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Forecasting Produksi Perikanan Budidaya Di Kota Palembang Dengan Metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Rahma Mulyani; Yulia Puspita Sari; Sumantriyadi Sumantriyadi
Sainmatika: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Vol. 19 No. 2 (2022): Sainmatika : Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam
Publisher : Universitas PGRI Palembang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31851/sainmatika.v19i2.9164

Abstract

The number of aquaculture households in Palembang City continues to increase from 2017 only 682 households to 1,050 households in 2018. But on the contrary in terms of the amount of aquaculture production, the total production decreased by 24,259 tons in 2014 and only 20,327 tons in 2017 (BPS, 2018). One of the steps that can be taken to determine the condition of aquaculture in Palembang is by doing forecasting. This is useful for knowing or predicting the results of aquaculture production with precise accuracy. This study aims to determine the prediction of aquaculture production in Palembang City using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. The results of the ACF and PACF plots show that both plots have a tail off pattern. the predictive model obtained is ARIMA (1,0,1) but after over fitting the model, the ARIMA model (2,0,1) is the best model because it has the smallest MAPE value, which is 48,30. Based on the ARIMA model (2,0.1), the forecast values for aquaculture production in Palembang City from 2021 to 2030 are 19542,598 tons, 12846,331 tons, 50682,093 tons, 43389,831 tons, 15352,492 tons. , 9595,313 tons, 26140,949 tons, 36258,543 tons, 29041,898 tons, and 19548.050 tons
PEMANFAATAN KOLAM TANAH DI LAHAN RAWA UNTUK PEMBESARAN IKAN GABUS DI SMK NEGERI 1 OGAN ILIR Rahma Mulyani; Sumantriyadi Sumantriyadi; Lia Perwita Sari; Sujaka Nugraha; Santi Mayasari; Humairani Humairani
Jurnal Abdi Insani Vol 10 No 2 (2023): Jurnal Abdi Insani
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/abdiinsani.v10i2.911

Abstract

In Indonesia, the potential for snakehead fish is very high, especially in South Sumatra. Swamps Areas in Indonesia have great potential to be developed as land used for the fisheries sector. Snakehead fish can be cultivated in swamp waters. The purpose of this PKM activity is expected to be able to provide education and information for teachers and students about how to use swamp land as a place for snakehead fish cultivation. The method used is the observation and preparation stage, the coordination stage, the tool and material preparation stage, and the final stage of implementing PKM activities. The target of the results of Community Service Program activities that have been carried out in general are the community that is specifically aimed at students and teachers at SMK Negeri 1 Inderalaya Selatan, Ogan Ilir Regency, which has specifically been attended by 60 people. During the implementation of this PKM activity, the activity was carried out in 3 major activities, the first was a speech from the principal of SMK N 1 Ogan Ilir and continued by the PKL Team Leader, the second session was followed by a presentation session of 6 materials and the last was a demonstration or practical activity. measuring the quality of swamp water in the school environment as well as socializing fish farming study programs. The results of this PKM are used to increase student interest and knowledge to find out more about the use of swamp land which is often neglected in the area and of course can provide an introduction to fish farming study programs as a place to explore knowledge and abilities to enrich insights about fish farming. From the results of this PKM activity, as many as 60 participants who had been given education about the use of swamp land for snakehead fish cultivation showed an increased understanding of the material provided compared to before the education.