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THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE TOURISM SECTOR IN INDONESIA Jan Horas Veryady Purba; Ritha Fathiah; Steven Steven
Riset: Jurnal Aplikasi Ekonomi Akuntansi dan Bisnis Vol 3 No 1 (2021): RISET : Jurnal Aplikasi EKonomi Akuntansi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Kesatuan Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37641/riset.v3i1.82

The tourism is one of the strategic sectors and has an important role as a source of foreign exchange and encourages national economic growth. Since March 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has begun to enter Indonesia, and the cumulative infection curve has not sloped, and is still increasing exponentially until now. This phenomenon has resulted in a contraction in the Indonesian economy or created negative economic growth, as well as creating very bad conditions for the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourism and its implications for economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are quarterly time series data before and after the Covid-19 Pandemic (2018-2020). This study uses a regression equation model that is estimated by using ordinary least square (OLS). Secondary data used are data air transport and hotel accommodation, as a proxy for tourism variables. The results show that the Covid-19 Pandemic has a negative effect on Indonesian tourism, and has negative implications for Indonesia's GDP. From the simulation results, the findings of this study also calculate the amount of potential lost in the Turism and Indonesian economy during the Covid-19 Pandemic.

Analisis Sikap Multiatribut Fishbein Dalam Pengambilan Keputusan Mahasiswa Memilih Kampus IBI Kesatuan Febry Lodwyk Rihe Riwoe; Jan Horas Veryady Purba
JAS-PT (Jurnal Analisis Sistem Pendidikan Tinggi Indonesia) Vol 5 No 1 (2021): JAS-PT Edisi JULI 2021
Publisher : Forum Dosen Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36339/jaspt.v5i1.409

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis keputusan calon mahasiswa dalam memutuskan pemilihan Perguruan Tinggi di Institut Bisnis dan Informatika Kesatuan, Model analisis yang digunakan adalah Analisis sikap Multiatribut Fishbein. Terdapat 10 aribut yang dianalisis, yakni (1) kualitas akreditasi, (2) fasilitas, (3) kualitas dosen, (4) biaya kuliah, (5) lokasi, (6) faktor teman/keluarga, (7) suasana kampus, (8) beasiswa, (9) pelayanan dan (10) mudah bekerja. Analisis sikap mahasiswa dilihat dari dua variabel yakni tingkat kepercayaan (belief) mahasiswa atas atribut Perguruan Tinggi dan evaluasi mahasiswa atas atribut tersebut dan sekaligus mengukur score kinerjanya. Teknisk pengambilan sampel adalah proportional random sampling, dengan sampel 288 responden dari populasi 1025 orang mahasiswa. Berdasarkan nilai kepercayaan sikap mahasiswa terhadap pemilihan perguruan tinggi di Kota Bogor diperoleh rata-rata score dengan nilai 3.841, dan berada pada kategori baik, sedangkan nilai evaluasi sikap mahasiswa terhadap perguruan tinggi IBI Kesatuan diperoleh rata-rata score 4.009 berada pada kategori baik. Terdapat dua atribut yang paling tinggi dan masuk dalam kategori sangat penting, yakni Mudah bekerja (4.316) dan Kualitas Akreditasi (4.313), dan Akreditasi yang mencerminkan kualitas IBI Kesatuan. Nilai sikap dengan model Fishbein dalam pemilihan Perguruan Tinggi IBI Kesatuan didapat score sikap sebesar 159,94 berada pada interval “baik”. Kata Kunci : Fishbein, belief, evaluation, performance, importance.

THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 PANDEMIC ON THE TOURISM SECTOR IN INDONESIA Jan Horas Veryady Purba; Ritha Fathiah; Steven Steven
Riset: Jurnal Aplikasi Ekonomi Akuntansi dan Bisnis Vol 3 No 1 (2021): RISET : Jurnal Aplikasi EKonomi Akuntansi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Kesatuan Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37641/riset.v3i1.82

The tourism is one of the strategic sectors and has an important role as a source of foreign exchange and encourages national economic growth. Since March 2020, the Covid-19 pandemic has begun to enter Indonesia, and the cumulative infection curve has not sloped, and is still increasing exponentially until now. This phenomenon has resulted in a contraction in the Indonesian economy or created negative economic growth, as well as creating very bad conditions for the tourism sector in Indonesia. This study aims to examine the influence of the Covid-19 pandemic on tourism and its implications for economic growth in Indonesia. The data used are quarterly time series data before and after the Covid-19 Pandemic (2018-2020). This study uses a regression equation model that is estimated by using ordinary least square (OLS). Secondary data used are data air transport and hotel accommodation, as a proxy for tourism variables. The results show that the Covid-19 Pandemic has a negative effect on Indonesian tourism, and has negative implications for Indonesia's GDP. From the simulation results, the findings of this study also calculate the amount of potential lost in the Turism and Indonesian economy during the Covid-19 Pandemic.

DAMPAK KENAIKAN HARGA MINYAK BUMI TERHADAP PERMINTAAN CPO UNTUK BIODIESEL DAN BEBERAPA ASPEK PADA INDUSTRI KELAPA SAWIT INDONESIA Jan Horas Veryady Purba; Sri Hartoyo
JIMFE (Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi) Vol 2, No 1 (2010): Vol , No 1 (2010)
Publisher : Universitas Pakuan

ABSTRACTIndonesia is the biggest palm oil producer and exporter in the world. In2008, Indonesia contributed 34.3% of total palm oil world production and 84.6%of production was exported as crude palm oil (CPO).In the worlds market, the growth of palm oil consumption and importwere 9.66%/year and .34%/year. In supply side, palm oil production and exportincreased 7.94%/year and 9.55%/year respectively. It reflected global excessdemand which influence palm oil price in world market, 1.69%/year. Demand forIndonesian CPO also to fulfill the raw material for energy. This situation willinfluence several aspects in Indonesian palm oil industry, in order to ensure theavailability of palm oil to fulfill national necessity for cooking oil industry and biodiesel industry.By using annual data 1979-2008 periods, an econometric approach wasapplied in this study. The goal of this study is to analyze (a) the analyze thecorrelation between world petroleum oil price with CPO world price, (b) theanalyze the effect of petroleum oil price toward domestic palm oil demand, (c) tosimulate the effect of petroleum oil price for 18,71% toward several aspects inIndonesian palm oil industryThe findings of the study show that (a) since 2000 there was the strongcorrelation between world petroleum oil price with CPO world price, that reflectthat CPO is used for raw material of bio diesel industry; (b) petroleum oil pricepositively influenced domestic palm oil demand, and (c) the rise of worldpetroleum oil price will affect the domestic cooking oil industry, i.e. the cookingoil supply will decrease, and the cooking oil price will increase due to the lack ofCP O for cooking oil industry, while the bio diesel industry was start to grow.Key words: crude palm oil, petroleum oil price, cooking oil, bio diesel

Analysis Driving Factors of Economic Growth During Covid-19 Pandemic: Indonesian Experiences Jan Horas Veryady Purba
Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan Vol 10 No 1 (2022): JIMKES Edisi April 2022
Publisher : LPPM Institut Bisnis dan Informatika Kesatuan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37641/jimkes.v10i1.1296

Pandemic Covid-19 impact on health and economic aspects. These two aspects are trade-offs with each other, so handling the health aspect also pays attention to aspects of economic growth, so that Indonesia's economic performance during the Covid-19 pandemic is well preserved. The objectives of this study were to analyze: (1) the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic and relaxation factors on public consumption, government spending, investment, and net exports; (2) the effect of public consumption, government spending, investment and net exports on Indonesia's economic growth; and (3) the factors that drive economic growth during the Covid-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The analytical method used is ordinary least square, with multiple regression. The data used are secondary data, quarterly 2018-2020 quarter. The findings of this study indicate that the Covid-19 pandemic has a negative and significant effect on public consumption, investment, exports, and imports. The relaxation factor has a positive effect on public consumption, government spending, and net exports, but has not succeeded in creating positive investment growth. Government policies seek to strengthen people's purchasing power and strengthen the production sector. This has an impact on increasing public consumption and is a dominant factor in influencing economic growth during a pandemic. The Covid-19 pandemic affected a contraction of economic growth by 2,07% and also decreased per capita income from 4.192,7 US $ (2019) to 3.911,7 US $. The handling of Covid-19 managed to overcome the worse potential (-4,58%) and kept the per capita income from falling to 3.774,4 US $. Keywords: Covid-19, economic growth, Keynesian formula, people's purchasing power

