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All Journal Jurnal Ekuilnomi El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Journal of Ekonomics, Finance, and Management Studies
Nancy Nopeline
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Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Economics, Econometrics & Finance Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences

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Studi Determinan Ekspor Kopi Indonesia ke Amerika Serikat Jusmer Sihotang; Nancy Nopeline; Martin Luter Purba; Yatatema Zai
Jurnal Ekuilnomi Vol. 6 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Ekuilnomi
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekononomi Universitas Simalungun

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36985/ekuilnomi.v6i1.1106

Abstract

Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi dampak dari konsumsi kopi domestik, harga ekspor kopi ke Amerika Serikat, kurs rupiah terhadap dolar AS, serta GDP per kapita AS pada volume ekspor kopi Indonesia ke Amerika. Dalam mencapai tujuan ini, digunakan model ekonometrik dalam bentuk persamaan regresi linier berganda. Variabel terikat dalam penelitian adalah volume ekspor kopi Indonesia ke AS, sementara variabel bebas meliputi konsumsi kopi domestik, harga ekspor kopi ke AS, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap USD, dan GDP per kapita di AS. Model ini diestimasi menggunakan metode Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) dengan data deret waktu tahun 2001 hingga 2022. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa seluruh variabel independen memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap ekspor kopi Indonesia ke AS secara simultan. Konsumsi kopi lokal dan kurs rupiah menunjukkan pengaruh signifikan negatif, sementara GDP per kapita AS berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap ekspor kopi. Namun, harga ekspor kopi dari Indonesia ke AS tidak menunjukkan pengaruh yang signifikan. Berdasarkan analisis elastisitas, ekspor kopi Indonesia ke AS terbukti elastis terhadap GDP per kapita AS namun inelastis terhadap konsumsi kopi domestik, harga ekspor, dan kurs rupiah. Sebagai implikasi kebijakan, dianjurkan untuk mempertahankan stabilitas nilai tukar rupiah dan menetapkan harga ekspor kopi yang kompetitif di pasar global. Demi mengatasi potensi penurunan ekspor kopi kedepannya, diperlukan peningkatan konsumsi kopi di pasar domestik melalui diversifikasi produk dan aktivitas promosi
Implikasi Kebijakan Moneter Pada Pasar Modal Indonesia Martin Luter Purba; Jusmer Sihotang; Nancy Nopeline; Dameria Sofyana Br Napitupulu
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v6i2.7133

Abstract

This study investigates how inflation shocks, benchmark interest rates, stock transactions, and constant price GDP affect the Indonesian Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) from 2013 to 2023. The results show that inflation has a permanent negative effect on the IHSG, while constant price GDP increases have a positive effect. Inflation affects GDP in the long run, with a decline after the fourth period, while shocks to stock transactions have a smaller impact on changes in the benchmark interest rate. On the other hand, the impact of the benchmark interest rate fluctuates, with short-term effects on the JCI. To maintain stock market stability and Indonesia's economic growth, this research emphasizes the importance of monetary policy that is responsive to economic shocks. These results provide policymakers and investors with insights to respond to market dynamics.
Implikasi Kebijakan Moneter Pada Pasar Modal Indonesia Martin Luter Purba; Jusmer Sihotang; Nancy Nopeline; Dameria Sofyana Br Napitupulu
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v6i2.7133

Abstract

This study investigates how inflation shocks, benchmark interest rates, stock transactions, and constant price GDP affect the Indonesian Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) from 2013 to 2023. The results show that inflation has a permanent negative effect on the IHSG, while constant price GDP increases have a positive effect. Inflation affects GDP in the long run, with a decline after the fourth period, while shocks to stock transactions have a smaller impact on changes in the benchmark interest rate. On the other hand, the impact of the benchmark interest rate fluctuates, with short-term effects on the JCI. To maintain stock market stability and Indonesia's economic growth, this research emphasizes the importance of monetary policy that is responsive to economic shocks. These results provide policymakers and investors with insights to respond to market dynamics.
Co-Authors Dameria Sofyana Br Napitupulu Jusmer Sihotang Jusmer Sihotang Martin Luter Purba Yatatema Zai