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<![CDATA[FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT ]]>
<![CDATA[Arifin, Samsul]]>;
<![CDATA[Mayasya, Shany]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 1 (2018) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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<![CDATA[ABSTRACTThe phenomenon that often occurred in connection with the exchange rate fluctuations in currency values is uncertain. Changes in behavior rupiah exchange rate against the U.S. dollar that occurred in Indonesia are affected by economic fundamentals and openness factors. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of inflation, interest rate, openness, and exchange rate volatility Rp/USD to the exchange rate of rupiah exchange rate against the U.S.dollar. This research used Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) method. This research used three months data started at the first three months in 2007 until the fourth three months in 2014. According to the result of partial test results (z test) indicates that inflation, interest rate, openness andexchange rate volatility Rp/USD positive and significant effect on rupiah exchange rate against the U.S dollar partially. While the simultaneous test (F test) indicates that inflation, interest rate, openness and exchange rate volatility Rp/USD has significant effect on rupiah exchange rate against the U.S dollar simultaneously.Keywords: Inflation, interest rate, openness, exchange rate volatility Rp/USD, rupiah exchange rate against the U.S dollar]]>
<![CDATA[Testing Of Economic Convergence In The Middle Of The Covid-19 Pandemic ]]>
<![CDATA[samsul arifin]]>;
<![CDATA[Sayifullah Sayifullah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol. 19 No. 01 (2021): JURNAL EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Pusat Pengkajian Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik ]]>
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DOI: 10.22219/jep.v19i01.15960
<![CDATA[This study aims to see whether the process of export and import convergence occurs with the control variable of the size of the country's economy affected by the COVID-19 pandemic as measured by GDP and spatial interactions. The method of analysis in this study uses the Spatial Dynamic Panel. The research objects are 64 countries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic—data taken in the period 2019q4-2020q3. The results show that GDP and spatial elements influence the process of export and import convergence. The speed of convergence and the length of time to reach a steady-state, imports are better than exports reaching 28-38% with about one semester and reaching 15-16% with a duration of 1 year (export model). Exports and imports during the COVID-19 pandemic reflect interactions between countries, with distance as a determining factor. However, the role of interaction between countries tends to be insignificant in the long run.]]>
<![CDATA[DAMPAK KRISIS KEUANGAN GLOBAL TERHADAP STABILISASI HARGA DAN OUTPUT DI INDONESIA: Analisis Bauran Kebijakan Sederhana ]]>
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 10, No 2 (2020): Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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DOI: 10.35448/jequ.v10i2.9560
<![CDATA[The enactment of the ITF, which has been strengthened by the FITF framework since 2010 amid the global financial crisis, is a test for the Central Bank in using interest rates as the only monetary policy operational target. The decline in liquidity in the Indonesian economy from the impact of the global financial crisis must be responded by Bank Indonesia to maintain credit growth. The monetary and macroprudential policy mix is carried out to maintain the momentum of economic growth with controlled inflation at low and stable levels while at the same time under pressure in the banking sector after the 2008 global financial crisis. This research directly examines the macroeconomic structural model by incorporating the crisis value into exogenous and credit-efficient variables. as a proxy for macroprudential policy. The purpose of this research is related to looking at the monetary policy response of the operational interest rate target as the optimal policy rule for the stabilization of prices and output in Indonesia from the impact of the global financial crisis using a macro structural cointegrating VAR design model State Contingent Rule (SCR).The results showed that the 2008 global financial crisis affected the optimal policy response through a simple policy mix in stabilizing prices and output. Monetary policy through the BI Rate operational target can stabilize prices in a relatively fast time given the size of its contribution in shaping the price component, but not better for output. The credit gap instrument in macroprudential can stabilize output in a fast and permanent time but with a very small contribution but it is not effective for price stabilization. The effective time of monetary policy in influencing price and output stabilization is up to 2.5 years.]]>
