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ANALISA TINGKAT PELANGGARAN HUKUM DI LAUT INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING markus - tukan; Heru Lumaksono; Syariful Alim; Hozairi Hozairi
Jurnal Aplikasi Teknologi Informasi dan Manajemen (JATIM) Vol 1 No 1 (2020): Jurnal Aplikasi Teknologi Informasi dan Manajemen (JATIM) April 2020
Publisher : Universitas Islam Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31102/jatim.v1i1.751

Abstract

Violation of the law at sea is one indicator to measure the security level of a country. To maintain security stability at sea in Indonesia, the Government needs to forecast the number of violations of the law at sea to determine the next policy. Forecasting is a picture of events that will occur in the future. The method used to predict law violations in the Indonesian seas is the Triple Exponential Smoothing (TES) Hold-Winters, the TES method is a pretty good forecasting method for long-term, medium-term and short-term forecasting. The processed data is data on law violations in the Indonesian seas from 1996 to 2019 from the Indonesian Maritime Security Agency. The results obtained from this study are the results of the analysis of the level of accuracy of the MAD, MSE, MAPE, MSE and RMSE data to find the smallest error value. The results of the study have predicted the number of law violations at sea in Indonesia in the next five years will decrease with forecasting values ​​(94 86 79 71 61) with a constant value of alpha = 0.9, beta = 0.2, and theta = 0.1 and the average value absolute percentage error (MAPE = 3,%) and mean root error value (RMSE = 6.38). The contribution of this research can be considered by Bakamla to set up a joint operations strategy with other institutions that have legal authority in the Indonesian seas.
PENDISTRIBUSIAN BERDASARKAN PREDIKSI PENJUALAN BAN MENGGUNAKAN TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING Ani Dijah Rahajoe; Satrio Budi Wahyuono; Syariful Alim
Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi dan Robotika Vol 4 No 1 (2022): Juni 2022
Publisher : Program Studi Teknik Informatika Fakultas Ilmu Komputer Universitas Pembangunan Nasional "Veteran" Jawa Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33005/jifti.v4i1.72

Abstract

Pada akhir waktu ini, peningkatan jumlah pengguna sepeda motor berkembang pesat khususnya pada kota Surabaya. Banyaknya dan bervariannya jenis motor memiliki berbagai ukuran yang digunakan dalam penggunaan sepeda motor pada saat ini. Seiring dengan berjalannya waktu, mulai banyak yang sudah mengalami keausan pada ban sepeda motor yang mereka gunakan. Tingginya permintaan ban sepeda motor di toko Tri Jaya Ban yang tidak dibarengi dengan jumlah ketersediaan barang kerap menimbulkan problematika yang kurang memaksimalkan penjualan di Tri Jaya Ban dengan menolak pembeli karna kekosongan stok barang. Dari permasalahan ini, penulis berharap dapat membantu menyelesaikan permasalahan ini dengan dibuatnya suatu sistem yang dapat memprediksi ban sepeda motor. Penelitian ini akan menghasilkan sebuah website aplikasi dengan nama pendistribusian berdasarkan prediksi penjualan ban menggunakan Triple Exponential Smoothing. Pada sistem ini diharapkan dapat membantu prediksi ban yang akan di stok dan diberitahukan sebaran distribusi barang yang telah dijual oleh Tri Jaya Ban.
Decision Support System for Giving "joint Degree Program" School of Bhayangkara Surabaya University Using Analyticalal Hierarchy Process (AHP) Method Irine Ratih Paramitha; Wiwiet Herulambang; Syariful Alim; Arif Arizal
JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2020): JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences)
Publisher : Fakultas Teknik Universitas Bhayangkara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1045.185 KB) | DOI: 10.54732/jeecs.v5i1.100

