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PENDUGAAN PARAME TER MODEL AUTOREGRESSIVE PADA DERET WAKTU Nelfa Sari; Maiyastri .; Hazmira Yozza
Jurnal Matematika UNAND Vol 3, No 4 (2014)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA Universitas Andalas Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25077/jmu.3.4.28-37.2014

Abstract

Model deret waktu stokastik dikenal dengan model ARIMA. Model ARIMAterdiri dari model AR, MA dan ARMA. Model AR adalah bentuk regresi yangmenghubungkan suatu nilai pengamatan dengan nilai pengamatan masa lalunya padaselang waktu tertentu. Dari hubungan tersebut, terdapat parameter model AR yangakan diduga. Untuk pendugaan parameter dikhususkan untuk AR orde satu yang dinotasikan dengan AR(1) dan AR orde dua yang dinotasikan dengan AR(2). Pendugaanparameter model AR(1) dan model AR(2) ini menggunakan metode momen, metodekuadrat terkecil dan metode kemungkinan maksimum. Dari uraian ketiga metode pendugaan tersebut menghasilkan sistem persamaan Yule Walker dan diperoleh pendugamodel AR dengan menyelesaikan penduga dari sistem persamaan Yule Walker. Rumusyang diperoleh diterapkan pada dua contoh data.
Monitoring Evaluation of the Learning Process Khoirunnisa; Juliadi; Nelfa Sari; Henny Septia Utami; Riyan Terna Kuswanto
Cendekiawan : Jurnal Pendidikan dan Studi Keislaman Vol 3 No 3 (2024): September Edition: Multiple Intelligences of Students in Formal, Informal, and No
Publisher : Yayasan Zia Salsabila

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61253/cendekiawan.v3i3.266

Abstract

The learning process is a research theme that has constantly received attention from previous researchers. Given, that the learning process will determine the quality of learning outcomes. Previous research found that the learning process is highly dependent on the maturity of planning. On this basis, this study aims to carry out evaluation monitoring of the learning process. The setting of this research is located at the Faculty of Tarbiyah, Institut Agama Islam Negeri Curup. The approach used in this research is qualitative with descriptive study method. Furthermore, the data were obtained from interview method, participant observation and documentation study. The results of this study concluded that the standard operating procedures (SOP) became a reference for monitoring the evaluation of the learning process. In fact, the SOP becomes a form of learning planning maturity process. For this reason, the SOP products produced in this study can be a reference in efforts to strengthen systematic learning from the planning to evaluation stages.