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia: Faktor Pendorong Pada Pandemi Covid-19 Iriyadi Iriyadi; Jan Horas Veryady Purba
Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan Vol 10 No 3 (2022): JIMKES Edisi Desember 2022
Publisher : LPPM Institut Bisnis dan Informatika Kesatuan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37641/jimkes.v10i3.1557

The Covid-19 pandemic has an impact on health and economic aspects. These two aspects are trade-offs with each other, so handling the health aspect also pays attention to aspects of economic growth, so that Indonesia's economic performance during the Covid-19 pandemic is well preserved. The objectives of this study were to analyze: (1) the effect of the Covid-19 pandemic and relaxation factors on public consumption, government spending, investment and net exports; (2) the effect of public consumption, government spending, investment and net exports on Indonesia's economic growth; and (3) the factors that drive economic growth during the Covid-19 pandemic in Indonesia. The analytical method used is ordinary least square, with multiple regression. The data used are secondary data, quarterly 2018-2020 quarter. The findings of this study indicate that the Covid-19 pandemic has a negative and significant effect on public consumption, investment, exports and imports. The relaxation factor has a positive effect on public consumption, government spending and net exports, but has not succeeded in creating positive investment growth. Government policies seek to strengthen people's purchasing power and strengthen the production sector. This has an impact on increasing public consumption and is a dominant factor in influencing economic growth during a pandemic. It is also appropriate because the proportion of consumption to real GDP is the largest (55.43%). The Covid-19 pandemic affected a contraction of economic growth by 2.07% and also decreased per capita income from 4,192.7 US $ (2019) to 3,911.7 US $. The handling of Covid-19 managed to overcome the worse potential (-4.58%) and kept the per capita income from falling to 3,774.4 US $. Keywords: Covid-19 pandemic, economic growth, Keynesian formula, people's purchasing power

The Role of Community Service in Promoting Social Inclusion and Reducing Socio-Economic Inequality Jan Horas Veryady Purba; Soei Khim; Neni Nurisnaini
Tirakat: Jurnal Terobosan Peduli Masyarakat Vol 3 No 1 (2026): January 2026
Publisher : PT. LITERASI SAINS NUSANTARA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61100/j.tirakat.v3i1.318

Community service is a strategic instrument in promoting social inclusion and reducing socio-economic inequality, particularly amid the complex development challenges faced by contemporary societies. This study aims to expand and enrich scholarly references concerning the role of community service in supporting inclusive social development. The research employs a literature review method with a qualitative approach and descriptive analysis. Data were collected from Google Scholar and selected credible websites, covering publications from 2016 to 2026. From an initial pool of 50 identified articles, a rigorous selection process based on relevance and quality resulted in 32 articles used as the main sources of analysis. The findings indicate that community service programs grounded in empowerment, participation, and sustainability significantly contribute to enhancing social inclusion, strengthening social capital, and reducing socio-economic inequality. Furthermore, synergy among universities, communities, and other stakeholders emerges as a key factor in the success of community service initiatives. This study underscores the importance of strengthening the design, implementation, and evaluation of community service programs to ensure more measurable and long-term impacts.