<![CDATA[PENGARUH TINGKAT PENDIDIKAN DAN KESEMPATAN KERJA TERHADAP PENGANGGURAN DI PROVINSI BANTEN ]]>
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>;
<![CDATA[Firmansyah Firmansyah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 7, No 2 (2017) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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DOI: 10.35448/jequ.v7i2.4978
<![CDATA[Unemployment in the province of Banten became a huge unemployment in Indonesia, with the figure reaching 10.74 percent. This is particularly worrying given the province of Banten Province is newly established and is known for a large industrial sector that should be able to absorb the unemployment rate and the labor force. And the study was conducted to examine the effect of higher education graduates and the chance to unemployment in the province of Banten. The analytical method used is regression analysis with panel data in the form of secondary data for a period of nine years from 2003 to 2011. Test analysis used partial statistical test (t-test) with a 95 percent degree of confidence, measured by the F test and R2 test (test determinants). Results of this study have used the hypothesis that if the number of higher education graduates up it will lower the number of unemployment rose when the number of jobs it will reduce the number of unemployed. The conclusion that can be drawn in this paper is that the increase in the number of graduates of higher education will affect the unemployment rate falling.. Employment do not affect the decline in the unemployment rate.]]>
<![CDATA[FAKTOR EKONOMI YANG MEMPENGARUHI CAPITAL FLIGHT DI NEGARA BERKEMBANG ANGGOTA ASEAN ]]>
<![CDATA[Lilis Hoeriyah]]>;
<![CDATA[Indra Suhendra]]>;
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 9, No 2 (2019): Ekonomi-Qu ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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DOI: 10.35448/jequ.v2i2.7169
<![CDATA[This research aims to analyze the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), differences in interest rates and inflation on capital flight in eight developing countries of ASEAN regions. This research uses secondary data during the periods of 2007-2016. The research methodology used in this study is panel data regression with FEM(Fixed Effect Model). The results of this research show that simultaneously, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), differences in interest rates and inflation have significant impact on capital flight. Partially, all of variables have significant positive impact on capital flight. However, the variable of REER shows insignificant to capital flight.]]>
<![CDATA[FAKTOR - FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AMERIKA SERIKAT ]]>
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>;
<![CDATA[Shany Mayasya]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi-Qu Vol 8, No 1 (2018) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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DOI: 10.35448/jequ.v8i1.4965
<![CDATA[The phenomenon that often occurred in connection with the exchange rate fluctuations in currency values is uncertain. Changes in behavior rupiah exchange rate against the U.S.dollar that occurred in Indonesia are affected by economic fundamentals and openness factors. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of inflation, interest rate, openness, andexchange rate volatility Rp/USD to the exchange rate of rupiah exchange rate against the U.S. dollar. This research used Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) method. This research used three monthsdata started at the first three months in 2007 until the fourth three months in 2014.According to the result of partial test results (z test) indicates that inflation, interest rate, openness and exchange rate volatility Rp/USD positive and significant effect on rupiah exchange rate againstthe U.S dollar partially. While the simultaneous test (F test) indicates that inflation, interest rate,openness and exchange rate volatility Rp/USD has significant effect on rupiah exchange rate against the U.S dollar simultaneously.]]>
<![CDATA[FAKTOR-FAKTOR PENENTU INKLUSI KEUANGAN DI INDONESIA PERIODE TAHUN 2012-2016 ]]>
<![CDATA[Yuni Noor Annisa]]>;
<![CDATA[Sugeng Setyadi]]>;
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>