Abstract

The granting of scholarships to students is carried out by universities based on their achievements. In awarding scholarships, universities often have difficulty in determining prospective scholarship recipients, so it is found that the distribution of scholarships is not precisely due to a manual system for determining scholarships. Decision support system is an information system intended to assist the University in solving the problem of awarding Academic Achievement Scholarships. One method that can be used in a decision support system is Fuzzy Analitycal Hierarchy Process ( F-AHP) with the Chang model approach (1996). The criteria used are GPA, Achievement, Parents' Work, Parental Dependents and Semesters. From the results of experiments conducted the results of calculations from the application and manual checking from the ubhara get 100% presentation in determining the recipient of the scholarship. Resulting in the ranking of student grades, ten students with the highest grades in each faculty will receive an Academic Achievement Improvement scholarship.
PENDISTRIBUSIAN BERDASARKAN PREDIKSI PENJUALAN BAN MENGGUNAKAN TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING Ani Dijah Rahajoe; Satrio Budi Wahyuono; Syariful Alim
Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi dan Robotika Vol. 4 No. 1 (2022): Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Informasi dan Robotika
Publisher : Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jawa Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33005/jifti.v4i1.72

Abstract

Pada akhir waktu ini, peningkatan jumlah pengguna sepeda motor berkembang pesat khususnya pada kota Surabaya. Banyaknya dan bervariannya jenis motor memiliki berbagai ukuran yang digunakan dalam penggunaan sepeda motor pada saat ini. Seiring dengan berjalannya waktu, mulai banyak yang sudah mengalami keausan pada ban sepeda motor yang mereka gunakan. Tingginya permintaan ban sepeda motor di toko Tri Jaya Ban yang tidak dibarengi dengan jumlah ketersediaan barang kerap menimbulkan problematika yang kurang memaksimalkan penjualan di Tri Jaya Ban dengan menolak pembeli karena kekosongan stok barang. Pada permasalahan ini, penulis membuat suatu sistem yang dapat memprediksi ban sepeda motor. Pada penelitian ini penggunaan algoritma Triple Exponential Smoothing. Kolaborasi antara nilai alfa = 0.2, beta = 0.1, dan gamma = 0.2 menghasilkan nilai Mean Square Error rendah sebesar 0,085 dan Mean Absolute Percentage Error yang juga rendah sebesar 0,085. Penelitian ini akan menghasilkan sebuah website aplikasi prediksi penjualan ban menggunakan Triple Exponential Smoothing. Pada sistem ini diharapkan dapat membantu prediksi ban yang akan di distribusi oleh Tri Jaya Ban.
SISTEM PENDUKUNG KEPUTUSAN UNTUK PEMBERIAN BEASISWA “PROGRAM JONT DEGREE” UNIVERSITAS BHAYANGKARA SURABAYA MENGGUNAKAN METODE ANALYTICAL HIERARCHY PROCESS (AHP) Alek Siswanto; Syariful Alim
NJCA (Nusantara Journal of Computers and Its Applications) Vol 3, No 1 (2018): Juni 2018
Publisher : Computer Society of Nahdlatul Ulama (CSNU) Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36564/njca.v3i1.60

Abstract

Grant scholarships to students are conducted by the University based on the achievements achieved. Since the last few years Bhayangkara University has run a Joint Degree Program scholarship in cooperation with Thailand, India, and plans to continue to the Netherlands. In scholarship grants, the Universityoften finds it difficult to determine the scholarship recipients, so it is found that scholarships are not accurate due to the manual system for the awarding of scholarships. The decision support system is an information system aimed at assisting the University in solving the problem of awarding Joint Degree Program scholarship. One method that can be used in decision support systems is Analitycal Hierarchy Process (AHP). The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method takes into account the extent of validity to the extent of inconsistency tolerance of the various criteria and alternatives chosen by the decision maker. In this research, the data used is UBHARA student data 3 last generation. The criteria used are GPA, TOEFL score, TPA Test Score, and Value of Communication Skill Test. From the results of experiments carried out the results of manual calculations of the application and manual calculations from the Institute of Cooperation get a presentation 100% equation in determining scholarship recipients. So as to produce the ranking of students, two students with the highest score in each department that will get a Joint Degree Program scholarship.Keywords: Scholarship, Student, Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Decision Support System.