Analyzing the Impact of Import Tariffs, Trade Dynamics, and Exchange Rates on Economic Growth in Indonesia Jan Horas Veryady Purba; Mumuh Mulyana; Wahyu Indra Satria
Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen Kesatuan Vol. 13 No. 2 (2025): JIMKES Edisi Maret 2025
Publisher : LPPM Institut Bisnis dan Informatika Kesatuan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37641/jimkes.v13i2.3005

This study examines the multifaceted relationship between import tariffs, trade dynamics, and exchange rates and their collective impact on economic growth in Indonesia. As a developing country integrated into the global economy, Indonesia's growth is heavily influenced by international trade policies and macroeconomic factors. This study investigates how various import tariffs change trade dynamics, which in turn affect Indonesia's economic growth. At the same time, the exchange rate is analyzed as an important mediator that shapes the trade balance and examines the effect of changes in import tariffs on economic growth. The estimation method used is path analysis, using 9 years of historical quantitative data (2016-2024). Econometric modeling and statistical analysis are used to capture the direct and indirect relationships among the variables of interest. This study finds that import tariffs negatively impact Indonesia’s economic growth through various mediating variables, including the trade balance, exchange rate, and US imports and exports. Empirical analysis using Path Analysis reveals that higher tariffs reduce Indonesia’s export volume, restrict foreign market access, and distort exchange rate stability, leading to trade imbalances and depressing GDP growth. In addition, reduced US imports from Indonesia weaken Indonesia’s trade revenues, which affect investment and consumption capacity. The broader economic consequences highlight the need for a strategic trade policy that balances national interests with global competitiveness. These findings provide policymakers with a framework to optimize Indonesia's trade and monetary strategies to ensure sustainable long-term economic growth. Keywords: Import Tariffs, Exchange Rates, Trade Balance, Economic Growth.

Analyzing the Purbaya Effect: A Descriptive Qualitative Study on Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth in Indonesia Jan Horas Veryady Purba
West Science Journal Economic and Entrepreneurship Vol. 4 No. 01 (2026): West Science Journal Economic and Entrepreneurship
Publisher : Westscience Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58812/wsjee.v4i01.2475

This study examines the phenomenon of the Purbaya Effect within the framework of Indonesia’s fiscal policy, focusing on its implications for market dynamics, economic growth, and fiscal credibility. Addressing a research gap in the limited academic discourse on the Purbaya Effect—with prior studies largely confined to general fiscal issues such as deficits and government spending—this research adopts a descriptive qualitative approach. Two articles were analyzed using NVivo to identify dominant themes and word frequencies. Findings reveal that the Purbaya Effect signifies a paradigm shift toward expansionary fiscal strategies, characterized by increased government spending, interest rate reductions, liquidity injections, and the strengthening of MSMEs and the real sector as drivers of growth. Thematic analysis highlights the dominance of terms such as economy, consumption, fiscal, investment, and financing, underscoring the role of fiscal policy as an economic accelerator. Strategically, the Purbaya Effect shapes market perceptions, public expectations, and fiscal credibility, while opening pathways for long-term development through infrastructure investment and human capital enhancement. Nonetheless, expansionary fiscal measures carry risks of inflation, budget deficits, and crowding out, necessitating cross-sectoral coordination and macroprudential oversight. This study contributes to macroeconomic literature by introducing a novel conceptual lens and offers practical insights for designing inclusive, credible, and sustainable fiscal policy in Indonesia.

Analysis of Purbaya’s Economic Policy and Indonesia’s Economic Growth Prospects Towards 6% Jan Horas Veryady Purba
West Science Journal Economic and Entrepreneurship Vol. 4 No. 01 (2026): West Science Journal Economic and Entrepreneurship
Publisher : Westscience Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58812/wsjee.v4i01.2504

This study analyzes the effectiveness of economic policies led by Purbaya in maintaining financial system stability and their contribution to achieving Indonesia’s economic growth target of 6 percent. Using a qualitative approach based on policy analysis and macroeconomic data, the study also employs word cloud techniques to identify dominant keywords in policy documents and Purbaya’s economic narratives. The research evaluates the foundations of structural policies, fiscal–monetary synergy, and the readiness of strategic sectors as engines of growth. The findings suggest that achieving 6 percent growth requires a consistent policy mix, improvements in labor productivity, accelerated regulatory reforms, and strengthened domestic and foreign investment. In addition, the study highlights external and domestic risks that may hinder target achievement, including global uncertainty, financial market volatility, and structural challenges in the MSME sector. These findings provide a comprehensive overview of opportunities and obstacles in realizing sustainable economic growth, while offering policy recommendations to enhance national economic resilience.

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