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Setyo Oktaria, Dhina
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Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Health Professions Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences

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Analisis Efektivitas Waktu Evakuasi pada Shelter Terminal 3 Skytrain (Kereta Layang) Bandara Internasional Soekarno-Hatta Handoko; Sasqiya Putri, Destiana; Setyo Oktaria, Dhina
Airman: Jurnal Teknik dan Keselamatan Transportasi Vol 3 No 1 (2020): Airman: Jurnal Teknik dan Keselamatan Transportasi
Publisher : Politeknik Penerbangan Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46509/ajtk.v3i1.151

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to analyze the passenger evacuation in the 3 skytrain terminal shelter and to determine the passenger capacity at the terminal shelter. Among the four terminals at this airport there are terminals that have a level of passenger mobility which is categorized quite dense. So that the implementation will appear various kinds of obstacles that may occur. One of them is an accident during operation. So the need for an evacuation process in accordance with the evacuation rules. It also resulted in the need for guidelines in conducting the evacuation process such as how long it would take for the evacuation process. This research method uses quantitative descriptive approach. The results of the study concluded that the effectiveness of the evacuation time required from the platform area to the concourse had met the standard. It's just that the effectiveness of the evacuation from the platform to the safe area has not met because it exceeds the standard with a time of 7.36 minutes real time in the field.
Forecasting the Number of Jogja-Solo KRL Passengers with the Gray Method (1,1), Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing Priyanto, Sapto; Churniawan, Erifendi; Setyo Oktaria, Dhina; Setyo Darmawan, Endras
Journal of World Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2023): Journal of World Science
Publisher : Riviera Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58344/jws.v2i1.130

Abstract

The development of the Jogja Solo railway transportation, one of which is the electrification of the railway line. This electrification will increase the capacity of the number of passengers because it can cut travel time so that there will be more and more trips. The government's plan to extend the electrification of the KRL line to Kulonprogo and Madiun is an opportunity for growth in the number of Jogja Solo KRL passengers. This study aims to find the best forecasting model for the number of KRL Jogja Solo passengers among short-term forecasting models. The forecasting method used is the Gray Method (1.1), Moving Average and Exponential Smoothing. Furthermore, based on the forecasting results of each method, the error rate will be sought based on the MAPE, MAD and MSD values. The error prediction value among the three selected methods, namely Gray (1,1), second-order moving average and single exponential smoothing, the results obtained from the single exponential smoothing method have the slightest error value compared to the others. So, this method is the best method chosen to predict the number of Jogja Solo KRL passengers. The single exponential smoothing method is the best forecasting method because it has the mirror value, namely MAPE of 51, MAD of 50,308 and MSD of 3,891,632,651. The prediction results for the 14th-period passengers obtained a result of 202,067 people. The prediction results for the 14th-period passengers obtained a result of 202,067 people.
Co-Authors Churniawan, Erifendi Handoko Priyanto, Sapto Sasqiya Putri, Destiana Setyo Darmawan, Endras