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Forecasting Bank Indonesia Currency Inflow and Outflow Using ARIMA, Time Series Regression (TSR), ARIMAX, and NN Approaches in Lampung Laila Qadrini; Asrirawan Asrirawan; Nur Mahmudah; Muhammad Fahmuddin; Ihsan Fathoni Amri
Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Komputasi Vol. 17 No. 2 (2021): JANUARY 2021
Publisher : Department of Mathematics, Hasanuddin University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20956/jmsk.v17i2.11803

Abstract

There are various types of data, one of which is the time-series data. This data type is capable of predicting future data with a similar speed as the forecasting method of analysis.  This method is applied by Bank Indonesia (BI) in determining currency inflows and outflows in society. Moreover, Inflows and outflows of currency are monthly time-series data which are assumed to be influenced by time. In this study, several forecasting methods were used to predict this flow of currency including ARIMA, Time Series Regression (TSR), ARIMAX, and NN. Furthermore, RMSE accuracy was used in selecting the best method for predicting the currency flow. The results showed that the ARIMAX method was the best for forecasting because this method had the smallest RMSE.
PEREMPUAN DALAM RELASI KUASA TAFSIR AL QUR’AN : TELAAH ATAS CORAK TAFSIR UMMU SALAMAH R.A Nur Mahmudah
PALASTREN Jurnal Studi Gender Vol 6, No 2 (2013): PALASTREN
Publisher : STAIN Kudus

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21043/palastren.v6i2.993

Abstract

Hindun bint Abi Umayyah (Ummu Salamah) merupakansahabat perempuan terpenting kedua setelah Aishah yang paling banyak terlibat dalam penafsiran al-Qur’an. Artikelini merekonstruksi tafsir Ummu Salamah dalam halsumber tafsir, sumber dan nilai sanad serta karakteritiktafsir. Studi ini menghasilkan sejumlah kesimpulan Sumber tafsir yang digunakan oleh Ummu Salamah terdirisejumlah sumber eksternal maupun internal. Kualitas sanad tafsir merentang dari s}ah}i>h, h}asan dan dha‘i>f. TafsirUmmu Salamah menafsirkan berbagai ayat baik yang berkaitan dengan aspek teologis, hukum maupun sosial.Secara khusus, untuk tafsir yang bersumber dari Nabi,mayoritas bersumber dari pertanyaan Ummu Salamahkepada Nabi atas beberapa ayat al-Quran. Upaya UmmuSalamah ini dalam satu sisi dapat mewakili keterlibatanperempuan dalam memahami dan menafsirkan al-Quran.Di samping itu, juga ditemukan adanya ayat-ayat yang secara spesifik berbicara untuk menjawab protes Ummu Salamah yang diabadikan dalam al-Quran. Kata Kunci: Penafsiran Perempuan, Teks Suci, UmmuSalamah
Kajian Hadits di Barat: Nur Mahmudah
Al-Fath Vol 3 No 2 (2009): Desember 2009
Publisher : Department of Ilmu al-Qur'an dan Tafsir, Faculty of Ushuluddin and Adab, State Islamic University of Sultan Maulana Hasanuddin Banten, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32678/alfath.v3i2.3349

