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An Approach to Measure the Death Impact of Covid-19 in Jakarta using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Fadly, Ferdian; Sari, Erika
Unnes Journal of Public Health Vol 9 No 2 (2020): Unnes Journal of Public Health
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Semarang (UNNES) in cooperation with Association of Indonesian Public Health Experts (Ikatan Ahli Kesehatan Masyarakat Indonesia (IAKMI))

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/ujph.v9i2.38460

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a pandemic in more than 200 countries around the world. As the fourth most populous nation in the world, Indonesia is predicted to face a big threat to this pandemic particularly Jakarta as the epicenter of the virus in Indonesia. However, the nature of COVID-19 that can easily spread and also many undetected cases that do not present symptoms make it more difficult to determine the real mortality effects of COVID-19.The deaths in Jakarta from the new coronavirus may be higher than officially reported. To overcome this issue, this paper will provide an approach to measure the death impact of COVID-19 using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA). The model will predict the ‘what if’ normal condition of the number of funerals in Jakarta compared to the real situation in March 2020 as an approach of the actual effect of COVID-19 in Jakarta. This research revealed a discrepancy of 450-1070 funerals in March 2020 that could not be predicted by the ARIMA model. This funeral gap, a forecast error, could be an approach to the potential number of possible death impacts of COVID-19 in Jakarta that should be significantly higher than the report. The people should be more conscious and alert of COVID-19 situation.
The Influence of Income and Risk Perception on The Interest to Saving in Sharia Banking in Mandailing Natal District Sari, Erika; Dewi, Meutia; Fuad, Muhammad
Transforma Jurnal Manajemen Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): Transforma: Jurnal Manajemen
Publisher : Pascasarjana Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56457/tjm.v1i2.67

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of income and risk perception on the intention to save in Islamic banking in the Mandailing Natal District. The sample in this study amounted to 96 respondents. The data analysis method uses multiple linear regression analysis with the regression equation, namely Y = 5.199 + 0.150X1 + 0.351X2. From the t test it is known that income and perceived risk partially have a significant1 effect on the intention to save in Islamic banking in the Mandailing Natal District. From the F test it is known that income and risk perception simultaneously have a significant1 effect on the intention to save in Islamic banking in Mandailing Natal Regency. Income and risk perception affect the intention to save in Islamic banking in Mandailing Natal Regency by 58.6%, while the remaining 41.
Variety Show with Indonesian Culture among the Imperialism of Foreign Culture Noor, Ady Ferdian; Sari, Erika; Nurbudiyani, Iin; Fatchurahman, M.; Haryadi, Haryadi; Herman, Herman; Ningsih, Irma; Oktariana, Devita
International Journal of Universal Education Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): International Journal of Universal Education
Publisher : Institute for Research and Community Services Universitas Muhammadiyah Palangkaraya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33084/ijue.v2i2.9031

Abstract

Background: Variety show infotainment program that was successful in society and became a topic of conversation in public communication. Indonesian society in 11 cities was seen 90% happy to watch television in 2017. The program was full of gossip about the lives of artists at that time. The show gave birth to changes in ethical values that could damage the cultural order of the Indonesian nation as an eastern society that upholds good manners. Aim: The purpose of the study was to determine whether cultural values, religion, and social norms in Indonesian society are the main elements in every variety show broadcast on television. Method: The research method used a type of literature review with a qualitative descriptive approach through analysis of reports, articles, and library books, then analyzed descriptively inductively to produce conclusions. Result and Discussions: The results of the study, the government implemented the broadcasting law as a form of multicultural communication policy to control foreign cultural imperialism. Conclusion: The government implemented the protection of Indonesian culture through the broadcasting law and encouraged the emergence of multicultural values on Indonesian television.
Sustainable Development 2030: Primary School Education Policy based on Multicultural Education Sari, Erika; Marfilinda, Riri; Noor, Ady Ferdian
International Journal of Universal Education Vol. 2 No. 2 (2024): International Journal of Universal Education
Publisher : Institute for Research and Community Services Universitas Muhammadiyah Palangkaraya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33084/ijue.v2i2.9152

Abstract

The global education development agenda is reflected in Goal 4 (SDG4) of the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda, which was adopted by countries around the world, including Indonesia. Indonesia strives to ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all by 2030 through various government policies. The policy aims to reconfigure the entire education system to support and encourage curriculum and learning, so that all critical targets and goals (SDGs) of the 2030 agenda for sustainable development can be achieved.The education system in Indonesia is derived from Indonesian culture and society. This is what differentiates the system in Indonesia from other countries, we are different from the United States, Australia, different from neighboring countries such as Malaysia and Thailand. Indonesian education is part of cultural sovereignty, not just political sovereignty. The birth of the education system in Indonesia came from the grassroots of society. The education sector needs to be improved in terms of the system, actors including teachers and students, as well as cultivating tolerance in the classroom with various educational policies. Education now makes measuring human abilities the main and most important indicator. However, it is impossible for education to measure human abilities to limit, reduce and ultimately hide human abilities from themselves because humans have diversity. 262 million people are expected to be university students worldwide by 2025. The government is an institution that has the authority to make and take decisions in the form of policies regarding education. Policies regarding education depend on the problems that occur. The current problem is differences in understanding and thinking about diversity. Diversity includes cultural values that exist in society. Cultural values come from the place of residence and society, which is local wisdom which is the basis of multicultural education. Keyword: Sustainable Development, Policy, Multicultural Education, Primary Schools