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Helma Helma
Staf Pengajar Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNP
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

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Metode Pemulusan Eksponensial Tripel Tipe Brown pada Peramalan Pajak Restoran dan Hotel Kota Padang Bonita Nurul Afifah; Helma Helma; Dony Permana
Journal of Mathematics UNP Vol 3, No 1 (2018): Journal Of Mathematics UNP
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS NEGERI PADANG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (971.733 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/unpjomath.v3i1.4658

Abstract

Abstract – This research discuss about forecasting of the total restaurant and hotels tax at Padang City use a method of exponential smoothing triple tipe Brown. The fact is the number of visitors hotel and restaurants comes not constant or not sure yet on each year. Therefore the method forecasting can be a right solution is estimate that the number of the tax restaurant and hotel in future time. The purpose on this research is to estimate receipt of the number of the tax hotel and restaurants at Padang City on the next five years. The method used to forecast the number of the tax restaurant and hotel at Pada City of the is the method of exponential smoothing triple tipe Brown. Based on the research results obtained by the model exponential smoothing triple tipe Brown the right to use in forecasting revenue amount restsurant and hotels tax at Padang City is F_(10+m)=51.688.474.068+7.812.509.304m+349.042.638,65m^2, with the number of periods (m) is one until five.
Metode Pemulusan Eksponensial Tripel Tipe Brown pada Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Kelapa Sawit Kabupaten Agam Fatma Yulia Sari; Nonong Amalita; Helma Helma
Journal of Mathematics UNP Vol 3, No 1 (2018): Journal Of Mathematics UNP
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS NEGERI PADANG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (982.602 KB) | DOI: 10.24036/unpjomath.v3i1.4661

Abstract

Abstract –This research discusses the forecasting of the amount of palm oil production in Agam Regency by using Brown's exponential smoothing method. The problem that occurs is the amount of palm oil production in the future is not fixed (constant) or uncertain every year. Therefore, forecasting method can be the right solution in estimating the amount of palm oil production in the future. The purpose of this research is to estimate the amount of oil palm production of Agam Regency for the next five years. The method used to forecast the amount of Agam palm oil production is the Brown's exponential smoothing method. In this method, forecasting is done to predict the amount of oil palm production whether it has increased or decreased.
Co-Authors Bonita Nurul Afifah Dony Permana Fatma Yulia Sari Nonong Amalita