Abstract

Kajian hadits merupakan bagian dari domain studi Islam (Islamic studies) yang sangat kaya dan menarik minat bahkan oleh kalangan outsider. Sebagai sumber ajaran yang dipandang memiliki hubungan organik dengan al-Qur’an, pengkajian terhadap hadits mendiskusikan banyak problem mulai dari sejarah periwayatan hingga upaya menangkap makna dalam hadits. Kajian outsider yang diwakili oleh tradisi orientalisme atau Islamisme yang masih berlangsung hingga saat ini menunjukkan dinamika terhadap kajian hadits dari masa ke masa. Dalam sejarah panjang sejarah kajian hadits di barat, kemapanan mazhab skeptisisme dalam hadits memunculkan pandangan bahwa hadits tidak dapat diposisikan sebagai sumber informasi pada masa Nabi namun hanya difungsikan sebagai sumber berharga untuk mengetahui peta konflik dan informasi generasi berikutnya. Meski tidak lagi menunjukkan wajah monolitik, pada masa kini dengan munculnya mazhab lain dalam hadits seperti Harald Motzki, Miklos Muranyi, M.J. Kister, Fueck, yang melakukan revisi terhadap sejumlah premis dan kesimpulan dari pengusung mazhab skeptis dalam hadits, namun madzhab skeptis dalam hadits yang dibangun oleh Goldziher dan Schacht pada masa ini tetap mendapatkan tempat dan dikembangkan salah satunya oleh Islamisis asal Belanda, G.H.A Junboll. Untuk menelaah pemikiran mazhab skeptis dalam kajian hadis di Barat, makalah berikut akan mendiskusikan pemikiran Juynboll dalam hadits dan hal-hal yang bersinggungan dengannya termasuk menelisik upaya pemanfaatan metodologi atau teori dalam kajian Barat dalam batas-batas tertentu bagi pengkajian hadits.
PENGEMBANGAN MEDIA EDUGRAFIS RISEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT DALAM PEMBELAJARAN KEWIRAUSAHAAN PASCA PANDEMI COVID 19 Fetrika Anggraini; Nur Mahmudah
Daiwi Widya Vol 10, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Panji Sakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37637/dw.v10i1.1390

Abstract

Kebijakan pemerintah dalam mengurangi sebaran penyakit covid 19, menjadikan sistem pembelajaran di sekolah menggunakan jarak jauh. Berdasarkan hasil observasi terdapat kendala media yang digunakan kurang menarik minat belajar, sehingga perlu sebuah inovasi agar pembelajaran maksimal. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan modul pembelajaran berbasis edugrafis untuk mengetahui efektifitas dalam pembelajaran. Pengembangan dilakukan dengan mengacu model 4-D yaitu Define, Design, Develop, dan Desseminase. Penelitian ini hanya pada sampai pada tahap Develop. Subjek uji coba pada penelitian ini adalah siswa sejumlah 84 dengan rincian, 10 siswa untuk uji kelompok kecil dan 74 siswa untuk uji kelompok besar. Pengambilan data dilakukan dengan kuesioner, tes dan lembar observasi dengan metode pembelajaran PBL. Berdasarkan penelitian yang dilakukan selama tiga kali pertemuan menujukan adanya respon siswa dengan rerata 3.78 dan hasil belajar dari aspek kognitif sebesar 87,08. Sedangkan aspek afektif dan psikomotor terdapat rerata 78,50 dan 87,08. Sehingga dapat disimpulkan bahwa pembelajaran media pembelajaran edugrafis efektif digunakan
The Influence of Leadership and Work Environment on Lecturer Performance Through Job Satisfaction Ifa Khoiria Ningrum; Nur Mahmudah; Mohd Shahid Azim bin Mohd Saufi
Amwaluna: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Syariah Vol. 8 No. 2 (2024): Amwaluna: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Syariah
Publisher : UPT Publikasi Ilmiah UNISBA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29313/amwaluna.v8i2.3557

Abstract

Globalization in the 5.0 era advances technology in communication and information, impacting human resources, services, and education. Lecturers, crucial for educational progress and higher education quality, engage in teaching, research, community service, and other key tasks. Quality education requires universities to develop standards for lecturer performance, influenced by leadership, work environment, and job satisfaction. Lecturer performance reflects the competence and progress of higher education institutions. Poor understanding of competence in lecturer performance lowers lecturers' societal standing, reducing education quality. So comprehensive and efficient modeling with analysis is needed Partial Least Square (PLS). The purpose of this research is to determine the influence of leadership and work environment on lecturer performance through job satisfaction. This research was conducted at the Nahdlatul Ulama Sunan Giri Bojonegoro University with respondents 58 permanent lecturers who had academic positions as expert assistants and lecturers using Partial Least Square (PLS). The research results show that the work environment has a significant effect on job satisfaction and lecturer performance. Other variables not contained in the research model, explain leadership, work environment, and job satisfaction by 34.2% such as work motivation, competency, organizational culture, and commitment variables.
Machine Learning-Based Early Prediction of Kidney Failure: A Comparative Study of Artificial Neural Network and Random Forest Models Nur Mahmudah; Alif Yuanita Kartini; Muhammad Anshori
Journal of Mathematics Education and Science Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Mathematics Education and Science
Publisher : Universitas Nahdlatul Ulama Sunan Giri Bojonegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32665/james.v8i2.5598

