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Journal : Jurnal Pilar Nusa Mandiri

APPLICATION OF THE APRIORI ALGORITHM TO DETERMINE THE COMBINATION OF POVERTY INDICATORS Siswanti, Sri; Vulandari, Retno Tri; Kusumaningrum, Andriani; Setiyowati, Setiyowati
Jurnal Pilar Nusa Mandiri Vol 19 No 1 (2023): Pilar Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information System Publishing Peri
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Nusa Mandiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33480/pilar.v19i1.4161

Abstract

Poverty is a society that has not been solved until now. The decline in poverty in Laweyan District from 2000 to 2013 was 5.71%, among the five lowest in the reduction in the percentage of poverty in Central Java Province. The problem of poverty is very complex, and the differences in regional characteristics, as well as the techniques used, also influence the indicators of the causes of poverty and the formulation of policies for poverty alleviation. This study uses Principal Component Analysis as part of data preprocessing, followed by applying association rules with the Apriori Algorithm to explore the relationship pattern of poverty indicators. Based on the research that has been conducted on the poverty dataset, which consists of 46 attributes, it is found that the attributes that have passed the preprocessing data are six attributes, namely the Poor Population, ADHB in the Communication Sector, ADHB in the Mining and Excavation Sector, ADHB in the Agriculture and Food Crops Sector, ADHB in the Plantation Sector. and unemployment. These six attributes are transformed into Ascending, Fixed, and Descending categorical data. The fuzzification process for the increase and decrease categories uses the shoulder-type triangle membership function. Applying the Apriori Algorithm to the poverty dataset with a minimum support of 0.4 and a minimum confidence of 0.8 produces 38 rules that show the relationship between indicators and poverty and 134 rules that show the relationship pattern between indicators.
IMPLEMENTATION OF ARMA MODEL FOR BENGAWAN SOLO RIVER WATER LEVEL AT JURUG MONITORING POST Siswanti, Sri; Vulandari, Retno Tri; Setiyowati, Setiyowati
Jurnal Pilar Nusa Mandiri Vol. 20 No. 1 (2024): Pilar Nusa Mandiri : Journal of Computing and Information System Publishing Pe
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Nusa Mandiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33480/pilar.v20i1.5004

Abstract

The amount of annual rainfall in the Bengawan Solo watershed causes high water flow (water discharge) in several rivers. In addition, high flow rates significantly increased the water surface level at some observation sites. The Bengawan Solo River burst its banks in November 2016, causing flooding in several areas in eastern Solo. At that time, the river stage at the Jurug monitoring post passed ten. Therefore, a flood early warning system would be useful for predicting water levels in this context. Every day, one post on the Bengawan Solo River measures the water level. The time series data used in this study is the water level. Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) is a predictive method for measuring time set data. The assumption of homoscedasticity or constant error variance is used in this model. However, the study will use the ARMA model if the variance changes randomly. The study used 60 pieces of data from January to February 2018. This study can directly use ARMA because the data results are stationary based on ADF value 0.0036. After the first pause, the ACF and PACF are disconnected based on the correlogram pattern. This shows that the water level of the Bengawan Solo River in that period can appear on the Autoregressive Moving Average with orders p = 1 and q = 1 ARMA(1,1). Thus, the total average residue is 0.0668384, so the short error is 6.68384%.