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All Journal Zeta - Math Journal Jurnal Informatika dan Rekayasa Perangkat Lunak Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal Jurnal Nuansa Akademik: Jurnal Pembangunan Masyarakat Walisongo Journal of Information Technology Prosiding Seminar Nasional Pendidikan dan Agama Solusi Bersama : Jurnal Pengabdian Dan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat
Ariska Kurnia Rachmawati
Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo Semarang
Religion Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Social Sciences

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Journal : Zeta - Math Journal

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Peramalan Penyebaran Jumlah Kasus Covid19 Provinsi Jawa Tengah dengan Metode ARIMA Rachmawati, Ariska Kurnia
Zeta - Math Journal Vol 6 No 1 (2021): Mei
Publisher : Universitas Islam Madura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31102/zeta.2021.6.1.11-16

Abstract

Covid 19 virus disease (corona virus disease), a name given by WHO for patients with coronavirus infection, was first reported from the city of Wuhan, China at the end of 2018. The spread occurred rapidly and created a new pandemic threat. The purpose of this study was to analyze the development of a pandemic in Indonesia, especially in Central Java province. The method used is ARIMA modeling, to determine the percentage of covid19 developments in Central Java. By using the ARIMA method, the ARIMA model (1,1,1) is obtained as a suitable model for the spread of the number of positive cases of Covid-19. Based on this model, with the results that the number of spread of the number of positive cases can be predicted over the next 10 periods, with the result that the number of spread of the number of cases of the Covid-19 virus has decreased from the ece period.
Co-Authors Adita Rizki Kurniawati Ahmad Yusuf Naufal Atika Dewi Ardiyanti Farid Rizqi Ananda Fitri Ayu Ningtiyas Isnawati, Ayus Riana Lulu Choirun Nisa Maulani Maulani Mohamad Tafrikan Mohamad Tafrikan Muhammad Zuman Firjatullah Rindi Saputri Riska Ayu Ardani Salsabila, Nilza Humaira Saydimas Umitdhavala Seftina Diyah Miasary Sholifatun Umayah Tegar Arief setyawan Teresa Amelya Putri