Abstract

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a progressive condition with an increasing incidence rate in Indonesia, including in Bojonegoro Regency. This disease results from a gradual decline in kidney function, leading to the accumulation of metabolic waste and toxins in the body. Early detection is crucial to prevent complications and enhance treatment effectiveness. However, current diagnostic methods rely heavily on laboratory tests and medical anamnesis, which may not provide sufficient accuracy. This study aims to develop a predictive model for kidney failure using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms. The ANN is particularly effective in recognizing complex nonlinear patterns, while RF demonstrates robustness in classification tasks. The results show that the ANN model achieved an accuracy of 81%, with blood urea nitrogen (BUN), blood pressure, creatinine, and diabetes identified as dominant predictors. Meanwhile, the RF model achieved an accuracy of 80%, with blood pressure emerging as the most influential variable. Based on comparative performance, ANN was selected as the optimal model for the kidney failure prediction. Nonetheless, integrating both algorithms into a hybrid framework could further enhance predictive coverage and support early detection and clinical decision-making in kidney failure management.
Hilirization of Processed Seagrape Products to Improve The Economy of The Lamongan Community: Hilirisasi Produk Olahan Anggur Laut untuk Meningkatkan Perekonomian Masyarakat Kabupaten Lamongan Nur Mahmudah; Ahmad Shofiyuddin; Moh Mu`Alliful Ilmi; Ifa Khoiria Ningrum
Dinamisia : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 8 No. 2 (2024): Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Lancang Kuning

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/dinamisia.v8i2.16891

Abstract

Sea grapes are a type of seaweed that has high economic value which can be used as food and medicine. Most Paciran people are familiar with sea grapes, but its benefits are limited to fresh food ingredients such as urap-urap. The lack of knowledge and skills related to processed marine grape products requires a comprehensive and productive production of processed marine grape products in order to improve the economy of the people in Paciran Village, Paciran District. The purpose of this community service is to improve the community's economy in improving the level of welfare for the better in Paciran District through training and mentoring of quality and highly competitive sea grape processed products in the form of juice, jelly and sea grape biscuits. The implementation method in community service used is field surveys, coordination with the community, and program implementation through training and mentoring. The results and implications of the community service program which was attended by 55 participants consisting of sea grape cultivators, sea grape processing UMKM and Mrs PKK Paciran Village. These results can be identified through the results of a questionnaire that has been distributed and filled out by Paciran Village residents through training and mentoring. The results of community service have a positive impact on Paciran Village because they have succeeded in adding insight, knowledge and skills about processed wine and can be used as a village center business for processing sea grapes in Paciran Village
Penguatan Peran Desa dalam Konvergensi Pencegahan Stunting Terintegrasi di Desa Tandun Barat Kabupaten Rokan Hulu Hariyanti; Adriano Megumi; Devi Safitri Pasaribu; Emia Kezia Aginta Br. Karo-karo; Hafif Anugerah; Muhammad Fadhal Al Giffari; Nur Mahmudah; Reci Sartika; Rika Enjelina Simatupang; Vera Anjeliana Simanjuntak; Wahyu Nur Khasanah
Jurnal Kewarganegaraan Vol 6 No 2 (2022): Desember 2022
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS PGRI YOGYAKARTA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31316/jk.v6i2.1995

