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Analisis Peramalan Jumlah Produksi dan Konsumsi Bawang Putih di Indonesia Sarah, May; Sari, Rizki Adi Puspita; Wati, Dewi Rohma
Sharia Agribusiness Journal Vol. 3 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Science and Technology, UIN Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/saj.v3i2.35816

Abstract

Currently, 80% of the national garlic demand is filled by imports. The aims of this research are: 1) To analyze the forecasting/ projection of garlic production in 2023-2032; 2) Analyze forecasting/projection of garlic consumption in Indonesia in 2022-2032. The type of data used in this research is secondary data which is quantitative. The quantitative data used is time-series data from 1996-2022 for garlic production and data from 1996-2020 for garlic consumption in Indonesia. The forecasting method used in this study is the ARIMA method and the Trend Analysis method. The results of this study indicate that forecasting garlic production in Indonesia during the 2023-2032 period tends to decrease with an average growth in forecasting the amount of Indonesian garlic consumption during the 2022-2031 period of -5.48% per year. Forecasting of garlic consumption in Indonesia during the 2022-2031 period tends to increase with an average growth in forecasting the amount of Indonesian garlic consumption of 1.69% per year. Keywords: forecasting; garlic production; consumption; ARIMA; Trend Analysis   ABSTRAK Pemenuhan kebutuhan bawang putih nasional untuk saat ini sebesar 80% berasal dari impor. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah: 1) Menganalisis peramalan/proyeksi jumlah produksi bawang putih tahun 2023-2032; 2) Menganalisis peramalan/proyeksi jumlah konsumsi bawang putih di Indonesia tahun 2022-2032. Jenis data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu data sekunder yang bersifat kuantitatif. Data kuantitatif yang digunakan yaitu data time-series dari tahun 1996-2022 untuk produksi bawang putih dan data tahun 1996-2020 untuk konsumsi bawang putih di Indonesia. Metode peramalan yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini yaitu metode ARIMA dan metode Proyeksi Trend. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa peramalan produksi bawang putih di Indonesia selama periode 2023-2032 cenderung mengalami penurunan dengan rata-rata pertumbuhan pada peramalan jumlah konsumsi bawang putih Indonesia selama periode 2022-2031 adalah sebesar -5,48% per tahun. Peramalan konsumsi bawang putih di Indonesia selama periode 2022-2031 cenderung mengalami peningkatan dengan rata-rata pertumbuhan pada peramalan jumlah konsumsi bawang putih Indonesia adalah sebesar 1,69% per tahun. Kata Kunci: peramalan; produksi bawang putih; konsumsi; ARIMA; Analisis Tren 
Production Planning for Spinach, Kale, and Hydroponic Pakchoi Using Linear Programming Ichdayati, Lilis Imamah; Ramdhani, Riefqi Aulia; Inayah, Titik; Sari, Rizki Adi Puspita; Muhib, Acep; Nugraha, Achmad Tjahja
Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA Vol 11 No 5 (2025): May
Publisher : Postgraduate, University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jppipa.v11i5.11248

Abstract

Vegetable consumption has been on the rise in 2024, and projections suggest that by 2030, it will reach 17.48 million tons, equivalent to 62.4 kg per capita per year. This growing demand presents a valuable opportunity for 13,019 individual agricultural businesses engaged in urban farming. One of the key advantages of hydroponic vegetables is their freshness, as they are sold along with the hydroponic installation itself. However, producing hydroponic spinach, kale, and pakchoy comes with challenges, especially for companies looking to optimize production costs. This study aims to identify the best production combination to minimize expenses. Using linear programming analysis through the LINDO application, this study examines decision variables—hydroponic spinach (H1), kale (H2), and pakchoy (H3)—with constraints based on both internal factors (seeds, nutrients, growing media, planting holes, and labor) and external factors (customer demand). The results indicate a 2.14% cost reduction, amounting to Rp. 8,148,745, with an optimal production mix of 2,696 units of hydroponic spinach, 2,101 units of hydroponic kale, and 2,448 units of hydroponic pakchoy. To further improve cost efficiency, PT Sarindah Wicaksana is advised to carefully allocate resources based on optimal demand and implement a well-structured production plan.