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All Journal Jurnal Pertahanan dan Bela Negara Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines
Nur Khotimah
Universitas Pertahanan Republik Indonesia
Humanities Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Public Health Social Sciences Other

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ANALISIS PENGARUH HARGA CPO (CRUDE PALM OIL) DUNIA DAN PRODUKSI CPO (CRUDE PALM OIL) INDONESIA TERHADAP FLUKTUASI HARGA MINYAK GORENG CURAH INDONESIA Tri Yulianto; Rhevi HS Putri; Nur Khotimah
Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah Vol. 2 No. 2: Oktober 2022
Publisher : Bajang Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53625/jcijurnalcakrawalailmiah.v2i2.3821

Abstract

Commodity of cooking oil is one of the nine basic ingredients that are strategic and have an important role in the Indonesian economy. Almost all levels of society use cooking oil for their daily needs or production needs. In the fourth quarter of 2021 until now, the price of domestic cooking oil rose significantly. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of fluctuations in world CPO oil prices and Indonesian CPO production on fluctuations in Indonesian bulk cooking oil prices. The writing method used is quantitative with multiple linear regression approach. The results showed that fluctuations in world CPO prices had an effect on fluctuations in Indonesian bulk cooking oil prices and Indonesian CPO production had no effect on fluctuations in Indonesian bulk cooking oil prices. So in this paper the author recommends the government to take anticipatory and preventive measures against the turmoil caused by fluctuations in the price of Indonesian bulk cooking oil, such as eradicating cooking oil cartels and programs to maintain people's purchasing power
Effect Of Special Autonomy Fund And Local Original Revenue To The Percentage Of Poverty In Papua Province In Defense Perspective Tri Yulianto; Rhevi HS Putri; Nur Khotimah
Return : Study of Management, Economic and Bussines Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): Return : Study of Management, Economic And Bussines
Publisher : PT. Publikasiku Academic Solution

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57096/return.v2i2.74

Abstract

Poverty in Papua Province is an important problem faced by the Indonesian government because it involves issues of national security and defense. This quantitative study aims to obtain information about the Special Autonomy Fund, Regional Original Income and its effect on the percentage level of poverty in Papua Province. This study involves data from the Special Autonomy Fund, PAD and the percentage of poverty in Papua Province from 2004 to 2021. The collected data were analyzed using SPSS multiple linear regression statistics. The results of this study inform that local revenue does not affect the percentage of poverty but the Special Autonomy Fund has an effect on the percentage of poverty in Papua Province. In a defense perspective, the poverty level in Papua Province needs special attention because it involves non-military threats that can lead to the threat of conflict and security. Following up on the findings of this study, the Papua Special Autonomy Fund program is reviewed to continue and it is necessary to prepare a Grand Design for the governance of the Papua Special Autonomy implementation. so that it can be right on target and avoid deviations.
HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS JANGKA PENDEK DAN JANGKA PANJANG PENGELUARAN PERTAHANAN TERHADAP INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DI KOREA UTARA TAHUN 1990-2022 Nur Khotimah; Lukman Yudho Prakoso; Arifuddin Uksan
Jurnal Pertahanan dan Bela Negara Vol. 14 No. 3 (2024): Jurnal Pertahanan dan Bela Negara
Publisher : Republic of Indonesia Defense University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33172/jpbh.v14i3.19793

Abstract

Korea Utara menjadi negara yang mengalami penurunan di titik terendah, khususnya terkait krisis pangan, kebijakan pembatasan, ketergantungan pada impor, serta adanya gap pengetahuan dengan negara lain berupa pembatasan informasi dari dalam ke luar maupun informasi dari luar ke dalam. Penurunan kondisi ekonomi Korea Utara merupakan hasil dari berbagai faktor, termasuk sanksi yang diberlakukan oleh Perserikatan Bangsa-Bangsa (PBB) dan kondisi kesejahteraan yang memburuk dengan ideologi Juche dari masyarakatnya. Di sisi lain, Korea Utara justru terobsesi untuk mengembangkan kekuatan militernya, yakni sebanyak 23,3% dari pendapatan negara digunakan untuk keperluan militer. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis hubungan kausalitas jangka panjang dan jangka pendek dari Pengeluaran Pertahanan dan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Korea Utara tahun 1990-2022 dan dikaitkan relevansinya terhadap Indonesia dari segi pertahanan dan kesejahteraan. Metode penelitian yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode penelitian kuantitatif deskriptif dengan menggunakan metode Error Correction Model (ECM) yang diolah melalui program EViews 9, dengan 33 observasi data, yang bersumber dari World Bank, Sipri, dan Our World in Data. Dari hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa dalam jangka pendek pengeluaran pertahanan memiliki pengaruh positif terhadap indeks pembangunan manusia sebesar 20,8% dan indeks pembangunan manusia berpengaruh terhadap pengeluaran pertahanan sebesar 23,68%, sedangkan terdapat hubungan kausalitas jangka panjang yang berpengaruh negatif antara pengeluaran pertahanan terhadap indeks pembangunan manusia sebesar 41,01 persen, dan indeks pembangunan manusia terhadap pengeluaran pertahanan sebesar 10,08 persen. Sehingga, dalam penelitian ini menunjukan adanya kausalitas satu arah atau undirectional causality. Hasil temuan ini mendukung fenomena Guns vs Butter, saat pengeluaran pertahanan ditingkatkan, maka pengeluaran kesejahteraan menurun.
Co-Authors Arifuddin Uksan Prakoso, Lukman Yudho Rhevi HS Putri Tri Yulianto