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All Journal Indonesian Journal of Educational Studies Journal of Multidisciplinary Science: MIKAILALSYS Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art Mikailalsys Journal of Advanced Engineering International
BAMIGBALA, Olateju Alao
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Computer Science & IT Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Environmental Science Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mechanical Engineering Nursing Physics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art

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A Statistical Evaluation of the Occurence of Meningitis in Takum, Taraba State, Nigeria Idi, Danjuma; Akobi, Clement; Stephen, Mathew; Bamigbala, Olateju Alao
Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art Vol 2 No 6 (2024): Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art
Publisher : Darul Yasin Al Sys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/ajstea.v2i6.4112

Abstract

Meningitis remains a critical public health issue in Nigeria, particularly within the dry season when environmental factors such as low humidity and dust elevate transmission risks. Using historical incidence data from 2012 to 2021, this study utilizes the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model estimate and predict the occurrence of meningitis occurrences. Findings frm the study revealed that the ARIMA(1,1,0) model emerged as the optimal fit, capturing the seasonal patterns and temporal trends in meningitis cases. This study recommends the integration of ARIMA-based forecasting into Nigeria’s public health strategies to strengthen early warning systems, optimize resource deployment, and enable more proactive responses during high-risk periods.
Assessment of Maternal Mortality in Federal Medical Centre Jalingo Using ARIMA Model Mathias, Felix Melang; Joshua, ThankGod; Bamigbala, Olateju Alao; Sayuti, Fatima Yahaya
Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art Vol 3 No 3 (2025): Asian Journal of Science, Technology, Engineering, and Art
Publisher : Darul Yasin Al Sys

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58578/ajstea.v3i3.5359

Abstract

Nigeria bears a disproportionate burden of global maternal mortality, contributing approximately 10% of all maternal deaths worldwide. This study adopts a multi-theoretical and empirical approach to analyze the complex interplay of socio-cultural, economic, and systemic determinants influencing maternal mortality in Nigeria. Grounded in models such as the Three Delays Model, Health Belief Model, Social Determinants of Health, Andersen’s Behavioral Model, and the Cultural and Structural Competency Framework, the research highlights the multifaceted barriers impeding timely and effective maternal care. Empirical findings based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modeling reveal persistent, though insufficient, declines in maternal and child mortality over recent decades. Additionally, socioeconomic variables such as low levels of female education, high fertility rates, poverty, and inadequate access to antenatal care significantly correlate with maternal mortality rates. The study critiques existing interventions as poorly coordinated and unsustainable, with limited community involvement and cultural adaptation. Recommendations emphasize a multilevel prevention strategy—ranging from primordial to quaternary levels—integrating structural reforms, community-based education, capacity-building among healthcare providers, and a reconfiguration of national health policy. The findings contribute to the growing body of knowledge on maternal health by providing a comprehensive, culturally-informed, and data-driven analysis aimed at guiding future research, policy, and practice.
Co-Authors Akobi, Clement Idi, Danjuma Ikrimat, Aliyu Joshua, ThankGod Mathias, Felix Melang Odey, Solomon Etia Ogunmola, Adeniyi Oyewole OJETUNDE, Ayodeji Oluwatobi OYEGOKE, Toyese Sayuti, Fatima Yahaya Stephen, Mathew ThankGod, Joshua