<![CDATA[ Tirtayasa Ekonomika Vol 14, No 1 (2019) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[FEB Universitas Sultan Ageng Tirtayasa ]]>
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DOI: 10.35448/jte.v14i1.5425
<![CDATA[This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) and Non Performing Loans (NPL) on financial inclusion in Indonesia, with indicators of 33 provinces during the period of 2012-2016. The method used in processing data is the panel data. The results showed that the inflation variable have effect on financial inclusion, GDP per capita have effect on financial inclusion and the NPL have effect on financial inclusion in Indonesia for the period of 2012-2016. However, MSMEs have no effect on financial inclusion in Indonesia for the period of 2012-2016]]>
<![CDATA[C36 WA SOLVER: PENDAMPINGAN ISOMAN PEMANFAATAN WAG ]]>
<![CDATA[Samsul Arifin]]>
<![CDATA[ ABDIMASKU : JURNAL PENGABDIAN MASYARAKAT Vol 6, No 1 (2023): Januari 2023 ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[LPPM UNIVERSITAS DIAN NUSWANTORO ]]>
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DOI: 10.33633/ja.v6i1.838
<![CDATA[Isolasi mandiri merupakan langkah pertama yang dilakukan oleh seseorang yang terinfeksi COVID-19 baik untuk seseorang yang memiliki gejala maupun orang tanpa gejala (OTG). Tujuan dilakukannya isolasi mandiri adalah demi mencegah penularan virus terhadap orang-orang sekitar terutama keluarga terdekat. C36 WA Solver merupakan salah satu upaya yang dilakukan untuk memonitoring pasien COVID-19 yang tengah melaksanakan isolasi mandiri dengan membantu mereka melalui pengecekan kondisi berbasis aplikasi chat WhatsApp. C36 WA Solver dikelola oleh anggota kelompok 36 KKM Untirta yang bekerja sama dengan satgas yang bertugas di desa tersebut. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa C36 WA Solver cukup efektif untuk membantu memonitoring warga yang terinfeksi COVID-19 dalam melaksanakan isolasi mandiri di rumah.]]>
<![CDATA[ANALISIS VOLATILITAS HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PURCHASING POWER SEBAGAI DAMPAK RESESI EKONOMI ]]>
<![CDATA[Mutia Nur Inayah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis (EK dan BI) Vol 6 No 1 (2023) ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Politeknik Bisnis Indonesia ]]>
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DOI: 10.37600/ekbi.v6i1.777
<![CDATA[This study examines how the Volatility of World Oil Prices, Inflation, Interest Rates and Exchange Rates affect Public Purchasing Power (Purchase Power Parity) in Indonesia. The data used is data from 2012-2021. Quantitative data, or data in the form of numbers, is used in the quantitative descriptive methodology of this study. This study uses the calculation model of the ARCH method and the Error Correction Mechanism (ECM) model with Eviews 9. The results based on volatility analysis show a value of α1 + β1 < 1 0.50. This means that the volatility of oil prices is low. The r value is 0.994690 or 99.46%, meaning that there is a relationship between the independent variables World Oil Price Volatility, Inflation, Interest Rates and Exchange Rates with the dependent variable Purchase Power Parity has a strong relationship because it is close to 100%. Keywords: Purchasing Power Parity, Volatility, Inflation, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates]]>
<![CDATA[Efektivitas Kebijakan Moneter Nonkonvensional: Bukti dari Jalur Pinjaman Bank di Indonesia ]]>
<![CDATA[samsul arifin arifin]]>;
<![CDATA[sayifullah sayifullah]]>
<![CDATA[ Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 11 No 3 (2022): Volume 11 Nomor 3 Tahun 2022 ]]>
Publisher : <![CDATA[Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Lampung ]]>
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DOI: 10.23960/jep.v11i3.531
<![CDATA[This study analyzes the effectiveness of quantitative easing as a stimulus for bank lending in Indonesia and examines credit performance which is influenced by assets, capital and the risk of bad loans. This paper uses a balanced panel data regression model, exploring effects including individual and time fixed effects. The use of GMM to overcome bias due to the use of the dependent variable lag uses bank level data from 2020q1 to 2022q1. The results show that monetary policy is ineffective during the COVID-19 pandemic and the performance of bank lending has a downward trend. The results of the study highlight the ineffectiveness of monetary policy as indicated by a higher bank liquidity ratio which in fact has a tendency to create lower bank credit growth. The factors that determine the amount of credit are bank assets and capital. This paper contributes to the literature by investigating the effectiveness of quantitative easing as a stimulus for bank lending in Indonesia using firm-level data.]]>
