul Huda so that they can carry out wider preaching and serve the congregation. The installation of the Telkom Indihome network was carried out at the end of December 2018 and also proxy settings and the creation of a youtube channel, namely "manarul_huda official" completed in early January 2019. After the internet network and hotspot were built, congregations could use free internet access at the mosque and from routine religious studies could do live streaming or upload videos about da'wah activities at the mosque so that it can be accessed by fellow Muslims even though they don't come to the mosque. Hopefully, this program can provide benefits for the congregation and Takmir of Masjid Jami 'Manarul Huda Malang City. Abstrak. Teknologi informasi merupakan salah satu alat bantu dalam berbagai bidang tidak terkecuali dalam bidang dakwah Islam. Dakwah Islam dengan teknologi informasi yang berupa pengajian live streaming ke youtube (dakwah online) sekarang ini lagi viral. Dakwah online ini merupakan keinginan dari takmir dan jama’ah Masjid Jami’ Manarul Huda. Setting jaringan internet dengan mikrotik dan pembuatan channel di youtube di Masjid Jami’ Manarul Huda ini merupakan pemberdayaan masyarakat yaitu program penerapan iptek pada masyarakat di Masjid Jami’ Manarul Huda. Program ini sebagai bentuk pengabdian masyarakat dari STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita (STIMATA) Malang. Tujuan Pengabdian masyarakat ini adalah untuk mengaplikasikan keilmuan yang ada pada kampus ke masyarkat luas kususnya Masjid Jami’ Manarul Huda, supaya bisa melakukan dakwahnya lebih luas lagi dan melayani jama’ah. Pemasangan jaringan Telkom Indihome dilakukan pada akhir Desember 2018 dan juga settting mikrotik serta pembuatan channel youtube yaitu “manarul_huda official” selesai awal Januari 2019. Setelah terbangun jaringan internet dan hotspotnya, maka jamaah bisa menggunakan akses internet gratis di masjid dan dari kajian rutin keagamaan bisa melakukan live streaming atau upload video tentang aktifitas dakwah dimasjid supaya bisa diakses oleh sesama muslim walaupun tidak datang ke masjid. Mudah-mudahan program ini bisa memberikan manfaat bagi jama’ah dan takmir Masjid Jami’ Manarul Huda Kota malang. 
PELATIHAN ANDROID UNTUK SISWA / SISWI SMK NASIONAL MALANG As'ad, Mohamad; Farida, Eni; Sami, Sri Esti Trisno
Jurnal Terapan Abdimas Vol 5, No 1 (2020)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS PGRI MADIUN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25273/jta.v5i1.5039

Abstract

Abstract. Android training for students of Malang National Vocational School is one form of social service which is one of the elements of the tri darma perguruan tinggi and must be implemented by the academic community. This training was conducted at the STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita (STIMATA) campus in Malang. This training was conducted after STIMATA lecturers received the same training from Google in the form of the "Indonesia Android Kejar (IAK)" program. This training is a form of a study group that is collaborated with society service for STIMATA lecturers. The purpose of this training is to provide knowledge and insight for the community, especially the students of the National Vocational School of Malang about android. This training is also to improve the skills for students of Malang National Vocational School to create an Android-based application. This training is held for two days, Monday-Tuesday January 29-30 2018 at the STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita Malang Computer Laboratory from 08.00 W1B to 16.00 WIB. This training was attended by 29 students of the National Vocational School of Malang. This training uses two applications, namely android studio which is installed on a computer PC to make the program and java program to compile when the participants want to be placed on an Android mobile. The training was given the material in a row view, group views, creating projects, interactive applications, screening and calling methods and the last objected-oriented program. After all training materials are given, the participants are given the task of making a simple application project that can be run on their respective Android phones. To provide an ability assessment, it is assigned to make a project that is more complex and given a month which is then sent to the tutor's e-mail. The final results of the training turned out that all participants were able to receive the material well and were able to spell out the assignment as a substitute for the exam well. Thus this training can run as expected. Abstrak. Pelatihan android bagi siswa-siwa SMK Nasional Malang merupakan salah satu bentuk pengabdian masyarakat yang merupakan salah satu unsur tri darma perguruan tinggi dan wajib dilaksanakan oleh civitas akademika. Pelatihan ini dilakukan di kampus STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita (STIMATA) Malang. Pelatihan ini dilakukan setelah dosen-dosen STIMATA mendapatkan pelatihan yang sama dari google berupa program “ Indonesia Android Kejar(IAK)”. Pelatihan ini merupakan bentuk study group yang dikolaborasi dengan pengabdian masyarkat untuk dosen-dosen STIMATA. Tujuan dari pelatihan ini adalah untuk memberikan pengetahuan dan wawasan bagi masyarakat, khususnya siswa­-siswi SMK Nasional Malang tentang android. Pelatihan ini juga untuk meningkatkan keterampilan bagi siswa-siswi SMK Nasional Malang untuk membuat aplikasi berbasis android. Pelatihan ini dilaksanakan selama dua hari yaitu Senin-Selasa tanggal 29-30 Januari 2018 di Laboratorium Komputer STMIK PPKIA Pradnya Paramita Malang dari pukul 08.00 W1B sampai dengan 16.00 WIB. Pelatihan ini diikuti oleh 29 siswa-siswi SMK Nasional Malang. Pelatihan ini menggunakan dua aplikasi yaitu android studio yang diinstal pada PC komputer untuk membuat programnya dan java untuk mengkompilasi ketika mau dijankan pada handphone android. Pelatihan ini diberikan materi berturut-turut views, views group, membuat project, aplikasi interactif, deffining dan calling methods serta yang terakhir objected oriented program. Setelah semua materi pelatihan diberikan selanjutnya peserta diberikan tugas berupa membuat project applikasi sederhana yang bisa dijalankan di hp android masing-masing. Untuk memberikan penilaian kemampuan ditugaskan membuat project yang lebih komplek dan diberikan waktu satu bulan yang selanjutnya di kirim ke emailnya tutornya. Hasil akhir pelatihan ternyata semua peserta mampu menerima materi dengan baik dan mampu mengejakan tugas sebagai pengganti ujian dengan baik. Dengan demikian pelatihan ini bisa berjalan seperti yang diharapkan.
INDONESIAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) FORECASTING USING AN EXPONENNTIAL SMOOTHING-STATE SPACE MODEL Maknunah, Jauharul; As'ad, Mohamad; Setyowibowo, Sigit; Farida, Eni; Mumpuni, Indah Dwi
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8, No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15378

