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Impact of Social Protection Programs on West Kalimantan Poverty Amid COVID-19 Pandemic Asian, Novelia; Pratomo, Yulius
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 14 No 1 (2025): Volume 14 Nomor 1 Tahun 2025
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jep.v14i1.3485

Abstract

The purpose of the study was to determine how much influence Direct Cash Assistance (BLT) and the Family Hope Program (PKH) have on the poverty rate in West Kalimantan Province during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study uses panel data regression analysis with the help of the EViews application. The results of the study show that the BLT variable has a significant negative and statistically significant effect on the poverty rate in West Kalimantan Province. Each 1% increase in BLT causes a decrease in the poverty rate by 0.021% Meanwhile, the PKH variable does not have a statistically significant effect on the poverty rate in West Kalimantan Province. The findings of this study escalate the importance of increasing social protection in the form of BLT, especially during times of crisis, to help reduce poverty rates.
THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON THE EXPORT–ECONOMIC GROWTH RELATIONSHIP IN INDONESIA, 2019-2020 Pratomo, Yulius
Jurnal Studi Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 3, No 3 (2025): VOLUME 3, NOMOR 3, DESEMBER 2025
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Gorontalo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37905/jsep.v3i3.35008

Abstract

This study examines the moderating effect of the Covid-19 pandemic on the relationship between exports and economic growth in Indonesia. Specifically, it analyzes whether variations in additional Covid-19 cases across provinces weaken the impact of changes in the share of real exports on provincial real Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) growth. The analysis applies a dynamic panel data approach using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to address potential endogeneity. The study uses quarterly provincial-level panel data for Indonesia (34 provinces) over the period 2019–2020, with a total of 136 observations. The findings reveal that the Covid-19 pandemic significantly weakens the positive effect of exports on economic growth, although the moderating effect is relatively small than both the direct effect of exports and the direct negative impact of the pandemic. These results suggest that pandemic containment policies should be designed in balance with economic recovery strategies and underscore the importance of considering non-economic shocks in supply-side macroeconomic analysis.Keywords: COVID-19 Pandemic; Economic Growth; Exports; Panel Data Analysis