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All Journal International Journal of Economic, Technology and Social Sciences (Injects) Economic Development Analysis Journal
Ramli Ramli
Universitas Sumatera Utara
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Public Health Social Sciences

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ECONOMIC RECESSION IN 7EM COUNTRIES: EVIDENCE OF 3P CAPABILITY AND IMPACT OF COVID-19 Ade Novalina; Ramli Ramli; Murni Daulay; Dede Ruslan
International Journal of Economic, Technology and Social Sciences (Injects) Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): May 2021
Publisher : CERED Indonesia Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.53695/injects.v2i1.501

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the ability of three government policies and the strong impact of COVID-19 on the economic recession in seven emerging market countries (China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Brazil, Turkey, and Egypt). T-test and independent-sample t-test. This study resulted in the findings of the ARDL Panel model, proving that the leading indicators of state-based financial system stability are China, India, and Brazil. In contrast, the order of the top policy indicators of policy/variable financial system stability is fiscal policy (GOV), monetary policy (I.R.), and policy macroprudential (NPL). The leading indicators of state-based economic stability are Indonesia and Russia. In contrast, the order of leading indicators of policy/variable-based economic stability is macroprudential policy (LDR), fiscal policy (Tax), and monetary policy (JUB). During the Covid-19 pandemic, the effectiveness of financial system stability, apart from China, all countries experienced economic instability. On economic stability, apart from China and Turkey, all countries experienced economic instability after the Covid-19 Pandemic. Recommendation: the policies needed to control financial system stability focus on macroprudential policies and fiscal policies. In contrast, the effectiveness of the procedures necessary to maintain economic stability is through macroprudential policies.
Determinants of Income Inequality in a Time Perspective in Indonesia Arif Rahman; Ahmad Albar Tanjung; Ramli Ramli; Muhammad Arif
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 12 No 2 (2023): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v12i2.62755

Abstract

The development orientation which is more dominant on growth, has been impaled to widen the inequality gap. The purpose of this study is to analyze the short-term and long-term effects of several determinants of income in Indonesia during 1998-2021. Data sourced from the World Bank in a time series format. The study method uses descriptive quantitative analysis with the Error Correction Model approach. The Gini index is used as the dependent variable, while the independent variables include the ratio of the work force graduates above senior high school, urban population growth, the agricultural sector, haunting, and fisheries, and per capita GDP growth. The stationarity test results show that stationarity occurs in the first derivative data. Cointegration test results using the Engle-Granger method show that the model built has cointegration. The results of the long-term regression show that two variables have a significant effect on the Gini index, namely the ratio of the work force graduates above senior high school which has a positive effect, and the urban population growth rate which has a negative effect. In the short term, the ratio of the work force graduates above senior high school contributes significantly to the increase in the Gini index. Meanwhile, other predictor variables have no significant effect on the Gini index in Indonesia. The lack of support from the agricultural sector in pushing the Gini index down, and the positive role of the highly educated work force, reflects the ongoing development process which still seems exclusive.
Co-Authors Ade Novalina Ahmad Albar Tanjung Arif Rahman Dede Ruslan Muhammad Arif Murni Daulay