Abstract

Abstract: CPI (consumer price index) is one of the economic measurement tools that can explain or inform about the development of prices for services/goods consumed or used by consumers. The CPI is related to determining inflation, therefore the CPI and inflation are important variables in viewing the economic conditions of a particular country or city. Current month inflation depend on previous CPI and current CPI. The CPI and inflation are so important that many researchers are studying inflation and the CPI. The purpose of this research is to predict the value of Indonesia's monthly CPI with a simple, easy, and highly accurate forecasting model using open-source software. The data used are monthly CPI data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) for January 2014 to August 2024. The benchmark for the best ETS model is based on the minimum value of the Akaike information criteria (AIC) and Bayesian information criteria (BIC). The best model obtained is the ETS (M, N, N) model with a smoothing parameter (α) of 0.9933, has a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.275868 and a mean absolute percentile error (MAPE) of 0.6595211%. Keywords: Price Consumer Index (PCI), Forecasting of Indonesia PCI, Exponential Smoothing-State Space, ETS (M,N,N).
INDONESIAN CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI) FORECASTING USING AN EXPONENNTIAL SMOOTHING-STATE SPACE MODEL Maknunah, Jauharul; As'ad, Mohamad; Setyowibowo, Sigit; Farida, Eni; Mumpuni, Indah Dwi
International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR) Vol 8 No 4 (2024): IJEBAR, VOL. 08 ISSUE 04, DECEMBER 2024
Publisher : LPPM ITB AAS INDONESIA (d.h STIE AAS Surakarta)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29040/ijebar.v8i4.15378

Abstract

Abstract: CPI (consumer price index) is one of the economic measurement tools that can explain or inform about the development of prices for services/goods consumed or used by consumers. The CPI is related to determining inflation, therefore the CPI and inflation are important variables in viewing the economic conditions of a particular country or city. Current month inflation depend on previous CPI and current CPI. The CPI and inflation are so important that many researchers are studying inflation and the CPI. The purpose of this research is to predict the value of Indonesia's monthly CPI with a simple, easy, and highly accurate forecasting model using open-source software. The data used are monthly CPI data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) for January 2014 to August 2024. The benchmark for the best ETS model is based on the minimum value of the Akaike information criteria (AIC) and Bayesian information criteria (BIC). The best model obtained is the ETS (M, N, N) model with a smoothing parameter (α) of 0.9933, has a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.275868 and a mean absolute percentile error (MAPE) of 0.6595211%. Keywords: Price Consumer Index (PCI), Forecasting of Indonesia PCI, Exponential Smoothing-State Space, ETS (M,N,N).
Co-Authors Eni Farida Indah Dwi Mumpuni Jauharul Maknunah Nasrul Firdaus Sigit Setyowibowo Sri Esti Trisno Sami Syaifullah, Ali