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SPATIAL ANALYSIS OF INCOME INEQUALITY IN INDONESIA Gunawan, Diah Setyorini; Ahmad, Abdul Aziz; Gunawan, Ratna Setyawati
Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025): October 2025
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v10i2.2938

Abstract

This study seeks to analyze the spatial dimension of income inequality in Indonesia.  This study was conducted by comparing the spatial dimension of income inequality in Indonesia in 2019 with the spatial dimension of income inequality in Indonesia in 2024. This study can provide an overview of income inequality over the last 5 years, before the Covid-19 pandemic and after the recovery period from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic. The similarities with previous research is found in the area of focus. Meanwhile, the differences lies on the analysis method used. The data used in this study is the value of Gini Ratio for 2019 period and 2024 period. Analysis method used includes geographic information system analysis and Moran index analysis.  The finding of this study is from the mapping with using geographic information system analysis, it can be seen that the provinces with the highest income inequality in 2019 period did not necessarily have high income inequality in 2024 period. Conversely, the provinces with the lowest income inequality in 2019 period did not necessarily have low income inequality in 2024 period.  The analysis result of Moran index in 2019 period and 2024 period indicated positive and significant value of Moran index.  Positive and significant value of Moran index meant that there were clustered areas which have the same characteristic. Policy implication of this study is that, collaboration across levels of government and a focus on strategic infrastructure, education, and improving the distribution of social assistance.
The symmetric effects of inflation, exchange rates, and international trade on Indonesia's balance of payments 2015-2024 based on ARDL Setianingrum, Dyah Ayu; Angellita, Rachel Dwitya; Pamungkas, Priyagung Jati; Firdaus, Anzar Alfat; Gunawan, Ratna Setyawati
Priviet Social Sciences Journal Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): March 2026
Publisher : Privietlab

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55942/pssj.v6i3.1111

Abstract

This research utilizes the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to examine the symmetrical effects of inflation, exchange rates, and international trade on Indonesia's balance of payments over the period from 2015 to 2024. Amidst global economic instability, exacerbated by the US-China trade war, the persistent pandemic COVID-19, and ongoing geopolitical tensions, the Republic of Indonesia faces significant challenges in maintaining its external balance. This study employs quarterly time series secondary data sourced from Bank Indonesia, Statistics Indonesia (BPS), and the Ministry of Trade. The long-run estimation results indicate a negative correlation between inflation and the balance of payments, with a coefficient of -3468.811 (p=0.059). This means that if inflation goes up a lot, it could make the country's external position worse. The export coefficient, at 2.4342 (p=0.000), indicates a substantial positive impact, whereas the import coefficient, at -2.5669 (p=0.000), signifies a considerable negative effect. The exchange rate's long-term influence appears relatively weak, as evidenced by a coefficient of -0.635 (p=0.082). Short-run estimations reveal that the error correction term (ECT) coefficient is -0.9766 (p=0.000), suggesting a rapid convergence towards long-run equilibrium. These findings carry significant implications for Indonesian economic policy, particularly concerning inflation control and export promotion, both of which are essential for maintaining external stability. Consequently, to enhance the long-term balance of payments, the implementation of prudent monetary and trade policies that foster export expansion while managing import levels is crucial.