Abstract

Abstrak Stunting merupakan prediktor rendahnya kualitas sumber daya manusia sehingga pencegahan dan penanggulangan stunting menjadi sangat penting. Upaya percepatan pencegahan stunting lebih efektif apabila semua program intervensinya dilakukan secara konvergen. Dengan mekanisme konvergensi akan tercipta keterpaduan proses mulai dari proses perencanaan, penganggaran, dan pemantauan program/kegiatan pemerintah dari berbagai lintas sektor. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perbup no.2 tahun 2021 tentang peran desa dalam konvergensi pencegahan stunting terintegrasi di desa Tandun Barat Kabupaten Rokan Hulu. Kebijakan konvergensi percepatan penurunan stunting di Desa merupakan program prioritas nasional, masih terdapat interpretasi implementasi peraturan terkait konvergensi stunting,dan kata lain kolaborasi yang sifatnya saling membutuhkan. Percepatan penurunan stunting di desa diharapkan dapat bebas di desa tahun 2024, tentunya sangat memerlukan mekanisme yang disepakati bersama antara desa dan supradesa dalam penetapan bersama indikator cakupan intervensi konvergensi stunting skala prioritas di desa berdasarkan kewenangan lokal desa. Metode yang diterapkan adalah melalui sosialisasi. Kegiatan sosialisasi tentang stunting dilaksanakan di Desa Tandun Barat Kabupaten Rokan Hulu pada tanggal 10 Agustus 2022. Kegiatan sosialisasi berupa penyuluhan dengan memberikan informasi dan edukasi mengenai stunting,gizi dan pola hidup sehat oleh mahasiswa Kukerta UNRI tahun 2022. Dan hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa sosialisasi yang dilakukan melalui pendekatan dan penggunaan media yang disesuaikan dengan kondisi Obyektif yang ada di desa, dan dapat dilakukan secara informal maupun formal. Peran mahasiwa Kukerta UNRI 2022 lainnya di wujudkan dalam pembagian makanan tambahan (MT ) bergizi berupa bubur untuk menunjang pertumbuhan gizi setiap balita terbukti dengan adanya data bahwa berat badan dan tinggi balita usia 0-59 dalam keadaan normal dapat di indikasikan bahwa tidak adanya stunting pada anak di desa Tandun Barat. Hal tersebut juga didukung oleh partisipasi masyarakat yang secara rutin ikut serta posyandu. Kata Kunci: Aksi Konvergensi, Stunting, Cakupan Program Perbaikan Gizi, Pemerintah Daerah, Mahasiswa Kukerta UNRI 2022 Abstract Stunting is a predictor of the low quality of human resources, so stunting prevention and control is very important. Efforts to accelerate stunting prevention are more effective if all intervention programs are carried out convergently. The convergence mechanism will create an integrated process starting from the planning, budgeting, and monitoring of government programs/activities from various cross-sectors. This study aims to find out Perbup No. 2 of 2021 regarding the role of villages in the convergence of integrated stunting prevention in Tandun Barat Village, Rokan Hulu Regency. The convergence policy for the acceleration of stunting reduction in villages is a national priority program, there are still interpretations of the implementation of regulations related to stunting convergence, and in other words collaboration that is mutually necessary. The acceleration of stunting reduction in the village is expected to be free in the village by 2024, of course it really requires a mutually agreed mechanism between the village and the supra-village in the joint determination of indicators for the priority scale stunting convergence intervention coverage in the village based on the local authority of the village. The method applied is through socialization. The socialization activity about stunting was carried out in Tandun Barat Village, Rokan Hulu Regency on August 10, 2022. The socialization activity was in the form of counseling by providing information and education about stunting, nutrition and healthy lifestyles by UNRI Kukerta students in 2022. And this is done through an approach and use of media that is adapted to the objective conditions in the village, and can be done informally or formally. The role of other UNRI 2022 Kukerta students is manifested in the distribution of nutritious supplementary food (MT) in the form of porridge to support the nutritional growth of each toddler as evidenced by the data that the weight and height of toddlers aged 0-59 under normal circumstances can indicate that there is no stunting in children. in the village of West Tandun. This is also supported by the participation of the community who regularly participates in the Posyandu. Keywords: Convergence Action, Stunting, Coverage Of Nutrition Improvement Programs, Local Government, UNRI 2022 Kukerta Students.