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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis
Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Vertical Price Transmission in Soybean, Soybean Oil, and Soybean Meal Markets Simanjuntak, Josua Desmonda; Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von; Kusnadi, Nunung; Suharno
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 17 No. 1 (2020): JMA Vol. 17 No. 1, March 2020
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (956.864 KB) | DOI: 10.17358/jma.17.1.42

Abstract

Soybean is becoming a prominent agricultural industry due to its versatility of use as inputs for different industrial sectors. Soybean products have a high value and are profitable since its huge supply and wide demand. The soybean economic value does belong to the commercial use of its joint products, soybean meal, and soybean oil. Joint product theory assumes the price of soybeans can be represented as a weighted average of returns from soybean meal and soybean oil less than the processing margin. This indicates there are price relationships between soybean as a raw product towards its meal and oil through crush processing. Therefore, the objective of this research is to investigate the price transmission between these three products and analyzed factors that influencing them. Monthly time series data in respect of international prices were obtained. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test and the Johansen cointegration technique were utilized to test the stationarity and the long-run relationship between three variables respectively. The result indicates the existence of one cointegrating long-run equilibrium relationship between these variables. The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) estimates revealed that soybean price is the only one that reacts to correct equilibrium since oil and meal have huge markets. Keywords: soybean, soybean meal, soybean oil, joint product, VECM
Germany-Indonesia Agricultural Trade: Recent Development and Possible Future Directions Widyasari, Anastasia Asri; Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan von; Suharno; Nurmalina, Rita
Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis Vol. 17 No. 1 (2020): JMA Vol. 17 No. 1, March 2020
Publisher : School of Business, Bogor Agricultural University (SB-IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1147.379 KB) | DOI: 10.17358/jma.17.1.86

Abstract

To understand the recent development and to anticipate the future directions and trends of agricultural trade between Germany and Indonesia, this study analyzed the data of agricultural trade between the Germany and Indonesia. The major agricultural commodities that are traded between those countries are crude palm oil (CPO) and skimmed milk powder (SMP). There were public policies and environmentalist group movements that may have influenced the agricultural trade volumes within the period. This study identified those two factors. This study also identified possible future directions and trends of agricultural trade between the two countries. It analyzed the data ranged from 2001 to 2018, which were obtained from ITC Trade Map and analyzed using multiple regression models. The findings were in 2001-2018, the CPO and SMP trade between those countries showed an upward trend. However, it was predicted in the future that the public policies and environmentalist group movements might cause the agricultural trade to decrease. The world production quantity of CPO and the production of CPO in Indonesia had a significant effect on the German import from Indonesia, whereas the production quantity of milk in Indonesia and the GDP of Indonesia had a significant impact on the German export to Indonesia. The future directions and trend of German CPO import from Indonesia and German SMP export to Indonesia show an increase both for quantity and value. Keywords: agricultural trade, recent development, future directions
Co-Authors Nunung Kusnadi Rita Nurmalina Simanjuntak, Josua Desmonda Suharno Widyasari, Anastasia Asri