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Pemodelan Numerik Hubungan Pola Curah Hujan Wilayah Equatorial di Pulau Sumatera Terhadap Fenomena ENSO dan IOD Melly Ariska; Adam Darmawan; Hamdi Akhsan; Supari Supari; Muhammad Irfan; Iskhaq Iskandar
Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Fisika Vol 11, No 2 (2023): Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Fisika
Publisher : Universitas Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jtaf.v11i2.6593

Abstract

A numerical modeling has been built for the relationship between rainfall in the equatorial region of Sumatra to the ENSO and IOD phenomena by taking data from 1991 to 2020 at three stations located in the western region of Sumatra Island, namely SM Japura, SM Minangkabau and SM Hang Nadim. The method used in this study is the method of correlation and linear regression on the Niño3.4 Index variable and the Dipole Mode Index on the amount of rainfall. The data visualization process is carried out with the output in the form of plots and graphs with Goole Colab coding. The resulting graph is a graph of the ENSO and IOD phenomena, as well as a regression graph between The Niño3.4, DMI and the amount of rainfall per month. This study was conducted with the aim of knowing how much influence the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variable represented by the Niño3.4 Index and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) represented by DMI had on rainfall in the equatorial region in the 1991 – 2020 period and to see the trend of significance between the two towards the equatorial region on the island of Sumatra. Rainfall in Indonesia's equatorial region tends to be influenced by IOD compared to ENSO. The combination of the two at the same time can cause a significant change in the amount of rainfall. La-Niña and negative IOD occurred in 1992, 1996, 1999, 2000, 2005, 2008, 2011 and 2016. The average rainy day index (SDII) tended to decrease in Japura Island in 1996, 2005, 2011, 2016 , at SM Minangkabau in 1992, 1996, 1999, 2000, 2016 and at SM Hang Nadim in 1996, 1999 and 2008. Meanwhile the longest series of wet days tended to decrease in SM Japura in 1992, 1996, 1999, 2005, in SM Minangkabau in 1992, 1996, 2005, 2008, and in SM Hang Nadim in 1992, 2000, 2005, 2008 and 2011. The longest series of dry days tended to increase in SM Japura in 1996, 2011, in SM Minangkabau in 1996, 2000, 2011, and at SM Hang Nadim in 1996.
Variability of Temperature Extreme Observes in Kalimantan Jamiatul Khairunnisa Putri; Suhadi; Muhammad Irfan; Hamdi Akhsan; Iskhaq Iskandar
Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA Vol 10 No 11 (2024): November
Publisher : Postgraduate, University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jppipa.v10i11.9048

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the trend of extreme temperatures in Kalimantan over the past few decades. The data used are daily temperatures from meteorological stations in West Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, and South Kalimantan, with an observation period of January 1985 to December 2022. The research methodology involves four main stages: data collection, extreme temperature index calculation, trend detection, and correlation analysis with ENSO and IOD. The results showed an increasing trend in extreme temperatures (warming). The increase in mean annual maximum temperature (TXmean) ranged from 0.03°C to 2°C per century, while the mean annual minimum temperature increased from 0.2°C to 0.5°C per century. Monthly maximum value of daily max temperature (TXx) the increasing trend ranged from 0.19°C to 1.7°C, monthly maximum value of daily min temperature (TNx) increased from 0.1°C to 0.5°C. The monthly mean difference between daily max and min temperature (DTR) also shows an increase of 0.5°C to 1.7°C. This trend indicates that daytime (TXmean, TXx) and nighttime (TNmean, TNx) conditions in Kalimantan, especially in West, Central, and South Kalimantan, are getting hotter, with the daytime experiencing a more significant increase in temperature. The correlation between the extreme temperature index and ENSO and IOD is negative and positive, indicating that ENSO and IOD do not fully influence the increase in extreme temperatures. These findings have important implications for disaster mitigation planning and adaptation to climate change in the Kalimantan region.