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All Journal Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen dan Bisnis (JIMB) International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research Kaizen : Management Systems and Industrial Engineering Journal IKRA-ITH ABDIMAS IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Jurnal INTECH Teknik Industri Universitas Serang Raya Transparansi Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Administrasi Jurnal InTent: Jurnal Industri dan Teknologi Terpadu Jurnal Civronlit Unbari Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Journal MISSY (Management and Business Strategy)
Resista Vikaliana
Universitas Pertamina
Humanities Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Electrical & Electronics Engineering Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Mechanical Engineering Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Usulan Kebijakan Rantai Pasok Susu Segar dalam Mendukung Ketahanan Pangan Nasional dengan Pendekatan Sistem Dinamis Resista Vikaliana; Yelita Anggiane Iskandar; Luki Trihardini; Putri Amelia; Oktania Purba
Transparansi : Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Administrasi Vol. 8 No. 2: Desember 2025
Publisher : Institut Ilmu Sosial dan Manajemen STIAMI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31334/transparansi.v8i2.5335

Abstract

(Leveraging System Dynamics for Sustainable Fresh Milk Supply Chain Governance: Policy Implications for National Food Resilience) Penelitian ini mengembangkan model sistem dinamis untuk mengatasi tantangan pasokan susu segar nasional yang masih bergantung pada impor, berisiko melemahkan ketahanan pangan. Tahapan meliputi identifikasi variabel (ketersediaan susu segar, populasi sapi perah, impor susu), pembuatan causal loop diagram, stock flow diagram, formulasi model, verifikasi-validasi (AME 0,00698 ≤ 5%), dan perancangan skenario. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan variabel impor dan sapi produktif paling berpengaruh. Dirancang tiga skenario. Skenario 1(impor susu 50%): impor 93.820 ton (2030). Skenario 2 (impor susu 20%): impor 48.426 ton (2030).  skenario 3 (peningkatan sapi produktif) 1.993.430 ekor (2030). Skenario 2 dan 3 paling optimal. Skenario 2 meminimalkan impor, sedangkan Skenario 3 meningkatkan produksi dalam negeri sesuai target pemerintah. Abstract This study developed a dynamic system model to address the challenges of the national fresh milk supply, which is still dependent on imports and risks weakening food security. The stages include variable identification (fresh milk availability, dairy cow population, milk imports), causal loop diagram creation, stock flow diagram, model formulation, verification-validation (AME 0.00698 ≤ 5%), and scenario design. Simulation results show that the variables of imports and productive cows are the most influential. Three scenarios were designed. Scenario 1 (50% milk imports): imports of 93,820 tons (2030). Scenario 2 (20% milk imports): imports of 48,426 tons (2030). Scenario 3 (increase in productive cows): 1,993,430 cows (2030). Scenarios 2 and 3 are the most optimal. Scenario 2 minimizes imports, while Scenario 3 increases domestic production in line with government targets.
Co-Authors Ade Irawan Alghifari Rasyid Zola Anggita Adiani Putri Argya Fauziah Tansy Arif Irawan Charissa Marelda Nugraha Dhani Azis diena Dwidienawati Hanum Parinduri Nugroho Irwansyah Irwansyah Jermal Jedi Akeyla Luki Trihardini Nasim, Eman Sulaeman Nazwa Adelia Putri Nisha Zahara Nur Annisa Amalia Oktania Purba Prayogi Aditama Putri Amelia Radiyan Agus Firmansyah Raihan Akira Rahmaputra Sekartadji Laora Stenlee Rolandiaz Tito Altis Irawan Warsono Warsono Yelita Anggiane Iskandar Yesa Alya Jovanka Rial Zetira Barges